Well this is...awkward.
This weekly power ranking computation comes out on Wednesdays, and is written up on Tuesdays based on running the formula from the results in the previous week. It stinks that the Isles usually play a game on Tuesdays, and that the rankings don't reflect those games. But the point is to compare the rankings to the opinion polls, some of which are already a day or two old by the time this is published.
Based on when those are typically published, this is the happiest medium. I say this because nobody's going to like who's sitting in first place. More on that in a moment.
Weekly Roundup of Opinion Polls
|Site||Updated||New Ranking||Prior Ranking||Comments|
|1||CBS||1/13/2015||4||5||John Tavares can put this team on his back when he needs to, but that's rarely been necessary. He's still leading the team with 39 points and has been key to the club's recent run of success.|
|2||ESPN||1/12/2015||4||5||Oooohhh baby, nothing like a game at Madison Square Garden on Tuesday night with bragging rights on the line.|
|3||TSN||1/12/2015||7||7||The Islanders have allowed 26 or fewer shots in 11 straight games, dropping their average shots allowed per game to 26.9, which is second behind Tampa Bay. Last year, they allowed 30.0 shots on goal per game. The top shot suppressor? D Thomas Hickey, who allows 24.8 shots per 60 minutes of 5-on-5 play.|
|4||Fox||---||---||7||None this week.|
|5||USA Today||1/12/2015||6||6||Islanders take second-most shots in league, give up second fewest.|
|6||SI||1/13/2015||7||6||The three panel judge system they have voted the Isles for 4th, 5th and 9th. Averages out to 7 in their minds. If you use this thing called "math," it'd be 6th, but I digress.|
|Average||6||6||They're good on offense. They're good on defense. Maybe the MSG panel should take note.|
So the Isles hold steady for the most part. Fox must be too busy with the NFC playoffs, as the power rankings site was completely blank as of Tuesday evening. For the most part, the Isles are ahead of their arch rivals, but two have the evil empire above us. It's a classic "who's hot now" versus "who has the better record" debate.
But is it really about who's hotter at the moment? Well....
LHH Power Rank--- Wait Don't Kill Me, I Can Explain!
For games through 1/12/15, so it doesn't include the beat down of the Rangers.
|GP||Reg W||OT W||SO||OT L||Reg L||LHH Pts||LHH Pct||LHH Rating|
|1||New York Rangers||39||19||3||6||0||11||144||0.615||118|
|4||Tampa Bay Lightning||44||24||2||5||0||13||167||0.633||116|
|8||New York Islanders||42||17||5||7||0||13||143||0.567||113|
|9||St. Louis Blues||42||19||3||6||1||13||146||0.579||112|
|11||Detroit Red Wings||42||18||3||8||2||11||148||0.587||108|
|13||Toronto Maple Leafs||43||18||1||4||2||18||128||0.496||107|
|14||San Jose Sharks||43||18||2||6||1||16||136||0.527||106|
|15||Los Angeles Kings||43||18||1||7||4||13||141||0.547||101|
|24||Columbus Blue Jackets||40||12||2||5||2||19||99||0.413||89|
|26||New Jersey Devils||44||12||1||8||2||21||104||0.394||86|
So by this formula, the Isles are tied for seventh (with the Caps, no less), and the Rangers are all alone in first. So how on earth is this possible, when the formula is supposed to give no extra consideration for current hot streaks?
Well, for one, do you remember how I wrote about winning in regulation last week? I mentioned that the rankings formula gives much more credit for closing a game out in 60 minutes, on the theory that a better team doesn't have to resort to four-on-fours or skills competitions. The Rangers, prior to getting spanked by the Isles, were 19-11 in regulation. The Isles were "only" 17-13. Yes, many of the Rangers' recent victories were against sub-average teams, but they were winning in 60 minutes (which gets you about as much credit as an OT victory over a good club).
So it isn't so much about their streak, as it is about the total results they've gotten this year, particularly in regulation.
I should also mention at this point that things are a lot closer now near the top. And as a shining example of that (and to get back in your good graces), the shutout at MSG brings the Isles up to a tie for third.... with the Rangers, who drop two spots. This ignores all other games that happened on Tuesday night, but you get the point.
So chuckle at the king of the hill this week. He's already starting to slide off it.