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December 2011 NHL Power Rankings

Hi, all. If you're a stats nut, enjoy a little more to keep you interested between games (or between cable/channel disputes). If you're not, then move along. Nothing to see here.

So, last month, I showed how the Isles fared against everyone else in November, based on data from the power rankings that I whip up every week. By throwing out all data except for one month, we can (hopefully) get a better feel for our beloved Isles' progress as the season wears on. After the jump, we'll see how the Isles (and everyone else) did in December...

Star-divide

December 2011 Power Rankings







Winning


W L OTL Pts Pct PWR
1.
Chicago 10 2 1 21 0.808 2116
2.
Boston 9 3 0 18 0.750 1991
3.
Winnipeg 10 3 1 21 0.750 1983
4.
NY Rangers 10 4 1 21 0.700 1957
5.
Philadelphia 9 3 1 19 0.731 1951
6.
Colorado 10 5 0 20 0.667 1903
7.
New Jersey 9 5 0 18 0.643 1766
8.
Vancouver 10 4 1 21 0.700 1760
9.
Washington 8 5 1 17 0.607 1754
10.
Nashville 9 5 0 18 0.643 1724
11.
St. Louis 7 4 3 17 0.607 1717
12.
Detroit 9 6 0 18 0.600 1673
13.
San Jose 6 4 3 15 0.577 1633
14.
Dallas 7 6 0 14 0.538 1607
15.
Florida 7 5 3 17 0.567 1592
16.
Pittsburgh 7 6 0 14 0.538 1587
17.
Calgary 8 4 4 20 0.625 1549
18.
Ottawa 7 5 3 17 0.567 1533
19.
Los Angeles 7 6 2 16 0.533 1465
20.
NY Islanders 6 6 2 14 0.500 1449
21.
Tampa Bay 6 6 1 13 0.500 1415
22.
Minnesota 6 6 3 15 0.500 1289
23.
Buffalo 4 7 3 11 0.393 1181
24.
Toronto 4 6 3 11 0.423 1160
25.
Montreal 4 7 3 11 0.393 1141
26.
Phoenix 6 9 1 13 0.406 1137
27.
Carolina 5 7 2 12 0.429 1109
28.
Columbus 4 8 2 10 0.357 1055
29.
Anaheim 3 8 2 8 0.308 867
30.
Edmonton 3 9 0 6 0.250 680

Well, I'm a tad surprised, at least. The Isles finished 20th in December, as opposed to 26th in November and 25th in October. I suppose the NHL-.500 record would dictate a better finish than the other months, but it just felt like a worse month than that.

Meanwhile, who would've thought Winnipeg would ever have a month like that? For all their struggles, the Capitals finished in the top 10 this month, as well. Am I the only one who takes perverse pleasure in seeing Toronto and Montreal near the bottom?

Anyway, as we already suspected, the Isles aren't playing well enough recently to be a playoff team, even if they're improving. Got any other observations?

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Comment 18 comments  |  Add comment  |  2 recs  | 

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Look at Winnipeg at #3

amazing how a change of scenery has had such an effect on the team.

You should've seen her face. It was the exact same look my father gave me when I told him I wanted to be a ventriloquist.

by mikefromVA on Jan 10, 2012 12:04 AM EST reply actions  

Well, you know

It’s still just one isolated month. And as it happens, it was a month with only two road games for them, so they shouldn’t expect another one of those. (Though that does play to the home-friendly “scenery” angle, now that I think of it.)

Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A Dane with no holes is Frans Nielsen.

by Dominik on Jan 10, 2012 1:05 AM EST up reply actions  

Good point.

Home and road points are treated equally in the formulas. Maybe i should change that.

Yet another Moulson brother-in-law.

by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Jan 10, 2012 8:55 AM EST up reply actions  

I was thinking of that - don't know how much a factor it is

But seems like Winnipeg was enjoying a boost this year, anyway.

Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A Dane with no holes is Frans Nielsen.

by Dominik on Jan 10, 2012 12:57 PM EST up reply actions  

Changing based on who's home isn't too tough.

Figuring out how to calculate a loss based on the opponent, however, can be tricky (see below). I’m open to ideas.

Yet another Moulson brother-in-law.

by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Jan 10, 2012 1:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Interesting, funny to see the oilers come back to earth.

Too bad we screwed our January power ranking mightily after losing to the Ducks and Coyotes.

What do you mean they won 4 cups in a row? Is that possible?

by OzzyFan on Jan 10, 2012 1:03 AM EST reply actions  

Heh

That was my favorite gallows humor about our last two losses: My god, our power ranking! At least they didn’t lose to Edmonton, too.

Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A Dane with no holes is Frans Nielsen.

by Dominik on Jan 10, 2012 1:06 AM EST up reply actions   2 recs

Well, if it makes you feel any better....

…. When it comes to the calculations, a loss is a loss is a loss. Doesn’t matter who it’s to.

Yet another Moulson brother-in-law.

by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Jan 10, 2012 8:55 AM EST up reply actions  

I thought this factored in strength of opponent.

Or does it only works for wins so a win over the Hawks means more than a win over the Oilers? But a loss is just a loss.

by Hockey1919 on Jan 10, 2012 11:48 AM EST up reply actions  

Correct.

That’s exactly it. I figured that all teams have off nights, and nobody should be punished any more for it than if they lost to a good team. Besides, it becomes a bit more complicated then, on how much to subtract from a team’s points depending on opponent.

Yet another Moulson brother-in-law.

by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Jan 10, 2012 12:58 PM EST up reply actions  

I guess it is inversely factored in

The Ducks don’t get too much credit for beating the Islanders, which offsets the Islanders not getting hit too much for getting beat by the Ducks.

by Hockey1919 on Jan 10, 2012 1:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Ahhh, okay. That makes sense.

Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A Dane with no holes is Frans Nielsen.

by Dominik on Jan 10, 2012 5:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Ahhh, I didn't even realize that

/feels silly

Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A Dane with no holes is Frans Nielsen.

by Dominik on Jan 10, 2012 12:57 PM EST up reply actions  

Awe, shucks.

I got Dom all rosey-cheeked and stuff.

You’d only notice if you clicked on all the different calculations in each cell and worked things through.

Yet another Moulson brother-in-law.

by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Jan 10, 2012 12:59 PM EST up reply actions  

I keep clicking them

But all I see is nuclear launch codes.

Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A Dane with no holes is Frans Nielsen.

by Dominik on Jan 10, 2012 5:17 PM EST up reply actions  

movin on up

to a few spots

Wondering if the Islanders will start calling their goalies Cerberus...
Twatter!:@crehm91(be my disciple?

by Nomore_Okposto on Jan 19, 2012 9:22 AM EST reply actions  


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1979-80


May 24, 1980: Tonelli to Nystrom. At long last, the steady build of the New York Islanders from expansion doormat to surprise semifinalist to annual contender reaches the promised land: Buoyed by a late season trade for Butch Goring that gave the team the depth up the middle GM Bill Torrey had been seeking, the Islanders knock off the Philadelphia Flyers in six games.

The victory justified the faith in coach Al Arbour who guided them from their second season to their first Stanley Cup seven seasons later. The Islanders would not be the first expansion team to win the Stanley Cup, but they would be the only one capable of a dynasty.

1980-81


May 21, 1981: This time it was much easier. After falling to "only" 91 points in the 1979-80 season, the Islanders returned to their division title tradition, piling up 110 points -- a whole 13 points over second-place Philadelphia.

Between the quarterfinals (where they beat the upstart Oilers in six games) and the finals, the Islanders reeled off eight consecutive wins -- with a four-game sweep of archrival Rangers in between. As they defeated the Minnesota North Stars in five games for their second Cup, their goal difference in the final was a combined +10.

1981-82


May 16, 1982: Another year, another landslide title. The Islanders won the Patrick Division by a whopping 26 points over the second-place Rangers, and were seven points clear of their nearest competition for the President's Trophy, the still-not-quite-ripe Edmonton Oilers.

A first-round scare against the Pittsburgh Penguins turned in the Isles' favor thanks to John Tonelli's heroics, and a true dynasty was on its way: Past the Rangers in six games, then an eight-game sweep of the Quebec Nordiques and Vancouver Canucks to run away with the Stanley Cup.

1982-83


May 17, 1983: Not so fast, whipper-snappers. The Edmonton Oilers' steadily rising challenge for league supremacy took them all the way to the finals for the first time, where the New York Islanders summarily dispatched them in a four-game sweep. For the Islanders, the Dynasty was secured. For the Oilers, it was a powerful lesson in where talent ends and the demands of playoff hockey begin.

Four years, four Cups, 16 consecutive playoff series wins (a record that would grow to 19 until the rematch with the Oilers the following year). Mike Bossy scored 60 goals yet again, and Wayne Gretzky became acquainted with Billy Smith's crease.


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