December 2011 NHL Power Rankings
Hi, all. If you're a stats nut, enjoy a little more to keep you interested between games (or between cable/channel disputes). If you're not, then move along. Nothing to see here.
So, last month, I showed how the Isles fared against everyone else in November, based on data from the power rankings that I whip up every week. By throwing out all data except for one month, we can (hopefully) get a better feel for our beloved Isles' progress as the season wears on. After the jump, we'll see how the Isles (and everyone else) did in December...
December 2011 Power Rankings
| Winning | |||||||
| W | L | OTL | Pts | Pct | PWR | ||
| 1. |
Chicago | 10 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 0.808 | 2116 |
| 2. |
Boston | 9 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0.750 | 1991 |
| 3. |
Winnipeg | 10 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 0.750 | 1983 |
| 4. |
NY Rangers | 10 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 0.700 | 1957 |
| 5. |
Philadelphia | 9 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 0.731 | 1951 |
| 6. |
Colorado | 10 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 0.667 | 1903 |
| 7. |
New Jersey | 9 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 0.643 | 1766 |
| 8. |
Vancouver | 10 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 0.700 | 1760 |
| 9. |
Washington | 8 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 0.607 | 1754 |
| 10. |
Nashville | 9 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 0.643 | 1724 |
| 11. |
St. Louis | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 0.607 | 1717 |
| 12. |
Detroit | 9 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 0.600 | 1673 |
| 13. |
San Jose | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 0.577 | 1633 |
| 14. |
Dallas | 7 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 0.538 | 1607 |
| 15. |
Florida | 7 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 0.567 | 1592 |
| 16. |
Pittsburgh | 7 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 0.538 | 1587 |
| 17. |
Calgary | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 0.625 | 1549 |
| 18. |
Ottawa | 7 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 0.567 | 1533 |
| 19. |
Los Angeles | 7 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 0.533 | 1465 |
| 20. |
NY Islanders | 6 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 0.500 | 1449 |
| 21. |
Tampa Bay | 6 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 0.500 | 1415 |
| 22. |
Minnesota | 6 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 0.500 | 1289 |
| 23. |
Buffalo | 4 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 0.393 | 1181 |
| 24. |
Toronto | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 0.423 | 1160 |
| 25. |
Montreal | 4 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 0.393 | 1141 |
| 26. |
Phoenix | 6 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 0.406 | 1137 |
| 27. |
Carolina | 5 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 0.429 | 1109 |
| 28. |
Columbus | 4 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 0.357 | 1055 |
| 29. |
Anaheim | 3 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 0.308 | 867 |
| 30. |
Edmonton | 3 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 0.250 | 680 |
Well, I'm a tad surprised, at least. The Isles finished 20th in December, as opposed to 26th in November and 25th in October. I suppose the NHL-.500 record would dictate a better finish than the other months, but it just felt like a worse month than that.
Meanwhile, who would've thought Winnipeg would ever have a month like that? For all their struggles, the Capitals finished in the top 10 this month, as well. Am I the only one who takes perverse pleasure in seeing Toronto and Montreal near the bottom?
Anyway, as we already suspected, the Isles aren't playing well enough recently to be a playoff team, even if they're improving. Got any other observations?
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Look at Winnipeg at #3
amazing how a change of scenery has had such an effect on the team.
You should've seen her face. It was the exact same look my father gave me when I told him I wanted to be a ventriloquist.
Well, you know
It’s still just one isolated month. And as it happens, it was a month with only two road games for them, so they shouldn’t expect another one of those. (Though that does play to the home-friendly “scenery” angle, now that I think of it.)
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A Dane with no holes is Frans Nielsen.
Good point.
Home and road points are treated equally in the formulas. Maybe i should change that.
Yet another Moulson brother-in-law.
by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Jan 10, 2012 8:55 AM EST up reply actions
I was thinking of that - don't know how much a factor it is
But seems like Winnipeg was enjoying a boost this year, anyway.
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A Dane with no holes is Frans Nielsen.
Changing based on who's home isn't too tough.
Figuring out how to calculate a loss based on the opponent, however, can be tricky (see below). I’m open to ideas.
Yet another Moulson brother-in-law.
by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Jan 10, 2012 1:00 PM EST up reply actions
Interesting, funny to see the oilers come back to earth.
Too bad we screwed our January power ranking mightily after losing to the Ducks and Coyotes.
What do you mean they won 4 cups in a row? Is that possible?
Heh
That was my favorite gallows humor about our last two losses: My god, our power ranking! At least they didn’t lose to Edmonton, too.
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A Dane with no holes is Frans Nielsen.
by Dominik on Jan 10, 2012 1:06 AM EST up reply actions 2 recs
Well, if it makes you feel any better....
…. When it comes to the calculations, a loss is a loss is a loss. Doesn’t matter who it’s to.
Yet another Moulson brother-in-law.
by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Jan 10, 2012 8:55 AM EST up reply actions
I thought this factored in strength of opponent.
Or does it only works for wins so a win over the Hawks means more than a win over the Oilers? But a loss is just a loss.
Correct.
That’s exactly it. I figured that all teams have off nights, and nobody should be punished any more for it than if they lost to a good team. Besides, it becomes a bit more complicated then, on how much to subtract from a team’s points depending on opponent.
Yet another Moulson brother-in-law.
by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Jan 10, 2012 12:58 PM EST up reply actions
I guess it is inversely factored in
The Ducks don’t get too much credit for beating the Islanders, which offsets the Islanders not getting hit too much for getting beat by the Ducks.
That's a fair way of looking at it.
Yet another Moulson brother-in-law.
by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Jan 10, 2012 1:21 PM EST up reply actions
Ahhh, okay. That makes sense.
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A Dane with no holes is Frans Nielsen.
Ahhh, I didn't even realize that
/feels silly
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A Dane with no holes is Frans Nielsen.
Awe, shucks.
I got Dom all rosey-cheeked and stuff.
You’d only notice if you clicked on all the different calculations in each cell and worked things through.
Yet another Moulson brother-in-law.
by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Jan 10, 2012 12:59 PM EST up reply actions
I keep clicking them
But all I see is nuclear launch codes.
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A Dane with no holes is Frans Nielsen.
Nah. That's Stuxnet.
Yet another Moulson brother-in-law.
by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Jan 11, 2012 12:25 PM EST up reply actions
movin on up
to a few spots
Wondering if the Islanders will start calling their goalies Cerberus...
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