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Snow Never Came - 2007 Trade Deadline Edition

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Game 4 - Buffalo Sabres v New York Islanders
It’s time to decide the future of the franchise.
Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images

The 06-07 is now a few days before the trade deadline, and the SimIsles season has taken a turn in the wrong direction. For the first time all season, the Isles find themselves outside of the playoffs looking in, in 9th place in the Eastern Conference, 3 points out of 8th, but also only 6 points out of 3rd. They are 6 points ahead of the 10th place Capitals. The Real Isles were 30-23-8 68 at this point in 2007.

2006-07 standings 4 days before the trade dealine

A recent spate of injuries has not helped the situation, with top defensemen Tom Poti and Chris Campoli and forwards Alexei Yashin, Miroslav Satan and Trent Hunter each missing several games during this recent skid.

But there is one nugget of simply incredible news to share. We have done the impossible: ridding the team of Alexei Yashin’s contract via trade. And not only that, it was for more than just ‘future considerations’. We received Detroit’s 4th round pick in the 2007 draft, as well as goaltender Joey MacDonald. MacDonald is nothing about which to write home. He is a half star rated netminder with 2 more years on his contract at $450,000 per year.

With Yashin gone, we now have more than $10,000,000 in cap space available for next season with 3 spots to fill.

We have several players that will garner some interest from the contending teams. Trading them would be essentially giving up on the season. They are not on expiring deals, though, so there is no risk of losing them for nothing in July.

Our current draft position is 15th, well below where we’d be able to land some of the big stars. (The draft is done using hindsight for all teams, so PK Subban will not be slipping out of the top 10)

Our trade-able assets which could conceivably bring back useful assets are Miro Satan, Tom Poti, Jason Blake and Viktor Kozlov. All have 2 years left on their current deals after this season. None of them would likely bring back a 1st round pick on their own.

We also have some lesser pieces like Mike York, Chris Simon, Sean Hill and Brendan Witt who could bring back middle round picks or middling prospects.

We have plugs like Mike York and Richard Park who could fetch low draft picks.

So, question 1: Tank, Stay The Course, or go All In?

Poll

Which direction should we take at the trade deadline?

This poll is closed

  • 56%
    Embrace the tank! Trade off anyone over 30 and replace them with kids or draft picks
    (80 votes)
  • 16%
    Stay the Course! If we can get something of value for an expiring asset, fine, but don’t trade skilled, older players still under contract after this season
    (23 votes)
  • 9%
    Go All In! The time to win is now! We have young players, prospects and picks we can move to get someone like Ryan Smyth on board and take us to Stanley Cup glory!
    (13 votes)
  • 17%
    It’s a fucking video game. Why are you asking us? Just do what you want you knob.
    (25 votes)
141 votes total Vote Now

Using the trade feature, I am able to estimate returns from various teams.

Kozlov gets this kind of interest:

2nd or 3rd rounder from Anaheim, possibly Bobby Ryan if we toss in a little more
2nd rounder or possibly Drew Stafford from Buffalo
Possibly a 1st round pick from Carolina
2nd rounder from San Jose

Blake draws similar interest

Brendan Witt could fetch a 2nd rounder from Minnesota

It’s very unlikely that 1 player alone will return us a 1st rounder better than our own.

On the other end, I checked into availability of some older stars that may be for sale from their current teams

Vancouver actually has the Sedins available. They are on the last year of their contracts, and would likely command $12,000,000 per year between them. They’d need to get salary back, which could be done in the form of a player like Mike Sillinger, and it would also cost us the rights to Kyle Okposo and 2nd round picks in the next two drafts. There is no guarantee they’d sign with us, though.

Columbus has 37 year old Sergei Federov available, but he has 2 more years left on his contract at just under 2 million per year. That trade would cost us Trent Hunter, who is an impending unrestricted free agent for us, and a mid-round draft pick.

Ryan Smyth is available from Edmonton. He has 2 years left on his deal (ahistoric, I know), and would cost us the rights to Kyle Okposo and a 2nd round pick.

Let me know in the comments any thoughts on specific deals. Here are the standings in the west:

Western Conference standings 2/23/07

I’ll play through the deadline and make any deals starting Friday night.