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Tonight we'll have a lottery thread; it'll be posted a couple hours before the anticlimactic big moment, which is scheduled to appear on Versus, TSN, and streaming on nhl.com. If you are unable to see the, um, envelope opening, I'll try to mix some sort of running commentary into the usual game-thread-like banter. If you don't know how the lottery works -- and why they don't just pull out a ball on live TV -- Eric outlines the process here.
As for this post, it's the exercise where we take a gander at the Islanders' individual counting stats (plus Time On Ice and stuff like that), compare it to their performances last year, and also integrate a couple of ex-Islanders who plied their 2009-10 trade with other NHL teams. Different situations, different contexts (how does one account for the Sidney Crosby Effect on Bill Guerin's stats?), but it's still fun to see how The Ones Who Walk Away would fit on the current team's leader board.
Because the table is so big, it appears after the jump. A lot of info there -- Bill Guerin is strangely consistent at his age -- Blake Comeau's powerplay time dropped off this season, yet he has 10 more goals to show for it.
Islanders Individual Stats 2009-10 vs. 2008-09
*Note: For Guerin, Comrie, Campoli, and Sutton, the stats in the year of their trade reflect combined stats for both teams -- except their special teams ice time per game, which reflects only their Isles tenure. Players' roles can change with a new team, so I was more interested in how much special teams time they received on the Isles, and more importantly, which Islanders filled those roles afterward.
It's not the full roster of contributors (and ex-Islanders), but I figure once we get down to 12 points (new regular Andrew MacDonald excepted) on the season, that's enough. A lot of small strides made by the youngsters, while superficially Sean Bergenheim's counting stats were again limited by injury and his deployment on the PK and not the PP.
This post was compiled in various stages of consciousness, so if you see anything that stands out as a possible error -- my eyes started to glaze over -- you can check it against NHL stats and let me know in comments.
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One thing that statheads always bring up: Shooting percentage usually comes back to the mean over time. In other words, Okposo probably won't only shoot 7.6% again. (But there are always variables: Tavares and Moulson get most of their goals from in tight; their higher shooting percentage will likely drop, but not as much as might be expected in the laboratory.)
Another thing you notice at a glance: Whatever individual opportunity Chris Campoli was seeking, he hasn't exactly found it in Ottawa, where he's played less than he did with the Isles. There were hints that he wanted a greater role -- on the powerplay where he was blocked by Streit and Weight, for example -- but in truth his best fit is as a depth defenseman on a decent team. With the Sens heading to the playoffs, he has at least found that.
Others: Much less of Richard Park on the powerplay, which pleases me -- although, ha: The powerplay unit was actually worse this year. ... The forwards who get ample time on both special teams units are clearly the ones Scott Gordon trusts most: So Okposo (too much?), Nielsen. Moulson -- well-rounded hockey players, they.
Anything else stand out for you? There's plenty to dig up, but one more thought: It's been said a bunch already, but my what a difference a year made for Andrew MacDonald.