FanPost

A continuation of the Steven Stamkos to NYI thought...

Sign Stamkos, Keep Tavares - use this link to a picture of the breakdown I made...

The conversation about Steven Stamkos becoming a NY Islander is an enticing thought. There's been quite some coverage on this idea through multiple media outlets and even here at LHH. I wanted to take a few minuted to dissect the Islanders current situation and look at issues that may arise in the future.

For this piece - I am assuming the NHLPA kicks in the 5% cap escalator each year. This is something to keep in mind look ahead at the next 3 years of NY Islanders cap management.

In essence, I tried to overpay the UFA's and RFA's we would be keeping. This way to prove that with cap escalation the Islanders could sign Steven Stamkos, keep John Tavares, and ice a competitive product.

Situation One:

  • John Tavares signs for $11 million starting in 2018
  • Josh Bailey signs for $4 million starting in 2018
  • Frans Nielsen leaves as a UFA
  • Cal Clutterbuck signs $3.2 million in 2017
  • Brock Nelson signs for $4 million in 2018
  • Matt Martin signs for $2 million in 2016
  • Casey Cizikas signs for $2 million in 2016
  • Ryan Strome signs for $2 million in 2016 (bridge deal), then $4 million in 2018
  • Shane Prince / Alan Quine / Matthew Barzal / Michael Dal Colle are all on entry level deals or make up to $1 million through 2018.
  • Steven Stamkos signs for $10 million in 2016
  • Thomas Hickey signs for $3 million in 2018
  • Calvin deHaan signs for $3 million in 2017
  • Ryan Pulock signs for $3 million in 2018
  • Adam Pelech signs for $1 million in 2017
  • Jaroslav Halak traded
  • Thomas Greiss signs for $4.5 million in 2017
  • JF Berube signs for $1 million in 2016

Situation Two:
  • Only difference is Josh Bailey is traded so Frans Nielsen can be resigned for $4.5 million in 2016

Analysis:
The main concern I had with this exercise was resigning John Tavares in 2018 if we were to get Steven Stamkos this year. Tavares would be the highest paid player on the team at $11 million. With this exercise - I was able to keep both Stamkos and Tavares on the team while icing a competitive product.

With the 5% NHLPA escalation - the cap increases by $7.6 million from 2016 to 2018 - giving the Islanders the needed room to keep Tavares. His current cap hit plus the escalation over 2 years allows the Islanders to keep him.

I think the cap numbers I estimated are plausible to all cases and the NY Islanders can keep a very competitive team for the long term. Obviously a lot could change with trades, drafting, and prospects - but the sole purpose of this case was to see if we could bring in Stamkos while keeping Tavares and our youth intact, and it is indeed possible.






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