THE INGREDIENTS
I've developed a method of consistently ranking all 30 NHL teams based on the following performance metrics:
CF% Corsi For Percentage
GF% Goals For Percentage
STI Special Teams Index
ShotDiff Shot Differential
THE NUMBERS
TEAM |
GP |
CF |
GF |
PP |
PK |
STI |
SF |
SA |
SHOT DIFF |
INDEX |
11/30/2014 |
11/30/2014 |
11/26/2014 |
11/26/2014 |
TREND |
CHI |
24.00 |
55.70 |
57.50 |
19.20 |
91.30 |
110.50 |
36.10 |
27.40 |
8.70 |
90.75 |
1 |
90.75 |
1 |
89.88 |
0.88 |
PIT |
23.00 |
51.50 |
61.00 |
31.60 |
84.90 |
116.50 |
31.10 |
30.00 |
1.10 |
86.20 |
2 |
86.20 |
2 |
88.08 |
-1.87 |
NAS |
23.00 |
53.70 |
65.30 |
12.20 |
77.40 |
89.60 |
31.20 |
27.60 |
3.60 |
84.60 |
3 |
84.60 |
4 |
84.03 |
0.58 |
TAM |
24.00 |
52.90 |
58.50 |
24.40 |
79.80 |
104.20 |
29.80 |
27.80 |
2.00 |
83.25 |
4 |
83.25 |
7 |
82.20 |
1.05 |
DET |
23.00 |
52.10 |
53.90 |
21.50 |
86.80 |
108.30 |
30.50 |
26.50 |
4.00 |
83.08 |
5 |
83.08 |
6 |
82.63 |
0.45 |
MIN |
23.00 |
54.30 |
51.60 |
9.60 |
88.70 |
98.30 |
33.10 |
25.80 |
7.30 |
83.00 |
6 |
83.00 |
3 |
85.28 |
-2.27 |
STL |
24.00 |
51.20 |
56.90 |
22.90 |
79.20 |
102.10 |
31.10 |
26.70 |
4.40 |
82.88 |
7 |
82.88 |
5 |
83.28 |
-0.40 |
NYI |
24.00 |
53.10 |
53.80 |
19.10 |
74.60 |
93.70 |
33.00 |
28.80 |
4.20 |
80.03 |
8 |
80.03 |
8 |
80.93 |
-0.90 |
WAS |
23.00 |
51.50 |
46.50 |
28.80 |
77.50 |
106.30 |
30.40 |
27.10 |
3.30 |
78.05 |
9 |
78.05 |
10 |
79.28 |
-1.22 |
VAN |
23.00 |
50.60 |
48.90 |
17.80 |
85.90 |
103.70 |
31.30 |
28.50 |
2.80 |
77.78 |
10 |
77.78 |
13 |
76.78 |
1.00 |
NYR |
23.00 |
50.00 |
55.10 |
16.90 |
80.00 |
96.90 |
30.40 |
29.40 |
1.00 |
77.53 |
11 |
77.53 |
12 |
76.93 |
0.60 |
ANA |
25.00 |
50.50 |
51.20 |
17.50 |
84.20 |
101.70 |
30.80 |
29.20 |
1.60 |
77.48 |
12 |
77.48 |
9 |
79.68 |
-2.20 |
BOS |
24.00 |
53.00 |
51.90 |
18.60 |
78.40 |
97.00 |
29.80 |
28.80 |
1.00 |
77.45 |
13 |
77.45 |
11 |
77.35 |
0.10 |
SJS |
25.00 |
52.60 |
45.20 |
23.80 |
82.90 |
106.70 |
32.20 |
30.80 |
1.40 |
76.63 |
14 |
76.63 |
15 |
75.65 |
0.98 |
LAK |
24.00 |
51.20 |
54.30 |
16.50 |
84.30 |
100.80 |
29.60 |
31.40 |
-1.80 |
76.60 |
15 |
76.60 |
14 |
76.60 |
0.00 |
MON |
25.00 |
50.70 |
52.80 |
13.20 |
84.10 |
97.30 |
28.30 |
30.20 |
-1.90 |
74.65 |
16 |
74.65 |
18 |
73.48 |
1.18 |
WIN |
25.00 |
50.80 |
46.30 |
12.00 |
85.40 |
97.40 |
30.30 |
28.20 |
2.10 |
74.48 |
17 |
74.48 |
16 |
74.53 |
-0.05 |
CAR |
23.00 |
52.00 |
42.70 |
22.10 |
83.10 |
105.20 |
29.60 |
28.50 |
1.10 |
74.48 |
18 |
74.48 |
17 |
73.98 |
0.50 |
FLA |
21.00 |
49.70 |
51.70 |
14.70 |
80.00 |
94.70 |
29.90 |
31.20 |
-1.30 |
73.40 |
19 |
73.40 |
21 |
71.15 |
2.25 |
TOR |
23.00 |
46.80 |
50.00 |
21.20 |
83.50 |
104.70 |
30.00 |
32.90 |
-2.90 |
72.40 |
20 |
72.40 |
19 |
72.10 |
0.30 |
NJD |
24.00 |
50.50 |
50.70 |
20.60 |
74.70 |
95.30 |
26.40 |
30.60 |
-4.20 |
71.28 |
21 |
71.28 |
20 |
71.50 |
-0.22 |
DAL |
24.00 |
49.40 |
50.00 |
14.50 |
78.60 |
93.10 |
29.30 |
32.50 |
-3.20 |
70.58 |
22 |
70.58 |
22 |
70.95 |
-0.38 |
CAL |
25.00 |
43.50 |
51.70 |
21.20 |
75.00 |
96.20 |
26.80 |
29.00 |
-2.20 |
70.00 |
23 |
70.00 |
24 |
69.15 |
0.85 |
PHI |
23.00 |
47.70 |
45.10 |
22.20 |
73.80 |
96.00 |
30.30 |
32.40 |
-2.10 |
68.83 |
24 |
68.83 |
23 |
70.18 |
-1.35 |
AZC |
24.00 |
47.90 |
43.70 |
19.30 |
79.20 |
98.50 |
28.70 |
31.00 |
-2.30 |
68.70 |
25 |
68.70 |
25 |
69.13 |
-0.42 |
EDM |
24.00 |
50.80 |
39.20 |
12.00 |
82.40 |
94.40 |
29.90 |
30.20 |
-0.30 |
68.38 |
26 |
68.38 |
27 |
68.30 |
0.07 |
COL |
24.00 |
44.70 |
47.40 |
13.40 |
87.40 |
100.80 |
30.00 |
34.10 |
-4.10 |
68.18 |
27 |
68.18 |
28 |
66.98 |
1.20 |
OTT |
23.00 |
47.30 |
44.70 |
20.20 |
82.40 |
102.60 |
28.90 |
35.20 |
-6.30 |
66.93 |
28 |
66.93 |
26 |
68.85 |
-1.93 |
CBJ |
23.00 |
47.50 |
35.30 |
22.50 |
75.90 |
98.40 |
29.30 |
33.30 |
-4.00 |
63.00 |
29 |
63.00 |
29 |
64.75 |
-1.75 |
BUF |
24.00 |
37.30 |
40.00 |
7.20 |
77.00 |
84.20 |
23.30 |
36.50 |
-13.20 |
49.80 |
30 |
49.80 |
30 |
48.00 |
1.80 |
OBSERVATIONS
01 The best overall team are the Chicago Blackhawks. The worst are the Buffalo Sabres.
02 The most improved team (Trending Upward) are the Florida Panthers. The team in the deepest decline are the Minnesota Wild.
03 The Islanders are 8th Overall. At 5v5 they are 4th in CF% and 9th in GF%. Their Special Teams are ranked 27th, while they are 4th in overall shot differential. They have had a slight decline from 11/26/14.
04 Division AVG(CF%): METRO(50.48), ATLANTIC (48.73), CENTRAL(51.40), PACIFIC (49.59)
05 Division AVG(GF%): METRO(48.78), ATLANTIC (50.44), CENTRAL(53.57), PACIFIC (47.74)
06 Division AVG(PP%): METRO(22.98), ATLANTIC (17.63), CENTRAL(14.83), PACIFIC (18.30)
07 Division AVG(PK%): METRO(78.06), ATLANTIC (81.50), CENTRAL(84.00), PACIFIC (81.99)
08 Division AVG(SF): METRO(30.06), ATLANTIC (28.81), CENTRAL(31.59), PACIFIC (29.90)
09 Division AVG(SA): METRO(30.01), ATLANTIC (31.14), CENTRAL(25.80), PACIFIC (30.01)
10 Based on this index the playoffs would look like this:
MET: PIT(86.20), NYI(80.03), WAS(78.05), NYR(77.53)
ATL: TBL(83.25), DET(83.08), BOS(77.45), MON(74.65)
CTR: CHI(90.75), NAS(84.60), MIN(83.00), STL(82.88)
PAC: VAN(77.78), ANA(77.48), SJS(76.63), LAK(76.60)
All suggestions are welcome. If this has any merit I'd like to publish this semi-weekly to allow for 5-7 games to be played for each team between rankings. Please let me know what y'all think. Thanks