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Around SBN: Full Coverage of 2012 Coke 600

January 2012 Power Rankings: A Playoff-Level Month?

Hello again, people. I hope you're keeping up with Torgo's excellent continuing series comparing the Isles with all of the other teams in 10-game chunks.

So the Isles had a winning month in January. We are all noticing the team slowly coming together, hoping that there are more years in the Rebuild's rear view mirror than in its windshield. Many have pointed out that if the Isles performed this well the entire season, it would usually be good enough to make the playoffs.

I mean, that is good enough, isn't it? Instead of just throwing the monthly power rankings summary up and say "so... there's that!" like I always do, maybe I can actually put this one to good use by trying to answer that question: If the Islanders played the whole year like they did in January, would they be in the playoffs?

Star-divide

The Islanders' 7-5-1 record, if extrapolated over a season, would equate to a record of 44-32-6, good enough for 94 points. Hmmm... Hold on now... That's not bad, but I'm not so sure that would be a lock for the playoffs. It would've been good enough in the East last year (93 points to get to eighth), but not the West (97).

But if you consider the quality of competition based on the power rankings, you get this:

January 2012 Power Rankings

Winning
W L OTL Pts Pct PWR
1. Anaheim 9 2 1 19 0.792 2225
2. NY Rangers 8 3 1 17 0.708 2153
3. St. Louis 8 1 2 18 0.818 2147
4. Pittsburgh 8 4 0 16 0.667 2079
5. Nashville 11 2 0 22 0.846 2077
6. Vancouver 7 2 2 16 0.727 2075
7. Ottawa 8 5 1 17 0.607 1965
8. Detroit 10 3 0 20 0.769 1958
9. Los Angeles 5 2 4 14 0.636 1941
10. Boston 8 4 1 17 0.654 1894
11. Washington 6 4 2 14 0.583 1781
12. San Jose 9 3 2 20 0.714 1764
13. Philadelphia 7 4 2 16 0.615 1715
14. Montreal 5 4 2 12 0.545 1688
15. NY Islanders 7 5 1 15 0.577 1673
16. Toronto 7 4 1 15 0.625 1663
17. New Jersey 6 4 2 14 0.583 1588
18. Carolina 5 4 3 13 0.542 1489
19. Phoenix 3 5 4 10 0.417 1400
20. Florida 2 3 4 8 0.444 1385
21. Colorado 5 6 1 11 0.458 1369
22. Dallas 4 6 1 9 0.409 1364
23. Calgary 5 6 1 11 0.458 1318
24. Tampa Bay 5 6 1 11 0.458 1305
25. Chicago 5 5 3 13 0.500 1298
26. Edmonton 4 7 2 10 0.385 1167
27. Minnesota 3 6 1 7 0.350 1043
28. Buffalo 4 7 1 9 0.375 1027
29. Winnipeg 4 8 1 9 0.346 924
30. Columbus 3 8 1 7 0.292 828

Based on the above, not only were the Islanders one of the 16 best teams in the league (and therefore playoff worthy), but they were seventh-best in the East. So yes, at least based on this unbiased yet imperfect set of calculations, the Islanders were on a playoff pace last month. Based on their quality of competition for that month, if the Isles kept up that level of effort over every month of the season (sometimes against better competition, sometimes against weaker competition), they'd very likely be in the playoffs.

Unfortunately, they haven't played that well all year, so as we all know they'd have to play way over their heads from here on in order to make up for lost time, but it's always good to see some meaningful progress, even if it takes this much data crunching to find it.*

Until next time!

*Disclaimer: Don't go around telling people your team is getting better based on these calculations. It's a sure fire way to get turban wedgies (that's when there's so much material pulled up over your head, they can wrap it around your cranium a few times).

Submitted FanPosts do not necessarily reflect the views of this blog or SB Nation. If you're reading this statement, you pass the fine print legalese test. Four stars for you.

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Nice job!

Can you imagine where they’d be if they could get a PP opportunity against toronto?
Undefeated in february… WOOOOOO!

I believe in ELI! Go Blue!
@JPinVA

by JPinVA on Feb 4, 2012 5:33 AM EST reply actions  

I've got a feeling.

That this season no matter where we finish will be a springboard to something great over the next few years the team is gelling together well JT is becoming a Superstar & with a few upgrades on D & some more consistency we will be a playoff contending team.

3 Teams 3 Different Sports Same Torture!!!

by Kung Fu Panda 48 on Feb 4, 2012 5:52 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

the end of last year

was supposed to be that springboard. then snow had to go f*ck it all up with stupid changes and by bringing in old fossils. in turn, the first 40 crappy games this year killed any playoff chance

after last night, a flat uninspired game tonight against buffalo is coming. i can just feel it.

by ripcurl2121 on Feb 4, 2012 8:59 AM EST up reply actions  

As for Snow...

… The guys seems to make a mistake only once. I’m guessing you see better signings this coming off season. Barring that, he’ll call up one or two kids who have had enough seasoning.

Contributor for Lighthouse Hockey. Definitely neither the Sniper nor the Enforcer.

by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Feb 4, 2012 9:21 AM EST up reply actions  

Ha!

Contributor for Lighthouse Hockey. Definitely neither the Sniper nor the Enforcer.

by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Feb 4, 2012 9:33 AM EST up reply actions  

Next thing you know...

we’ll win the cup every July, just like the Rangers!!!

by SJG in NJ on Feb 4, 2012 9:38 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

our best month last year was February right? Well, we started a month earlier this time, so by next year we will be turning miracles in December. So if my math is right by the 2014 season we should be already in the playoffs coming october.

LOL!

In all seriousness Ill point out something else important- everyone said the Isles played so well in Feb because they were out of it and there was no pressure. The Isles are not in the same spot at last year- being a game under NHL-500 in the beginning of Feb is different. :)

Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)

by TheMetalChick on Feb 4, 2012 10:25 AM EST up reply actions  

True!

Contributor for Lighthouse Hockey. Definitely neither the Sniper nor the Enforcer.

by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Feb 4, 2012 10:35 AM EST up reply actions  

On the OTT feed last night...

The analysts said that the Islander’s are a dangerous team because there are no expectations to make the playoffs so there’s no pressure on them. I wanted to reach through my screen and throttle them! Of course they have their heads up their ass cause they also said that Rolston not playing was a big loss for us.

by 54_Fighting on Feb 4, 2012 1:40 PM EST up reply actions  

We beat those Senators

even without Rolston

"The reader of this sentence exists only while reading me."

by North Dakota Red Eagle on Feb 4, 2012 1:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Are those the same guys taht predicted 6 - 1 Sens win?

And how come when they were out of it last year, they continued to suck instead of playing loose and winning?

How do Islander fans spell hope?

T-A-V-A-R-E-S

by BobbyNystromOwnsYou on Feb 4, 2012 1:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Well, unfoortunately

We keep getting eliminated by November! Just need to not stink quite as bad those first two months, and boom, Stanley Cup!

Neil Smith @bigdealneil94 @KeithLHHockey @craigjbutton hey keith GFY
Website:Lighthouse HockeyTwitter: @KeithLHHockey

by Keith Quinn on Feb 4, 2012 11:18 AM EST up reply actions  

Ayoye!

All the negative vibes emanating from this site so early on a Saturday morning. They came from behind to win last night against a team they have had trouble beating historically. They won without a point from you know who, even if he did get the winning play going. And, in case you haven’t noticed, this nameless wonder is now one of the best players in the league who already suffered his dreaded dry spell this season. They had a good record in January and, as you say, they are “coming together.” The schedule in February includes only three games against teams that can be seen as being on another level. The rest are against teams with similar records whom the Isles have been able to beat. Since this is a fan site, why not be at least cautiously optimistic, instead of being ready to pack it in.

Uh, like, you know man or dude or dog or whatever it is the hipsters say these days, LIGHTEN UP!

by kennyboy13 on Feb 4, 2012 9:21 AM EST reply actions   2 recs

I try not to be negative towards the negative comments.

Seasons are extremely long, and given how they ended last year, there was real hope for the playoffs this year. I might not agree with, for example, ripcurl2121’s prediction about tonight’s game, but I cannot deny that bringing in some of the vets simply hasn’t worked out as planned.

Just gotta hope that Garth continues to learn from his mistakes. Generally, he has.

Contributor for Lighthouse Hockey. Definitely neither the Sniper nor the Enforcer.

by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Feb 4, 2012 9:37 AM EST up reply actions  

Me too,

with this team, the fan negativity is well deserved, you can only beat a dog so much before it starts to bite.

I tend to lean towards the positive tho, especially when they just had a come from behind, overtime win on the road.

I’d love to see them come out hard and fast tonight against Buffalo instead of the lethargic, skating in mud 1st period they so often seem to have.

A strong dominating game against a struggling / injured Sabre team and continuing this hot streak will go a long way toward giving this fanbase some much needed optimism.

by SJG in NJ on Feb 4, 2012 9:52 AM EST up reply actions  

Some people act like they were all Plan "A" and got big deals from Snow.

which is kinda annoying because it flies in the face of what actually happened with this team in the offseason.
But it could be worse lol
I was just reading this Isles site and there were all these postgame comments about last nights game complaining about DiPietro. One guess on what site it was lol.

Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)

by TheMetalChick on Feb 4, 2012 10:28 AM EST up reply actions  

Strike thru fail. But I agree.

Garth said in his GM’s corner thing that they figured “there was more than one way to skin a cat.” Well, they were wrong. It happens. I know this is pro sports and EVERYTHING IS OF THE UTMOST IMPORTANCE ALL THE TIME EVERY YEAR but hey, sometimes these guys make mistakes. It happens. The trick is to not make them a second time.

As this post says, even if the Islander were playing at this level all year, they’d still be a low-mid 90 point team and hardly guaranteed a playoff spot. They aren’t on the same wavelength as the contenders going for it now. They’ll say they are, because that’s what teams say. But in reality, the Cup wasn’t happening this year. And I’m OK with that as long as progress is made towards it in the near future.

Rolston was a mistake, period. Before the injury, Reasoner is a mystery. Pandolfo’s basically done his job, as has Staios (for the most part). But the good news is, all those guys (including Eaton and Mottau) are probably gone next year and they try a different idea.

"He's depriving some small village of a pretty good idiot" - Mike Milbury on Ziggy Palffy's agent. On Twitter: @Dan_of_Science

by PGI on Feb 4, 2012 10:50 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

and your right on not making

the same mistakes twice for Snow. We do owe him a bit of credit for coming in as a player directly to a GM position. He was given a ton of flack inititally, but the Islanders made the post-season and then there was a mass exodus and a farm system that was about as good as whole grain cherios. (They are terrible, like Cardboard)

Now we have developing players, across multiple teams and we actually have players in the AHL that are starting to become quality call ups to full time employees.

This season like you said the Rolston, keeping Mottau, while letting go of Hillen, Staios deals were mistakes. The Reasoner deal is just bad luck, because it was a good move for a 4th line center at the time. Luckily Pandolfo has played above his head to play decently in his role. He knows all of this and I believe it will be rectified this off season with some better quality players all around.

by ghalbart on Feb 4, 2012 11:06 AM EST up reply actions  

Tavares = Seravat

A direct descendant of Moses, who will part the waters of the East River to upset the evil Rags of of Sin City. :))))

by kennyboy13 on Feb 4, 2012 9:33 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

By the way

And I am sorry for indulging myself here so often so early this morning, but what is it that Ancient Islander Warrior Hero God Brent of Sutterville is uttering through that angry visage? I studied female body language at university, which is probably why my marriage is on the ropes, instead of hockey coach lip reading.

by kennyboy13 on Feb 4, 2012 9:43 AM EST reply actions   2 recs

I'm pretty sure that's "F--- me."

Which puts a rather unpleasant image in my mind. I really didn’t need to envision him that way.

Contributor for Lighthouse Hockey. Definitely neither the Sniper nor the Enforcer.

by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Feb 4, 2012 9:55 AM EST up reply actions  

Too long, didn't read ;)

Haha just kidding, but I couldn’t agree more with you. Let the kids stay in the A because we’re not winning the cup this year, and also stay the course. No need to rush development for an 8 seed 1 and done.

You should've seen her face. It was the exact same look my father gave me when I told him I wanted to be a ventriloquist.

by mikefromVA on Feb 4, 2012 12:13 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree

There’s no rush. We’re not making the playoffs this year. Maybe rotate who comes up when there are injuries to get Cizikas, DiBo, Donovan, etc a taste of the NHL (and a sense of the BIG jump it is from the A and what exactly they need to work on), but I’d rather see them largely stay together and have a nice season at BP this year.

by afrosupreme on Feb 4, 2012 12:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Some players are an exception and are ready earlier

Look at Hamonic. Got called up to the “show” and didn’t really miss a beat. Like Hamonic, Cizikas does all the little things well and also produces offense. That’s why I think he may be ready to join the Isles quicker than most people think.

by JoRiverside on Feb 4, 2012 1:40 PM EST up reply actions  

my take is that the rebuild started with the 2008 draft and, while reasonable people can disagree over the results of that draft, the rebuild has gone very well, in my view.

That was the organizations take as well- that was when the Isles had numerous get-togethers with fans and Garth explained to all of us that they were going to be performing the rebuild.

Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)

by TheMetalChick on Feb 4, 2012 1:14 PM EST up reply actions  

The primary concern, frequently expressed, is frustration with the signing and playing of three old guys formerly from New Jersey by the names of Rolston, Staios and Pandolfo. These Cap Mules, as they are derogatorily and derisively known,

Only Rolston fits the “cap mule” billing- the other two certainly dont.

Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)

by TheMetalChick on Feb 4, 2012 1:15 PM EST up reply actions  

You don't think?

I figured that’s why they both had bonuses that equal or exceed their base salaries. I assume they are bonuses they aren’t too likely to earn, but help the Isles get over the cap.

by afrosupreme on Feb 4, 2012 1:57 PM EST up reply actions  

Neither of them are anywhere near Rolston level in salary.
They arent even anywhere near Rolston level including bonuses.
They are stopgaps, not cap mules.

Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)

by TheMetalChick on Feb 4, 2012 3:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, so, you know… Get your derogatory terms straight! ;-)

Contributor for Lighthouse Hockey. Definitely neither the Sniper nor the Enforcer.

by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Feb 5, 2012 12:09 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

lol exactly.

Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)

by TheMetalChick on Feb 5, 2012 12:26 AM EST up reply actions  

OT: 8 points in 14 games

I’m going out on a limb here and predicting Gagner wins NHL player of the week.

If he matches his production in Thursday’s game over the course of the next 14 (or so) games (8 pts in 14 games), he will be in the running for player of the month.

If Tavares scores 8 points in the next 14 games, all the media will be saying it was largely just an incredibly hot January for Tavares.

8 points in 14 games: what a difference context can make.

BTW, even if we omit the All-Star week (or count the AS game), Tavares was still shy of 25 points in 25 days.

"The reader of this sentence exists only while reading me."

by North Dakota Red Eagle on Feb 4, 2012 2:07 PM EST reply actions  

Something wrong with the Isles/Sabres Gameday post

404 Error when I click on it

UVa Student. Twitter: @ericdavidmorris

by edavidmorris on Feb 4, 2012 4:11 PM EST reply actions  

it was like that for hours

I was gonna say something but my friends showed up to get food before the game and I have a non-smart phone (a dumb phone?)

Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)

by TheMetalChick on Feb 5, 2012 12:27 AM EST up reply actions  

LOL exactly.

But people just expect you to have a Droid or an iPhone nowadays, and I am not up to par on that.

Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)

by TheMetalChick on Feb 8, 2012 1:40 AM EST up reply actions  


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Islanders Schedule

1979-80


May 24, 1980: Tonelli to Nystrom. At long last, the steady build of the New York Islanders from expansion doormat to surprise semifinalist to annual contender reaches the promised land: Buoyed by a late season trade for Butch Goring that gave the team the depth up the middle GM Bill Torrey had been seeking, the Islanders knock off the Philadelphia Flyers in six games.

The victory justified the faith in coach Al Arbour who guided them from their second season to their first Stanley Cup seven seasons later. The Islanders would not be the first expansion team to win the Stanley Cup, but they would be the only one capable of a dynasty.

1980-81


May 21, 1981: This time it was much easier. After falling to "only" 91 points in the 1979-80 season, the Islanders returned to their division title tradition, piling up 110 points -- a whole 13 points over second-place Philadelphia.

Between the quarterfinals (where they beat the upstart Oilers in six games) and the finals, the Islanders reeled off eight consecutive wins -- with a four-game sweep of archrival Rangers in between. As they defeated the Minnesota North Stars in five games for their second Cup, their goal difference in the final was a combined +10.

1981-82


May 16, 1982: Another year, another landslide title. The Islanders won the Patrick Division by a whopping 26 points over the second-place Rangers, and were seven points clear of their nearest competition for the President's Trophy, the still-not-quite-ripe Edmonton Oilers.

A first-round scare against the Pittsburgh Penguins turned in the Isles' favor thanks to John Tonelli's heroics, and a true dynasty was on its way: Past the Rangers in six games, then an eight-game sweep of the Quebec Nordiques and Vancouver Canucks to run away with the Stanley Cup.

1982-83


May 17, 1983: Not so fast, whipper-snappers. The Edmonton Oilers' steadily rising challenge for league supremacy took them all the way to the finals for the first time, where the New York Islanders summarily dispatched them in a four-game sweep. For the Islanders, the Dynasty was secured. For the Oilers, it was a powerful lesson in where talent ends and the demands of playoff hockey begin.

Four years, four Cups, 16 consecutive playoff series wins (a record that would grow to 19 until the rematch with the Oilers the following year). Mike Bossy scored 60 goals yet again, and Wayne Gretzky became acquainted with Billy Smith's crease.


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