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Pick 'em: Which Islanders goalie carries the load?

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In February, when Kevin Poulin was shut down for the season, Evgeni Nabokov was feeling uppity and Al Montoya was not yet on the way, I recalled a season where a team used seven goaltenders. But because the New York Islanders are graced by lady luck's sadistic sister, they got to stop at just six goalies last season.

2010-11 GP Rec GAA Sh Sv%
Rick DiPietro 26 8-14-4 3.44 773 .886
Al Montoya 20 9-5-5 2.39 585 .921
Dwayne Roloson 20 6-13-1 2.64 629 .916
Kevin Poulin 10 4-2-1 2.44 262 .924
Nathan Lawson 10 1-4-2 4.06 217 .893
Mikko Koskinen 4 2-1-0 4.33 118 .873
Evgeni Nabokov
DNP CBA literacy

That's still obviously not ideal. Hopefully it's not repeated. They have both potential and quantity going into 2011-12. No sure things -- there are never sure things, but these are even less sure things -- yet enough "this could work"s to at least hope the goaltending will be better than last season's .902 team save percentage.

As discussed over the weekend, each nominee has caveats: DiPietro has the three-year injury odyssey, Montoya has the brief recent history complicated by minor knee surgery over the summer, Poulin is coming off another knee cap dislocation (edit: "Another" as in he had one earlier in his amateur career), ex-All-Star Nabokov is of completely uncertain head and body, and the others are even greener than Poulin.

But any of the first four could conceivably put in a #1's year of work.

So if you had to bet, who carries the load in 2011-12? You can vote for the leader in the poll, but you might also want to explain a deeper breakdown of how things shake out in comments.