January 2012 Power Rankings: A Playoff-Level Month?
Hello again, people. I hope you're keeping up with Torgo's excellent continuing series comparing the Isles with all of the other teams in 10-game chunks.
So the Isles had a winning month in January. We are all noticing the team slowly coming together, hoping that there are more years in the Rebuild's rear view mirror than in its windshield. Many have pointed out that if the Isles performed this well the entire season, it would usually be good enough to make the playoffs.
I mean, that is good enough, isn't it? Instead of just throwing the monthly power rankings summary up and say "so... there's that!" like I always do, maybe I can actually put this one to good use by trying to answer that question: If the Islanders played the whole year like they did in January, would they be in the playoffs?
The Islanders' 7-5-1 record, if extrapolated over a season, would equate to a record of 44-32-6, good enough for 94 points. Hmmm... Hold on now... That's not bad, but I'm not so sure that would be a lock for the playoffs. It would've been good enough in the East last year (93 points to get to eighth), but not the West (97).
But if you consider the quality of competition based on the power rankings, you get this:
January 2012 Power Rankings
| Winning | |||||||
| W | L | OTL | Pts | Pct | PWR | ||
| 1. | Anaheim | 9 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 0.792 | 2225 |
| 2. | NY Rangers | 8 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 0.708 | 2153 |
| 3. | St. Louis | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 0.818 | 2147 |
| 4. | Pittsburgh | 8 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0.667 | 2079 |
| 5. | Nashville | 11 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0.846 | 2077 |
| 6. | Vancouver | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0.727 | 2075 |
| 7. | Ottawa | 8 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 0.607 | 1965 |
| 8. | Detroit | 10 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0.769 | 1958 |
| 9. | Los Angeles | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 0.636 | 1941 |
| 10. | Boston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 0.654 | 1894 |
| 11. | Washington | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 0.583 | 1781 |
| 12. | San Jose | 9 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 0.714 | 1764 |
| 13. | Philadelphia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 0.615 | 1715 |
| 14. | Montreal | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 0.545 | 1688 |
| 15. | NY Islanders | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 0.577 | 1673 |
| 16. | Toronto | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 0.625 | 1663 |
| 17. | New Jersey | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 0.583 | 1588 |
| 18. | Carolina | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 0.542 | 1489 |
| 19. | Phoenix | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 0.417 | 1400 |
| 20. | Florida | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0.444 | 1385 |
| 21. | Colorado | 5 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 0.458 | 1369 |
| 22. | Dallas | 4 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 0.409 | 1364 |
| 23. | Calgary | 5 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 0.458 | 1318 |
| 24. | Tampa Bay | 5 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 0.458 | 1305 |
| 25. | Chicago | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 0.500 | 1298 |
| 26. | Edmonton | 4 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 0.385 | 1167 |
| 27. | Minnesota | 3 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 0.350 | 1043 |
| 28. | Buffalo | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 0.375 | 1027 |
| 29. | Winnipeg | 4 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 0.346 | 924 |
| 30. | Columbus | 3 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0.292 | 828 |
Based on the above, not only were the Islanders one of the 16 best teams in the league (and therefore playoff worthy), but they were seventh-best in the East. So yes, at least based on this unbiased yet imperfect set of calculations, the Islanders were on a playoff pace last month. Based on their quality of competition for that month, if the Isles kept up that level of effort over every month of the season (sometimes against better competition, sometimes against weaker competition), they'd very likely be in the playoffs.
Unfortunately, they haven't played that well all year, so as we all know they'd have to play way over their heads from here on in order to make up for lost time, but it's always good to see some meaningful progress, even if it takes this much data crunching to find it.*
Until next time!
*Disclaimer: Don't go around telling people your team is getting better based on these calculations. It's a sure fire way to get turban wedgies (that's when there's so much material pulled up over your head, they can wrap it around your cranium a few times).
Submitted FanPosts do not necessarily reflect the views of this blog or SB Nation. If you're reading this statement, you pass the fine print legalese test. Four stars for you.
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Nice job!
Can you imagine where they’d be if they could get a PP opportunity against toronto?
Undefeated in february… WOOOOOO!
I believe in ELI! Go Blue!
@JPinVA
I've got a feeling.
That this season no matter where we finish will be a springboard to something great over the next few years the team is gelling together well JT is becoming a Superstar & with a few upgrades on D & some more consistency we will be a playoff contending team.
3 Teams 3 Different Sports Same Torture!!!
by Kung Fu Panda 48 on Feb 4, 2012 5:52 AM EST via mobile reply actions
the end of last year
was supposed to be that springboard. then snow had to go f*ck it all up with stupid changes and by bringing in old fossils. in turn, the first 40 crappy games this year killed any playoff chance
after last night, a flat uninspired game tonight against buffalo is coming. i can just feel it.
As for Snow...
… The guys seems to make a mistake only once. I’m guessing you see better signings this coming off season. Barring that, he’ll call up one or two kids who have had enough seasoning.
Contributor for Lighthouse Hockey. Definitely neither the Sniper nor the Enforcer.
by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Feb 4, 2012 9:21 AM EST up reply actions
also,
our best month last year was February right? Well, we started a month earlier this time, so by next year we will be turning miracles in December. So if my math is right by the 2014 season we should be already in the playoffs coming october.
by ghalbart on Feb 4, 2012 9:23 AM EST up reply actions 3 recs
Ha!
Contributor for Lighthouse Hockey. Definitely neither the Sniper nor the Enforcer.
by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Feb 4, 2012 9:33 AM EST up reply actions
Next thing you know...
we’ll win the cup every July, just like the Rangers!!!
by SJG in NJ on Feb 4, 2012 9:38 AM EST up reply actions 1 recs
our best month last year was February right? Well, we started a month earlier this time, so by next year we will be turning miracles in December. So if my math is right by the 2014 season we should be already in the playoffs coming october.
LOL!
In all seriousness Ill point out something else important- everyone said the Isles played so well in Feb because they were out of it and there was no pressure. The Isles are not in the same spot at last year- being a game under NHL-500 in the beginning of Feb is different. :)
Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)
by TheMetalChick on Feb 4, 2012 10:25 AM EST up reply actions
True!
Contributor for Lighthouse Hockey. Definitely neither the Sniper nor the Enforcer.
by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Feb 4, 2012 10:35 AM EST up reply actions
On the OTT feed last night...
The analysts said that the Islander’s are a dangerous team because there are no expectations to make the playoffs so there’s no pressure on them. I wanted to reach through my screen and throttle them! Of course they have their heads up their ass cause they also said that Rolston not playing was a big loss for us.
We beat those Senators
even without Rolston
"The reader of this sentence exists only while reading me."
by North Dakota Red Eagle on Feb 4, 2012 1:44 PM EST up reply actions
Are those the same guys taht predicted 6 - 1 Sens win?
And how come when they were out of it last year, they continued to suck instead of playing loose and winning?
How do Islander fans spell hope?
T-A-V-A-R-E-S
by BobbyNystromOwnsYou on Feb 4, 2012 1:53 PM EST up reply actions
Well, unfoortunately
We keep getting eliminated by November! Just need to not stink quite as bad those first two months, and boom, Stanley Cup!
Neil Smith @bigdealneil94 @KeithLHHockey @craigjbutton hey keith GFY
Website:Lighthouse HockeyTwitter: @KeithLHHockey
...

How do Islander fans spell hope?
T-A-V-A-R-E-S
by BobbyNystromOwnsYou on Feb 4, 2012 9:28 AM EST up reply actions 5 recs
Ayoye!
All the negative vibes emanating from this site so early on a Saturday morning. They came from behind to win last night against a team they have had trouble beating historically. They won without a point from you know who, even if he did get the winning play going. And, in case you haven’t noticed, this nameless wonder is now one of the best players in the league who already suffered his dreaded dry spell this season. They had a good record in January and, as you say, they are “coming together.” The schedule in February includes only three games against teams that can be seen as being on another level. The rest are against teams with similar records whom the Isles have been able to beat. Since this is a fan site, why not be at least cautiously optimistic, instead of being ready to pack it in.
Uh, like, you know man or dude or dog or whatever it is the hipsters say these days, LIGHTEN UP!
by kennyboy13 on Feb 4, 2012 9:21 AM EST reply actions 2 recs
Tavares = Voldemort???
He who shall not be named. :)
I try not to be negative towards the negative comments.
Seasons are extremely long, and given how they ended last year, there was real hope for the playoffs this year. I might not agree with, for example, ripcurl2121’s prediction about tonight’s game, but I cannot deny that bringing in some of the vets simply hasn’t worked out as planned.
Just gotta hope that Garth continues to learn from his mistakes. Generally, he has.
Contributor for Lighthouse Hockey. Definitely neither the Sniper nor the Enforcer.
by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Feb 4, 2012 9:37 AM EST up reply actions
Me too,
with this team, the fan negativity is well deserved, you can only beat a dog so much before it starts to bite.
I tend to lean towards the positive tho, especially when they just had a come from behind, overtime win on the road.
I’d love to see them come out hard and fast tonight against Buffalo instead of the lethargic, skating in mud 1st period they so often seem to have.
A strong dominating game against a struggling / injured Sabre team and continuing this hot streak will go a long way toward giving this fanbase some much needed optimism.
Some people act like they were all Plan "A" and got big deals from Snow.
which is kinda annoying because it flies in the face of what actually happened with this team in the offseason. I was just reading this Isles site and there were all these postgame comments about last nights game complaining about DiPietro. One guess on what site it was lol.
But it could be worse lol
Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)
by TheMetalChick on Feb 4, 2012 10:28 AM EST up reply actions
Strike thru fail. But I agree.
Garth said in his GM’s corner thing that they figured “there was more than one way to skin a cat.” Well, they were wrong. It happens. I know this is pro sports and EVERYTHING IS OF THE UTMOST IMPORTANCE ALL THE TIME EVERY YEAR but hey, sometimes these guys make mistakes. It happens. The trick is to not make them a second time.
As this post says, even if the Islander were playing at this level all year, they’d still be a low-mid 90 point team and hardly guaranteed a playoff spot. They aren’t on the same wavelength as the contenders going for it now. They’ll say they are, because that’s what teams say. But in reality, the Cup wasn’t happening this year. And I’m OK with that as long as progress is made towards it in the near future.
Rolston was a mistake, period. Before the injury, Reasoner is a mystery. Pandolfo’s basically done his job, as has Staios (for the most part). But the good news is, all those guys (including Eaton and Mottau) are probably gone next year and they try a different idea.
"He's depriving some small village of a pretty good idiot" - Mike Milbury on Ziggy Palffy's agent. On Twitter: @Dan_of_Science
by PGI on Feb 4, 2012 10:50 AM EST up reply actions 1 recs
and your right on not making
the same mistakes twice for Snow. We do owe him a bit of credit for coming in as a player directly to a GM position. He was given a ton of flack inititally, but the Islanders made the post-season and then there was a mass exodus and a farm system that was about as good as whole grain cherios. (They are terrible, like Cardboard)
Now we have developing players, across multiple teams and we actually have players in the AHL that are starting to become quality call ups to full time employees.
This season like you said the Rolston, keeping Mottau, while letting go of Hillen, Staios deals were mistakes. The Reasoner deal is just bad luck, because it was a good move for a 4th line center at the time. Luckily Pandolfo has played above his head to play decently in his role. He knows all of this and I believe it will be rectified this off season with some better quality players all around.
Tavares = Seravat
A direct descendant of Moses, who will part the waters of the East River to upset the evil Rags of of Sin City. :))))
by kennyboy13 on Feb 4, 2012 9:33 AM EST reply actions 1 recs
By the way
And I am sorry for indulging myself here so often so early this morning, but what is it that Ancient Islander Warrior Hero God Brent of Sutterville is uttering through that angry visage? I studied female body language at university, which is probably why my marriage is on the ropes, instead of hockey coach lip reading.
by kennyboy13 on Feb 4, 2012 9:43 AM EST reply actions 2 recs
I'm pretty sure that's "F--- me."
Which puts a rather unpleasant image in my mind. I really didn’t need to envision him that way.
Contributor for Lighthouse Hockey. Definitely neither the Sniper nor the Enforcer.
by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Feb 4, 2012 9:55 AM EST up reply actions
The one thing
my tenure as an Islander fan has given me is a large, some would say almost deluded sense of patience. To remain on board with this hopelessness through the 1990s and 2000s, gives me a massive headache thinking about it wiliingness to wait for results which some would say is bordering on the pathological.
Garth Snow was appointed GM in the summer of 2006 and the Mickey Mouse hats were on full display. Charles Wang had made an effort to bring in the an experienced GM in Neil Smith which simply didn’t work. Setting aside the DP Contract fo now, Snow took over a team with absolutely zero prospects and no real chance to compete. He made the moves to try to compete in his first seaosn and at the same time emptied the cupboard of whatever youth the team had. When the Ryan Smyth experiment failed, we were left with no options but to blow it all up and start from a point where not even expansion teams begin — at least expansion teams begin with a full roster of NHL players.
With no draft picks left in the 2007 draft, my take is that the rebuild started with the 2008 draft and, while reasonable people can disagree over the results of that draft, the rebuild has gone very well, in my view.
The 2009 Draft may well go down as the greatest draft year in Islanders history. 2010 and 2011 are obviously works in progress. In five years, this franchise has gone from a nuclear wasteland to the having the nucleus of a Championship contender.
There have been speed bumps along the way. 2010-2011 was lost to injury (it’s interesting to note that the Islanders apparently have the second most man games lost to injury this season as well, although for some strange reason, we don’t seem to notice it).
Free Agents (or at least, highly touted Free Agents) don’t seem to want to come here. There is no reasonable explanation for that. More importantly, Snow cannot be blamed for that. I’m guessing that there is no one here who would have paid Ehrhoff or Wisniewski the insane salaries they eventually got from desperate or stupid teams. We can quibble over whether it was the right move to let Jack Hillen get away or whether more could have been done to keep Jared Spurgeon or Blake Kessel from using their free agencies to their best advantage (note that Kessel is playing in the AHL right now).
The primary concern, frequently expressed, is frustration with the signing and playing of three old guys formerly from New Jersey by the names of Rolston, Staios and Pandolfo. These Cap Mules, as they are derogatorily and derisively known, are, as they say, what they are: fill ins, bridges between what we had and what we have coming, and mechanisms by which the Islanders meet their obligations to the NHLPA under the CBA without over committing long term payroll to underdeveloped players.
What we hear is, “Bring the kids up. Bring the kids up.” This is, in my opinion, shortsighted and ultimately, self defeating. If the kids aren’t ready, bringing them up does us no good. Even if they are marginally ready, and by this, I mean, perhaps ready to learn how not ready they are, then bringing them too soon exposes them to injury, loss of confidence and being part of a losing experience that I am hopeful we will have seen the last of, come tomorrow night, when the Isles are below .500 (NHL .500, true, but w/e) for the last time in the JT age. Bringing them up means waiving the Cap Mules, which means we are (and I am not 100% sure on this, but I’ll say it any way) risking falling below the Cap Floor, which risks costing us a draft pick, if my CBA understanding is correct.
More importantly, Cizikas, de Haan, Ness, Donovan, Wishart, Ullstrom, DiBenedetto, Nillson, Poulin, and the other Sound Tigers are right now learning what it takes to WIN. Currently, they are third in thir conference (6th actually, but division leaders/winners get certain perks), on an 11-0-0-1 tear and looking ahead to a long playoff run. deHaan, Ness, Donovan and Wishart are what replace Staios, Eaton and possibly Jurcina next fall. Cizikas, Ullstrom and DiBenedetto are what replace Rolston and Pandolfo next fall — when they’re ready, when they have an understanding of what it feels like to win.
There may be an argumant that the month of November has again destroyed our playoff chances and it’s hard to argue with that. But the players who lost those November games are the same ones, for the most part, who are winning now. Having Staios, Rolston and Pandolfo on the roster doesn’t change that.
Stay the course, I say, in my long winded manner. This team will be very very exciting in September. We’re going to have some serious fun watching for the next two months or so, but whether they challenge for that 8 spot or not, the Islanders of 2012-13 and beyond are going to be exactly what our patience has earned us. And Gawdamighty, it’s gonna feel sooo good.
STOP effin' messin' with my FnGO!!
by Nova Scotia Isles Fan on Feb 4, 2012 11:52 AM EST reply actions 3 recs
Too long, didn't read ;)
Haha just kidding, but I couldn’t agree more with you. Let the kids stay in the A because we’re not winning the cup this year, and also stay the course. No need to rush development for an 8 seed 1 and done.
You should've seen her face. It was the exact same look my father gave me when I told him I wanted to be a ventriloquist.
I agree
There’s no rush. We’re not making the playoffs this year. Maybe rotate who comes up when there are injuries to get Cizikas, DiBo, Donovan, etc a taste of the NHL (and a sense of the BIG jump it is from the A and what exactly they need to work on), but I’d rather see them largely stay together and have a nice season at BP this year.
Some players are an exception and are ready earlier
Look at Hamonic. Got called up to the “show” and didn’t really miss a beat. Like Hamonic, Cizikas does all the little things well and also produces offense. That’s why I think he may be ready to join the Isles quicker than most people think.
my take is that the rebuild started with the 2008 draft and, while reasonable people can disagree over the results of that draft, the rebuild has gone very well, in my view.
That was the organizations take as well- that was when the Isles had numerous get-togethers with fans and Garth explained to all of us that they were going to be performing the rebuild.
Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)
by TheMetalChick on Feb 4, 2012 1:14 PM EST up reply actions
The primary concern, frequently expressed, is frustration with the signing and playing of three old guys formerly from New Jersey by the names of Rolston, Staios and Pandolfo. These Cap Mules, as they are derogatorily and derisively known,
Only Rolston fits the “cap mule” billing- the other two certainly dont.
Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)
by TheMetalChick on Feb 4, 2012 1:15 PM EST up reply actions
You don't think?
I figured that’s why they both had bonuses that equal or exceed their base salaries. I assume they are bonuses they aren’t too likely to earn, but help the Isles get over the cap.
Neither of them are anywhere near Rolston level in salary.
They arent even anywhere near Rolston level including bonuses.
They are stopgaps, not cap mules.
Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)
by TheMetalChick on Feb 4, 2012 3:13 PM EST up reply actions
Yeah, so, you know… Get your derogatory terms straight! ;-)
Contributor for Lighthouse Hockey. Definitely neither the Sniper nor the Enforcer.
by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Feb 5, 2012 12:09 AM EST up reply actions 1 recs
lol exactly.
Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)
by TheMetalChick on Feb 5, 2012 12:26 AM EST up reply actions
OT: 8 points in 14 games
I’m going out on a limb here and predicting Gagner wins NHL player of the week.
If he matches his production in Thursday’s game over the course of the next 14 (or so) games (8 pts in 14 games), he will be in the running for player of the month.
If Tavares scores 8 points in the next 14 games, all the media will be saying it was largely just an incredibly hot January for Tavares.
8 points in 14 games: what a difference context can make.
BTW, even if we omit the All-Star week (or count the AS game), Tavares was still shy of 25 points in 25 days.
"The reader of this sentence exists only while reading me."
by North Dakota Red Eagle on Feb 4, 2012 2:07 PM EST reply actions
Something wrong with the Isles/Sabres Gameday post
404 Error when I click on it
UVa Student. Twitter: @ericdavidmorris
it was like that for hours
I was gonna say something but my friends showed up to get food before the game and I have a non-smart phone (a dumb phone?)
Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)
by TheMetalChick on Feb 5, 2012 12:27 AM EST up reply actions
I believe they're called "Telephones".
by Les Beaver on Feb 6, 2012 4:15 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
LOL exactly.
But people just expect you to have a Droid or an iPhone nowadays, and I am not up to par on that.
Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)
by TheMetalChick on Feb 8, 2012 1:40 AM EST up reply actions











































