NHL Mock Draft (SBN): Could the Islanders pick Dougie Hamilton?
The SB Nation hockey sites are doing an NHL mock draft again this year, and you can follow along here. The first four off the board were Adam Larsson, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Gabriel Landeskog and Sean Couturier. That left a decision to us as to whether to take Jonathan Huberdeau (listed as a center but playing wing), another emerging forward, or even defenseman Dougie Hamilton.
We knew it'd be a little controversial for some of our readers to go with the defenseman this early -- even more so given Huberdeau's continuing surge through the playoffs and Memorial Cup. (In our defense, our turn to pick came weeks ago, before the Memorial Cup completed and before the Scouting Combine sent more buzz into the hockey teenager-stalking world.)
When LHH regular OzzyFan polled regulars here on Huberdeau vs. Hamilton, the split was in the forward's favor. A few days prior to that poll, Chrismc614 gave some thoughtful reasons on why an Isles fan would switch from saying "draft a forward" to considering a dynamic D-man like Hamilton. And one day before that, in our Lighthouse Hockey Mock Draft, user Fabtraption -- who had the honor of selecting for the Islanders -- made his case for Dougie Hamilton:
Edit: Several have pointed out that Hamilton has grown more and may have checked in at near 6'6" at the combine (or might not...the info at that link has changed), so take that for what it's worth.
Weighing in at 6'4" and 195 lbs as an 18 year old, Hamilton provides the Islanders with a future big body on the ice, a prospect that has been missing from the Isles' backend...
...As we've slowly built up our prospect pool in the past few years, our defensive corps will soon be seen as an unsung strength, with the defensively sound pairing of Andy MacDonald and Travis Hamonic filling out one pair and a mix of Hamilton, de Haan, Matt Donovan, Ty Wishart, Mark Katic, and veteran Mark Streit filling out the other pairs for the future.
The following thinking is from January -- and Bossy knows the view of draft prospects evolves by the week during their draft year -- but Bruins2011DraftWatch is a fun go-to source for views like this on Hamilton:
Style Compares to: Jay Bouwmeester. Although not as outstanding a skater as the Calgary Flames standout, Hamilton moves very well for someone with his size.
The concern when falling in love with the size of a junior player is that his early physical development gave him an advantage he will not have when playing against NHL bodies. On the other hand, 6'4" is 6'4" (or now, 6'6") and that's an advantage at even the highest level.
Some people really like the insight of Kyle Woodlief of the Red Line Report and some do not, but he has been high on Hamilton all year, putting him as the only other D-man in this draft (besides Larsson, obviously) who has definite top-pair potential (granted, these views change over time):
"Hamilton...I love that kid. He's a two-way beast. He'll nail you, play physically in the defensive end, he can take the puck and go end-to-end with it. He can quarterback the power play. I think he's actually better as the triggerman on the power play-- he's got a big shot. He's approaching Larsson's level. Larsson's been there a couple of years, whereas Hamilton's development curve is heading straight up. So, Hamilton, I'd be shocked if he made it out of the top-eight picks this year."- Kyle Woodlief, Chief Scout and Publisher, Red Line Report; December 2010
Would the Islanders Take Dougie Hamilton?
To state the obvious: Only if they really, really like him. But he is among the prospects who the Islanders are reportedly bringing to Long Island for further study.
Certainly the Islanders' recent draft history with Garth Snow at the helm hints at drafting forwards with these very high picks and saving selections on D-men for later, when potential gems like Travis Hamonic and Matt Donovan tend to emerge. With D-men development curves being harder to peg than forwards, you're more likely to score hidden D gems later while the forwards with skill tend to go early.
That said, a team has 12 forwards, six defensemen and two goalies: You need twice as many forwards, period -- so reading a trend from just a few years of data is a bit of a stretch. The Islanders moved up twice to take Calvin De Haan at #12 two years ago. They passed on Luke Schenn -- who was the consolation prize for teams who couldn't get the three defenseman who went ahead of him -- when they needed picks and believed in a young center. They passed on Victor Hedman when some guy named John Tavares was available. Last year's selection of Nino Niederreiter was part of a league-wide run on forwards before Cam Fowler and, heh, Dylan McIlrath were selected.
So at #5 the Islanders have the luxury of selecting whomever they find is the best fit from an array of talented forwards and defensemen (Ryan Murphy is in that conversation).
Will they go with a defenseman? I wouldn't bet on it, but obviously if they go with we here won't complain if 6'4" Dougie Hamilton is the prize the Islanders take home on June 25.
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TheMagus found a rumor that Dougie is 6'7'' now. It changes the whole game now if true(which it sounds like for now).
If this is true, it explains a lot of things. Ranging from his Oleksiak-size defensive issues to his offensive puckhandling and overall skills not being tip top. It could all be related to growing into body issues. If this is true, I’m changing my mind and saying we need to draft this behemoth of a d-man that can skate and eventually be a 2-way physical monster of a d-man for our team one day. Easily he’d become a PK specialist, and highly likely getting 2nd or 1st line PP minutes, logging 22-23min a night. Even if his offensive skills never take off, he has the makings of an elite shutdown d-man with his size/physicality/mobilitiy/smarts at 6’7’’.
by OzzyFan on Jun 12, 2011 1:27 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
Interesting
Didn’t even occur to me that the kid might be still growing, but man at this age of course it’s possible.
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A doughnut with no hole is Frans Nielsen.
Cue the “Bah, they’ll just trade him to Ottawa for an overpriced Russian forward anyway” lines.
Only half a year 'til Opening Night! ... *Sigh!*
by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Jun 12, 2011 2:10 PM EDT up reply actions
If only Ottawa had the modern Bill Muckalt
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A doughnut with no hole is Frans Nielsen.
by Dominik on Jun 12, 2011 2:17 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
If there is a good chance
… he will be anything like Chara on the PK, you almost have to take him at #5. Just from his Islander days I remember it was like having four and a half skaters. (Imagine having that type of effect plus Nielsen and Grabner!) I don’t want to get carried away, but another similarity is that he and Chara are both fitness nuts, right?…. What is the difference between Hamilton and Mezei when Branislav was approaching draft day? (Besides the possible 3 inches.)… If he is 6’6"+, that is good news for the Isles. If he is taken top-4, Isles have choice of 2 of the “big 5”.
by North Dakota Red Eagle on Jun 12, 2011 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions
193lbs?
wasn’t that his weight at 6’4"? That’s really thin at 6’6".
by North Dakota Red Eagle on Jun 12, 2011 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions
Yea
I agree, 6’7" would be a total game changer. While I think it would probably set him maybe even a whole extra year from making the NHL (needing even more time to fill out-man, he’s skinny), a skilled player at that size doesn’t come along every day.
Of course, I’d say the same thing about Couturier, and would probably still draft him over Hamilton if that’s the choice.
plus he comes from a very domiant team in St John
good winning team up there. I believe the won all their home games this season.
Any task BIG or small, Do it well or not at all
I'm in Moncton
where there is a Q team as well, and let me tell ya, people damn near cried when Dougie came to town. Always thought he was taller than he was listed.
"I think we consider too much the luck of the early bird and not enough the bad luck of the early worm." ~ FDR
Thanks for this. We're trying to figure this out still.
2 reporters have claimed that he’s 6’6.5’’, but the combine site changed his height back to 6’4.5’’, so I am confused to say the least.
I would take Hamilton
I know that many have said “draft the best available”,but with so many forwards in the system it would be a breathe of fresh air and a way to address the organizations needs. Hamilton is big, physical, and from what many have scouted, not far from making the nhl. He is something that is hard for us to get in free agency. If we drafted him he would be a physical defenseman among puck-moving defenseman with size: you can’t teach size. If Hamilton fell to number five, then I would encourage the Islanders to take him.
All Who Oppose Grabner Shall Perish.
by pippup on Jun 12, 2011 3:10 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
no forwards in the system
A lot of people feel we have so many forwards in the system, but the fact of the matter is we have more d than we do forwards. Outside of wildcards Petrov and Kabanov the only other forward we have in the system is Czikas who maxes out as a 3rd line center. We’ve drafted a lot of forwards, but they are already on the team as Nino will be this year. Thats the beauty of drafting forwards early in the draft. We have Donovan, Dehaan, Ness, Katic, Wishart. 3 of which should definitely see time in the NHL. Brock Nelson prob has a good 3 years before he sniffs the NHL if things work out great. From a prospect standpoint the Isles are very thin on offense. This pick wont help the forward prospect pool as he will most likely jump from juniors straight the the NHL, but thinking that we have strong prospect depth at forward is not a reason to draft a dman
by LaFontaine16 on Jun 12, 2011 7:00 PM EDT up reply actions
Also have Lee, right?
But yeah, still not very deep at forward with Petrov, Kabanov, Czikas, Nelson, and Lee. Not shallow either (that’s a pretty good group of 5 from what I’ve read), but not deep enough to say that Isles should draft a D-man instead of a forward because of it. Either way, Isles have a couple 2nd rounders and later picks to fill depth.
by North Dakota Red Eagle on Jun 12, 2011 7:36 PM EDT up reply actions
I would say are "depth" at forward is a lot better then most teams. Just not a lot of nhl-ready forwards yet.
Kabanov, Lee, Nelson, and Nino all have top 6 “talent”. Even if only 1 or 2 pan out to be that and the rest into 3rd liners, we are set for the future “pretty much” in the forward department size, depth, physicality, 2-way wise.
Defensively….we got a lot of little depth d-men + Donovan, Wishart, and DeHaan. None to me seem like Top 2 d-men, hopefully 1 becomes a reliable top 4 guy. And taking that into account, we lack a da size and da physicalities on da D now and in da pool. And do ja know wat? Hamilton’s gotz it! lol
???
First, he is 6’4"" not 6’6"" or 6’7"". Second, you don’t draft for size…skill, skill, skill. Third, look at the history of picks 4-7 when they are D,. Forwards end up giving much more value. Fourth, we will be picking a forward I am quite sure.
If he hits
…7’2" by draft day, I say take him.
by North Dakota Red Eagle on Jun 12, 2011 3:53 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
he was just listed at 6'6.5 at the combine
besides he has the skill to qb the powerplay and play on the pk
SHOOT THE DAMN PUCK!!!
Here's all the numbers
http://centralscouting.nhl.com/link3/cs/public-home.nsf/page?readform&app=combine
Officially over 6’6".
What’s interesting is he didn’t break the top 10 for wingspan… Larsson did, however.
by afrosupreme on Jun 12, 2011 5:36 PM EDT up reply actions 2 recs
ALL these numbers have been or could be right...
People dont put dates with their measurements, and Ive seen them use the exact same ht/wt numbers for YEARS even though its obvious they are wrong. There is no point in arguing which ht/wt are right, all you can do is go by the ones mentioned at benchmarks like the combine, the draft, training camp, etc. At least they have more of a chance of being reliable, at least for a little while.
Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)
by TheMetalChick on Jun 12, 2011 11:01 PM EDT up reply actions
If Anybody Gets This Pick Right, Please Call Me With Lottery Advice
Because this is as wide open a draft as I can remember.
As far as Hamilton goes, right after the draft lottery, everybody had us taking him at 5. Then he seemed to fall. I’ve even seen him at 10 and 11. That was because Huberdeau jumped into the discussion of picks 1-3 pushing everbody down, and then Strome suddenly jumped up and became “Denis Savard” (per Craig Button). Heck, then you had Zibanejad jump to the top 6 as a nasty, physical forward with skill. Of course, there’s also Ryan Murphy who, depending on who you read, is possibly the most dynamic, skilled player in the entire draft, forward or defense, or a defender who will never be capable of playing regular pair minutes because he’s too much of a defensive liability.
Comparisons to Bouwmeester don’t exactly impress me. I think Bouwmeester is overpaid and overrated. I’ve seen items criticizing Hamilton’s hockey IQ even though he’s a really smart kid. The skating is good, then it’s bad. Now he’s suddenly 6’7". Next thing you know we’ll discover that Hamilton – or one of these other kids – was born on the planet Krypton. Watch, he might get taken before Larsson. Anybody got a dart and a dartboard?
The only good thing about this draft is that I have confidence in Snow, Kenny Morrow, our scouts and all those extra birddogs Garth employs to make a good pick.
took the words out of my mouth
good post
by LaFontaine16 on Jun 12, 2011 6:53 PM EDT up reply actions
Agreed
Can’t believe we have two more weeks of this shit before the draft is over. At this point, I just want to get it over and done with. Then at least we can move on to talking about free agents we ought to sign and spend two months talking about that.
Official choice of Lighthouse Dog #1.
I love the draft? Talking about this "shit" is so much fun, the day after the draft is going to be so boring!
by Metzfan22 on Jun 13, 2011 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
I like the talk too. Keeps me interested in Hockey when it's not on TV. And it helps us learn future nhl stars and players before they hit the nhl.
Y'all's enthusiasm for it helps keep me interested, too
So sincere thanks for that.
And do tell me if we’re giving anything short shrift, because I tend to forget obvious possibilities for topics that aren’t up my alley.
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A doughnut with no hole is Frans Nielsen.
by Dominik on Jun 14, 2011 12:25 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Yeah but we have a whole week to talk about how we are going to sign
Richards, Bieksa on the cheap for 10 years.
Vote Yes on August 1st.
Bouwmeester
I wouldn’t take that comparison too far though — merely that he’s a tall, lanky, smooth-skating d-man with offensive upside. He’s more physical than JayBo for one. But for another it’s just one of those general scout “reminds me a little of” profiles. Anyway, contract aside, would I like a D-man with Boewmeester’s skills on my team? Yes.
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A doughnut with no hole is Frans Nielsen.
And JayBo was better offensively earlier in his career. That felt really weird to say. lol
But they do have a looser comparison.
His usage has been interesting
So many coaches in Florida, and he was in a very defense-first role his first season in Calgary. Not sure about this season.
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A doughnut with no hole is Frans Nielsen.
Huberdeau, Hamilton, Coutourier
(Pardon my spelling)
Take whichever. I think all are can’rt miss-can’t lose.
If Snow really wants Hamilton I think he can trade to 6 or 7 (not lower) and get him or any of the three. Either way, we should all be pretty pleased after the Isles make their pick!
Growth
For those of us old enough to remember Tom Seaver he continued to grow in height until he was 21. It happens. Some people are luckier than others. I grew up with a kid who was a smurf in high school. Ran into him during college and I was the smurf and I am 6’ even.
He is another source, though a blog, regarding Hamilton’s height.
http://hfboards.com/showthread.php?t=919772&page=26
We are back to decision time. Huberdeau or Hamilton?
Where does Huberdeau fit on our team? He is not a center but a left wing. Don’t we have deep pool of LWer’s developing?
To me the choice for the Isles is really between Strome, Mika, and Hamilton. Mika could add a little spice to the right side as well as Strome. But having a Giant on the blue line sometime in the future would be nice.
Direct Link
Here is the link to the page where you can click his name and see 6’6.5":
http://centralscouting.nhl.com/link3/cs/public-home.nsf/page?readform&app=combine
by North Dakota Red Eagle on Jun 12, 2011 5:32 PM EDT up reply actions
Lol, I should have been more specific.
He was listed at 6’6.5’’ on that site all day until last night came. Then they switched it to 6’4.5’’ and it’s stuck at that since.
i've liked hamilton since march
as much as i would love for the isles to get either larsson or landeskog, i feel that hamilton is the right choice to make at 5. Hamilton was great on an average niagra team, while huberdeau was a great player on an amazing st john’s team…i still think that huberdeau’s numbers were boosted by the people he played with…now that hamilton has been listed at 6’6.5" he fills the greatly needed lack of size on our blue line
SHOOT THE DAMN PUCK!!!
6-7 or not, draft him
He is what we need. Size, mean streak, and D. He had pretty good numbers on an ok team while Huberdeau was greeat on a great team. We are pretty deep at forward, but we dont have many potential 1st pair defenseman, and that is what Hamilton could eventually be
by nyidangle17 on Jun 12, 2011 6:17 PM EDT reply actions 2 recs
why do I get the feeling Couturier or Landeskog is going to be available at 5?
this draft could easily go RNH, followed by Larsson, and possibly Huberdeau to Florida, then Couturier or Landeskog to NJD and the oher one of those two would then be ours
which would be awesome
am starting to think this just might happen
I think
I am on record as being in favour of picking Hamilton ahead of Huberdeau. Not sure if the same is true of Landeskog or Couturier.
If Hamilton is really 6 — 6 1/2, then I think he bumps ahead of Couturier, in my ranks. I still think I take Landeskog, if he’s available. I don’t think he will be.
There's a mountain of buoyant nostalgia under this team and it's going to erupt like Vesuvius when the Islanders are back in playoff contention.... Count on it.
by Nova Scotia Isles Fan on Jun 12, 2011 6:41 PM EDT reply actions
Too much hype
I am still not sold on Hamilton. I am not a scout and honestly have not seen him play. However, i have heard nothing spectacular of Hamilton until recently. This may be a case of there being no elite defensemen in this draft outside of Larsson. He sounds like a solid two way dman who would serve as a great compliment to a star dman. Never a #1. This is all just one man’s opinion, but if the Isles stay at the 5 spot i feel they must pick whats left of RNH, Landeskog, Larsson, Huberdeau or Couturier. If they trade up they must grab Landeskog, but i would put a lot of money that Colorado takes him. They are probably salivating at the chance to select him. Trade for Eric Johnson, Chris Stewart gone, who better to replace him? (especially with Forsberg’s history with the franchise). Plus they also have the 11th pick. Plenty of solid D left in that slot. I also feel Couturier’s bad rap recently is extremely unwarranted and if teams pass on him someone is going to get really lucky that he falls into their laps. Typical, we’ve seen him be great for 2 years so lets see what we can find wrong with him now. Player’s who emerge in their draft year only allow great things to be said about them.
D-men drafted in the top 5 since 2007:
Hickey, Alzner, Doughty, Bogosian, Pietrangelo, Schenn, Victor Hedman, Gudbranson.
Aside from Doughty can you say any of these players have had a MAJOR impact on their teams success? Hedman is close. If you include him that makes 2 dmen (which were drafted 2nd overall) that have made strong impacts on their team. Hamilton is nowhere near touted as highly as those two. Do the Isles really need a Dman who they hope will have a major impact on the team 3-4 years down the road? I dont think this is the route we need to go at this moment. We are ready now. Draft a forward who can play now or next year. Draft D with later picks and sign someone to play with streit via free agency.
(of course this is “educated” speculation and anything can always happen) So take it with a grain of salt, im just judging this on history.
by LaFontaine16 on Jun 12, 2011 6:50 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
Bogosian, Pietrangelo, Schenn, Hedman, Gudbranson
I can say that those five almost certainly will have major impacts on their teams’ success. (Pietrangelo really bloomed this year, Hedman looks like he is Schenn was a reach for me but he hit another level this year.) It takes D-men a little longer, but yeah, put any of those five into the Isles’ lineup tomorrow and see what you get.
With D it does take a while and I see that you’re thinking of immediate help — but can we really count on any of this year’s forwards stepping in and helping the Islanders right away unless Landeskog falls there? Sounds like the rest need more work.
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A doughnut with no hole is Frans Nielsen.
agreed
Yes i agree with everything you said. My main point is that the Isles need defensive help now. Who knows what our D will look like 3 years down the road when Hamilton might be playing a significant role with us.
by LaFontaine16 on Jun 12, 2011 9:01 PM EDT up reply actions
Yeah, those timelines make this harder
It’s simply easier to see where and when a good young forward will fit. Definitely could eye a nice spot for Couturier or Huberdeau by 2012-13.
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A doughnut with no hole is Frans Nielsen.
I Don't Think Much of Schenn
To me, he’s exactly the kind of defenseman you don’t take with the 5th overall pick in any draft. IMO, it’s better to take a chance on a forward with skill who goes bust than waste such a high pick on a defensive defenseman who doesn’t hit people all that much and who doesn’t knock you out with his skating either. You should be able to draft a guy like that lower and develop him, or sign a veteran defenseman.
?????? Schenn is very mobile and is one of the top hitters in the game in size and quantity.
Schenn isn’t going to knock you over with his offense, but he can contribute 20pts/yr, probably more if they throw him into a less defensively heavy role.
by OzzyFan on Jun 12, 2011 10:51 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
my point exactly
thats my point on not taking a dman at 5. Myers was taken 12th or something liek that. Most people’s reasoning for taking Hamilton is a glaring need that the team needs now. So drafting a player who wont fill that role for another 3 years isnt going to solve that problem. Hey, if the Isles take him, i hope im wrong and his impact is felt much sooner than later. Should be a fun draft
by LaFontaine16 on Jun 13, 2011 9:11 AM EDT up reply actions
And you can toss the "Chicago Strategy" into your dossier
The description of Cam Barker — the one they selected highest in the last eight years — is pretty funny in retrospect.
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A doughnut with no hole is Frans Nielsen.
really interesting article
Not to say Dougie will turn into Cam Barker, but that article basically explains my whole case against selecting him at #5. Like you said, i wont be heartbroken with whoever they select. Seems like i always have my preferences and the Isles do something different. Turns out their preferences have been much better than mine so far so it should be exciting.
by LaFontaine16 on Jun 13, 2011 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions
Yeah, that's definitely why I'm gunshy about drafting D high
Dougie has enough to excite me, and then beyond that I know the Isles will have more info and data to either like him or not than I will. Whether they’d be right, just like with Nino time will tell.
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A doughnut with no hole is Frans Nielsen.
Drafting Dmen in mid-1st; turning our picks into two mid-1sts
The Barker Anomaly…I wonder if scouting is getting more accurate in the last 5 years in this age of super-high-speed-info-interwebbage that the Duncan Keiths and Shea Webers can’t be “hidden” in later rounds…or maybe just that drafting 18 y/o Dmen is and will always be a friggin crapshoot.
Also interesting is the success of Dmen drafted in the mid-first round:
Tyler Myers #12 2008
Erik Karlsson #15 2008
Kevin Shattenkirk #14 2007
Marc Staal #12 2005
Brent Seabrook #14 2003
Brent Burns #20 2003
There’s good progress that indicates these guys won’t be busts either:
Dmitri Kulikov #14 2009
David Rundblad #17 2009
Cam Fowler #12 2010 (yeah I know he was SUPPOSED to go earlier, but still…)
Honestly, would it be that horrible for the Isles to turn the #5 into the #10-11 and get ANOTHER 2nd rounder? That would give them three 2nd rounders which they could package to move back up into the mid 1st…don’t mean to get carried away but I think it’d be interesting if somehow the Isles could end up with 2 semi-stud Dmen in this draft, such as Nathan Beaulieu and Oleksiak, or a Duncan Siemens and Joe Morrow.
"Seriously that's the last time you guys f#@%ing won?" -RSH (about beating the Penguins in '93)
a three way trade...
our first to say, boston for the toronto first (9th), plus one or two of our seconds, and whatever boston has to throw in to get columbus to give up the 8th? we would get whatever was left out of hamilton, courturier, strome and mika z, plus seimans or oleksiak? interesting…and of course various other options following your trade down proposal…
by CanadianIsleslifer on Jun 14, 2011 12:18 AM EDT up reply actions
This is a great idea. It's just the question of is Garth really high on one of the top 5 players or hamilton.
If not, I say do this trade. I’d prefer picking one of Landeskog/Huberdeau/Couturier with the #5 pick and trading our 2 2nd’s and a 3rd or our 2nd 2nd’s and a future 3rd/2nd to get us around the ~22nd pick in the draft and pick a big d-man like Mayfield or Murphy there. But I couldn’t say I love the idea of leaving the draft with Oleksiak/Siemens and a tough 2-way forward like McNeill/Biggs instead. Or even Oleksiak and Siemens (or another big d-man). I honestly don’t want to touch Beaulieu though.
if the right block(s) of players will be at the first picks offered...
i’d be interested, in large part due to the fact that the 5 to 8 block, and 9 to about 11 or 12 block - seem so close, all with flaws and none as sure things, this just seems like the draft to trade down unless there is someone at five you just can’t walk away from
by CanadianIsleslifer on Jun 14, 2011 12:33 AM EDT up reply actions
Would you walk away from Larsson/RNH/Landeskog/Couturier/Huberdeau dropping to you at 5?
What about Hamilton?
I'n assuming the others won't be there @ 5
but no, I wouldn’t walk away from Larsson, RNH or Huberdeau @ 5, Couturier, I definately would walk away from @ 5, and Landeskog? leaning towards no, but no 100% sure. Essentially, I would have to have a lot more information from Isles best scouts – this is going to be a tough decision. Landeskog does not project as a first liner, yet, there are others who do project as potential future first liners. But of course, Landeskog is consider more of a “safe” pick to reach his ceiling than some of those, such as Strome and Huberdeau.
This is part of the equation that I think leads to this being an ideal draft to trade down, unless something crazy happens like Larrson or RNH dropping to us, which won’t happen.
by CanadianIsleslifer on Jun 14, 2011 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions
Seems like a 4-way race
Most are saying Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson, Landeskog, and Huberdeau are top 4. #5 looks like a four way race between Couturier, Strome, Hamilton, and Zibanejad. This may be the reason why Garth trades down: move down to #8 or 9, your player still might be there. But that could be too risky for him, like when he took Nino and de Haan early.
"Seriously that's the last time you guys f#@%ing won?" -RSH (about beating the Penguins in '93)
Another problem here is your talking about immediate success. Most d-men mature slowly post-draft.
No one expects Hedman to be the #1 d-man he is supposed to be for a couple years more, but he still has had a nice impact. Same with “most” of the other guys. Go back further in the draft and you’ll see.
by OzzyFan on Jun 12, 2011 10:54 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
'97-'06 #3-#7 draft picks by position
Here is an analysis I posted earlier on the same topic. This version is revised, taking into consideration feedback from OzzyFan. (Thank you, because I don’t know all of these players all that well.)
Goal of this is to help figure how successful players are around #5 overall in draft by position.
From ‘97-’06 there were 50 players chosen #3-#7 overall.
31 forwards
15 defensemen
4 goalies
I’ve rated them A through D to help to sort things out. Some were hard decisions between A and B or B and C:
A: Very good to great players. Top-7 player on most teams.
B: Average to good NHL player
C: Limited NHL helpfulness
D: Little or no NHL helpfulness
Goalies:
Price A
Montoya C (could be B in future!)
Finley D
Luongo A
Defensemen As:
Bouwmeester #3 (borderline)
Pitkanen #4 (borderline)
Whitney #5 (borderline)
Suter #7
(no clear-cut As I feel, but Suter and Boumeester may get there.)
Defensemen Bs:
Brewer
J. Johnson (possibly C)
Barker
Stuart (possibly C)
Defensemen Cs:
Klesla
Allen
Mara
Komisarek (looked promising for a while)
Defensemen Ds:
L. Jonsson #7
Vishnevski #5
Forwards As:
Toews #3
Backstrom #4
Ladd #4
Horton #3
Vanek #5
M. Koivu #6
Gaborik #3
Hartnell #6
H. Sedin #3
O. Jokinen #3
Kessel #5
Forwards Bs
Okposo (I expect him in A group next season.)
Wheeler
Zherdev
Michalek
Lupul
Weiss
Connolly (injuries keep him from A)
Malhotra
Torres (borderline C)
Forwards Cs:
Brassard
Pouliot
Olesz
Upshall
Forwards Ds:
Brule #6
Skille #7
Chistov #5
Brendl #4
Beech #7
Fata #6
Tkaczuk #6
by North Dakota Red Eagle on Jun 12, 2011 8:00 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
Tkaczuk almost deserves his own category
Wow was he a bust. Results like that have to keep scouts up at night.
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A doughnut with no hole is Frans Nielsen.
by Dominik on Jun 13, 2011 1:18 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Hamilton is more than his height
He was voted best skater in the OHL coaches poll. The 6’4+ defenseman is the best skater in the most competitive Canadian Junior League. (CDH was 3rd). He was voted best offensive D-Man (CDH was 2nd). He was voted 3rd best Defensive Defenseman (One vote behind last years 3rd overall pick Erik Gudbranson). Skills-wise he’s a complete package. He needs to polish his game but how many 18 year olds don’t? I hate taking a D Man this early but if you have that kind of size, skill, smarts & skating on the board how do you pass?
He’s also got character. And he is a hard worker and super conditioned. If there is anyone you are going to take a chance on it’s one that has the ability and commitment to become better and he has it.
And I don’t understand the people who think he cannot become a top D Man. If a guy who’s taller than most NHLers, A better skater than most, can play both zones, and log 30 minutes can not develop in to a top pair guy then please tell me who you think could?
I think this team needs an anchor on the back line. We have a lot of good D prospects but none are the kind you build your defense around.
Vote Yes on August 1st.
by Anarcurt on Jun 12, 2011 8:33 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
You really do make a good argument here.
And since he is visiting the Islanders, obviously there is interest there.
Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)
by TheMetalChick on Jun 12, 2011 8:54 PM EDT up reply actions
point taken
I just dont see him as a top 5. Maybe 6, but we are drafting 5 and you cant argue with any of those guys accomplishments. The 5 im talking about are RNH, Landeskog, Larsson, Couturier and Huberdeau. Of course anything can happen with anyone who is drafted and anyone can turn out great or better than the next. Just saying outside of Tavares, the isles have a lot of very good forwards, but no one else with star power. Maybe Nino will get there (love him), but those 4 forwards in the top 5 all have the potential to be legitimate stars. I feel there is less of a risk from a star factor standpoint with those 4. But your point is very valid and i see where your coming from.
by LaFontaine16 on Jun 12, 2011 9:11 PM EDT up reply actions
Just saying outside of Tavares, the isles have a lot of very good forwards, but no one else with star power. Maybe Nino will get there (love him)…
What about Grabs? I think in all fairness he is closer than Nino right now.
Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)
by TheMetalChick on Jun 12, 2011 10:10 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Okposo "should" be argued into that situation too.
And then there is the opposite side of the spectrum. Aside from Hamonic and A-mac (Streit is going to age sooner then later), whom do we have as reliable top 4 d-men right now? Just saying.
by OzzyFan on Jun 12, 2011 10:49 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
True
Let’s face it — the Islanders’ current roster and pipeline could use an addition with some star potential at either forward or D. Slot Hamilton’s profile in there and he instantly becomes their most exciting blueline prospect, no?
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A doughnut with no hole is Frans Nielsen.
MOST CERTAINLY.
If there is one glaring need we have at both the NHL and farm level, it is a big, crease-clearing defensemen…. We have more than enough undersized, puck-moving d-men….. We need a big body down low… That said, I am just a fan… And as much as I want Hamilton, I trust that Garth and Co. are much better suited to make this decision than I am, so I will be happy with whomever we draft…… But I do hope it’s Hamilton. :-)
I can be talked into any of the guys available now
Hamilton would be lots of fun — his upside makes me salivate the way you want from a top pick. But I’d still be nervous as I always am with D-men taken so high.
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A doughnut with no hole is Frans Nielsen.
He'ld better be considered the most exciting d prospect if we pick him at 5 lol
Im sure people are still very high on Dehaan. Hamilton just plays a different style of game. In support of all the Hamilton lovers. Seems like he would serve as a great compliment to Dehaan.
by LaFontaine16 on Jun 13, 2011 1:52 PM EDT up reply actions
Not happening.
Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)
by TheMetalChick on Jun 14, 2011 12:31 PM EDT up reply actions
Grabner's great
Guy should be good for 30 every year, but even if you look at last year he didnt play PP and he wasnt put out in crucial situations. Not to say that can’t change, but i dont see Grabner taking over a game. His speed is deadly and if his hands can catch up to his feet who knows what he can do. I just dont see him being able to dominate.
He most certainly was out in crucial situations, just not the PP. If you dont think the PK is crucial IMO you are ignoring a huge part of the game.
You said star, and when the kid does pretty much anything the entire coliseum erupts in hysteria. I didnt say he was the best player in the entire league, I said he should be considered closer to being a star than the person you mentioned, Nino, who has yet to accomplish anything starlike in the NHL.
Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)
by TheMetalChick on Jun 12, 2011 10:58 PM EDT up reply actions
Nino's "potential"
I did not say Nino will step in and be a star. I said he has the most potential to become one. I am not knocking Grabner or taking anything away from him. My post on my reasoning for Grabner was for some reason posted above instead of below the comments. My main point was I dont see Grabner taking over a game. Like I said, his speed is deadly and he should be good for 30 every year. Next year should be a huge test because the whole league is aware of his speed now. (still didnt seem to matter last year). Still my argument stands as Grabner will never dominate a game, he does not have the physical capabilities and while his goal scoring ability can not be argued with, he only had a total of 18 assists. Everyone has made great points and i cant completely disagree with any of them or rule any of them out. This is just my opinion
by LaFontaine16 on Jun 13, 2011 9:05 AM EDT up reply actions
I'm pretty sure he dominated the 7-6 OT victory over the Buffalo Sabres...
Official choice of Lighthouse Dog #1.
by Fabtraption on Jun 13, 2011 9:06 AM EDT up reply actions 3 recs
by dominated do you mean.....
scored 3 breakaway goals? Im not knocking the guy. I love him, he’s a great asset. But if its crunch time and you need something to happen are you throwing Grabner on the ice and saying give him the puck and let him make something happen? He’s not that type of player. His offensive game is one dimensional as showed by his low assist total. He is not gritty, he is not a sniper. He scores breakaway goals and goals in tight around the net. I am not bashing him or taking anything away from him im just trying to prove my point. Maybe this is a better word. He is not going to “control the play”.
by LaFontaine16 on Jun 13, 2011 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions
Low assist total...
… but he did make some nice passes in the last few games. He’s definitely a shoot-first player— shot total was pretty high the 2nd half of season. (And I think Isles have a good balance of that right now.) But yeah, without a very good player, like Nielsen, setting him up, he disappears…. If he utilizes his speed, I don’t know if he’s limited to around 30 goals.
by North Dakota Red Eagle on Jun 13, 2011 8:04 PM EDT up reply actions
Low assist total?
He played on a line with two guys whose shooting percentages were 8.3 and 6.9% with 18 goals between them on 230 shots…I’d really have to argue that, more than anyone on this team this year, he controlled the play. If not from an offensive perspective, at least from a defensive perspective and he picked his spots well. The guy at one point was getting 5 self-produced breakaways per game.
I’m not saying he will dominate in a way Crosby does, but at times last year, there were teams that couldn’t deal with him…and that’s why everyone in the league was talking about him.
When the Isles make us drink, we curse Milbury through a monocle and with our pinkies out. Lighthouse Hockey & Chivas-All Class.
Website:Lighthouse Hockey Twitter: @KeithLHHockey
by Keith Quinn on Jun 14, 2011 10:19 AM EDT up reply actions 2 recs
Tall Players "NEED" to grow into their bodies and 6’7’’ of size on D is a tremendous asset:
Reasons and Examples:
-There are only 7 starting 6’6’’ and taller d-men in the nhl right now(3 6’7’’+). They are Chara, Pronger, Myers, Gill, Sutton, Schultz, and Hedman. You might recognize some of those names . All of them are tremendous assets on the PK and in the defensive zone. Only 2 of those players never played more than 23min/gm in a season. 1, Hedman because of his age and 2, Schultz because of his bad skating and doofiness. And even with Schultz’s faults, he is still a big asset on the PK and logs 19min/gm. Size is a "game-changer" on defense. And when you have one of the rare intelligent gigantic d-men in the nhl, they become a HUGE asset on the PK and a HUGE asset in the defensive zone, even more so if they are very mobile(as is Hamilton). And Hamilton has all the tools to be an elite "shutdown" player in the defensive zone. And….You can’t teach size!
-Tall d-men growing into their bodies:
Myers, Chara, Sutton, and Gil were all players that had notable growth after their draft year(Sutton undrafted), mostly because they were awkwardly tall players that grew into their bodies post-draft. THIS could easily now be the major reasoning for Hamilton having a little trouble with his puckhandling and defensive issues, just like those other guys I talked about and Oleksiak right now(but Oleksiak is having more of these issues).
-There is a "near" lock at Hamilton’s 6’7’’ size, coordination, mobility, physicality(why not), and smarts that he will be "at the absolute least" a top PK and defensive 21min/gm top 4 d-man with puckmoving skills for whatever team that drafts him. Or a mobile puckmoving(~20pts/yr) Hal Gill. Highly likely imo, Hamilton will become a top PKer that runs a 2nd unit PP(or plays on a 1st) and logs 22-23min/gm as a "top pairing" d-man chipping in 25-35pts/yr. Not to say he can’t be better than that, but that’s what I think he’ll become with no "big" growth curve. This kid has anything close to a "big" growth curve, and he really has a solid solid shot at becoming the next Tyler Myers/Chara, whom he is ahead of development-wise right now at this age.
And that my friends, is why Dougie needs to be considered in the Top 5/6/whatever now. A d-man with 6’7’’ size, above-average mobility, intelligence, and average+ to above average puckmoving skills is an extreme rarity and a huge plus for a team that has him on all situations on-defense/defensively. My friends, Hamilton has just become a really safe pick with some very nice upside. He is interchangeable with a lot of the top prospects now, and I have zero problem with Garth picking him over another top forward right now.
I’ve critiqued Hamilton as hard as anybody here, and if there was ever a reason for him to have an excuse to be above average all around and not elite, it’s because he is still growing into his gigantic body and had a huge growth spurt this year.
I'm getting dizzy...
have to consider big time a growth spurt like that…with Hamonic and Hamilton, even if Hamilton’s offense doesn’t come, the defense tandem on the right side, with physicality factor, the Isles would be deadly down the right side of the D for 45 to 50 mins a game. A klementyev who may mature into a solid, checking 5th or 6th Defensive D who can make the first pass, or physical Dehart with more offensive, who, like Hamilton and Hamonic will drop the gloves, would be realiztic options to develop as potential 3rd pairing Right D. The closeness in age of all would secure half the Isles defense through the years when the current core will be expected to peak…
I don’t ever remember a draft where the Isles have 3 or 4 choices that are so close, and every one of them represents the potential to fill a serious hole in the Isles Master plan…in fact, there is not a hole in the system that could not be potentially filled by the 5th overall pick, problem is, Snow and the Scouts have to assess, weigh pros and cons, and pick one hole to fill…As I have stated before, I believe Isles have 5 key holes to fill…some of those may be fill from players within, but most can’t, such as shortage of right forwards and a top four right D…if it were me, i’d be leaning more towards the surest bet (if there is such a thing) and not swinging for the fences…take that gamble (like Isles did drafting Bossy) when you have few if any other holes.
by CanadianIsleslifer on Jun 13, 2011 1:28 PM EDT up reply actions
ozzyyy
We’ve had a good two way chat so far regarding hamilton. I was not basing any of my comments to the fact that Dougie Hamilton is 6’7". I see way more listings of him at 6"4. I dont know when this growth spurt happened, but if he is in fact 6’7" i would be more open to the Isles selecting him. 6’4" is above average for an NHL player as the average of today’s player probably sits between 6’0" -6’1", but 6’7" is a monster out there. I am still for drafting whoever falls to us from RNH, Larsson, Landeskog, Huberdeau or Couturier, but would not be heartbroken if the Isles selected a 6’7" monster for the blueline.
by LaFontaine16 on Jun 13, 2011 1:44 PM EDT up reply actions
We need another offensive force!
With Huberdeu or Couturier there at 5, they had better go offense. We cant land any FA fowards, so we have to draft them. No?
I don't think "they had better" go offense. If they think a forward is the best player there, great. If Hamilton is, also great.
But with Tavares, Niederreiter, Okposo, Grabner, Bailey, Nielsen, Comeau, Moulson, Parenteau, etc., I don’t think “they had better” go offense.
if huberdeau is there...
then the discussion gets more interesting - but i would not draft courturier over hamilton, or mika Z either…i would even strongly consider Strome over Couturier, but given we have several needs yet, I’d take Mika Z over Strome b/c i think he is more of a sure pick, and phyical, may not have the same ceiling -
for me, it is huberdeau, hamilton and mika z….one of them…any left shooting forward has to be one helluva forward, better then most if not all our current prospects and roster, to justify drafting at 5 when that is one area nyi have lots of depth
by CanadianIsleslifer on Jun 13, 2011 1:35 PM EDT up reply actions
I would pick Couturier over all those forwards. I don't understand why people are so down on him after he was ranked #1 before the season started and did nothing this year to cause concern.
Keep in mind Huberdeau and Strome each put up like 30 points last season before exploding onto the scene this year. Couturier is a 6’4 center who is responsible defensively, can skate, and has put up back to back 96 point seasons, this season putting up 96 points playing ten less games and dealing with mono. This guy should firmly be in the running for the first overall pick.
yeah...
but the reality is, we can make a great marketing pitch for all the top 6 or 7. Couturier has been slipping, and, while he does project as a sure thing defensively, if his offense doesn’t pan out, Couturier is nothing special. Isles have greater needs than bottom 6, big physical defensive forward, plus we do have depth in that area. We lack the big physical top pairing right De, we lack a legit 2nd line centre, plus we need physciality and we have virtually no right centres in the system, Mika has all this, and can play right wing, where Isles also lack right shots…Huberdeau may very well turn out to be better than anyone other than JT….Strome? if he pans out, there is no one in this draft who’s ceiling is a better fit for JT…Nino, JT and Strome can all play more than one forward position, they could be changed around even during shifts. two centres, right and left, on ice at all time…strome is an unbelievable play maker, and can score. a mature strome who hits his ceiling would increase the goal output of both JT and Nino….
I guess what i am saying is, I see this 5th pick as essential to the rebuild. Torrey did not make a single major trade until Goring – the final piece. He made adjustments here and there, more no blockbuster trades. Scout, draft and develop. Wait to see what you have, then get your final pieces through trades….
in this case, me not being a pro scout, i am weary of a guy like courturier who has dropped so much, was nothing special in big games like world juniors, didn’t impress at combine…when you add in the major holes that could be filled by guys like Hamilton, Mika Z and what Huberdeau offers…i just think i would rather role the dice so where other than courturier.
by CanadianIsleslifer on Jun 13, 2011 1:55 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Couturier
I dont think you would be rolling the dice on a player who consistently dominated his league, was the only player to make Canada’s world junior roster and won the MVP of his league. The only reason Couturier dropped is because he’s old news. Scouts have seen him already. Scouts salivate over players who are currently on the rise and thriving at the particular moment. If your a scout and you see a guy have a great season then it makes you think, well if he did this already theres no telling what he can do next. Same exact thing as Couturier, but he’s done it for 2 years now and maybe they thought he would do more this year. Still doesnt take away from what he’s already done. If this guy slips someone is going to get real lucky.
by LaFontaine16 on Jun 13, 2011 3:30 PM EDT up reply actions
i think it is much more complex as to why scouts have soured on courturier
one reason among many, kids like strome and huberdeau have grown, and now have more size and strength…they are catchin up too couturier, who held an advantage over these players in both size and strength the previous season. strome was only 5’11 last year.
by CanadianIsleslifer on Jun 14, 2011 12:22 AM EDT up reply actions
Hey CIL
Did some digging on Strome…seems like a very talented kid with more upside once he gets stronger and fills his frame. Just missed leading the OHL in scoring as a 17 year-old, has excellent smarts and puck skills, and seems to have a complete game. He’s gritty as well, and has fought a few times when needed. Also, his interviews and quotes show character and thoughtful responses.
However, when you brought up Couturier’s poor Combine and poor play on world stage, I ask you how did Strome do in these aspects? I don’t recall being impressed by Strome’s performance in the Prospects Game. Also, I can’t seem to find a review of how well he did in the Combine.
I’m a fan of Zibanejad, Couturier and Strome as forward picks; Hamilton and Beaulieu as D picks. I know Beaulieu is LH but he’s 6’3 and tougher than Hamilton: he barely fights, but that’s partly cuz he’s so good at it nobody wants to; also says it’s “not my game.” He’s a little cocky and looks up very much to Drew Doughty. There’s something about this kid that reminds me of The Captain. Also Pronman’s Hockey Prospectus has him skill-wise higher than Hamilton.
I don’t see why Garth can’t put a package together (two 2nd round picks, at least) to get a mid-first rounder in addition to his #5. I posted above how good Dmen are often found in the mid-1st. How great would that be if Garth walked outta there with Mika Z and Nathan B, or Strome and Joe Morrow, or Couturier and Scott Mayfield?
No stress here, just dreamin till draft day…
"Seriously that's the last time you guys f#@%ing won?" -RSH (about beating the Penguins in '93)
hey Brian
if Snow got two of those players, i’d be one happy fan…Strome has risen has he has grown. if he hits his ceiling, he will be an exceptional, all around right forward, centre and right wing…that’s the problem though, what if he doesn’t hit his ceiling? I wouldn’t be at all upset if Snow picked Mika, as i think he is one of the saver top picks in the draft. even if he never becomes a star, he can fill so many holes for isles…
your thoughts on Bealieu are interesting. One thing I would add, Isles do not have the proper kind of depth on left D — meaning size and physicality. the only left D that has size in the entire system is Wishart, and he plays soft. I am of the believe that you can only have two “position” D men, we have Streit and Amac, DeHaan will probably replace Streit….so we need to find a left D or two with some grit as well…
by CanadianIsleslifer on Jun 14, 2011 12:29 AM EDT up reply actions
Safer forward picks in the 1st round are:
-Landeskog
-Couturier
-Zibanejad
-McNeill
-Biggs
Because of their size and 2-way abilities.
agreed
if they don’t panout as first liners, they can go the bobby smith route and be successful, defensive big forwards…incidentially, smith’s offense suddenly came years into his pro career as a tall, large defensive centre for Montreal. That list of players could be anything from first to third, and even if they are a bust, can be fourth liners…size, physicality, can skate etc. they already have all that.
by CanadianIsleslifer on Jun 14, 2011 2:47 PM EDT up reply actions
Bobby Smith route
Aye, I always forget how high he was taken. Manny Malhotra approves of this message.
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A doughnut with no hole is Frans Nielsen.
But you do not know when particular measurements were taken.
See what I said (“ALL these numbers have been or could be right…”) at 11pm.
If a reputable source says a player is taller, it doesnt mean the other source is not reputable- it just might not be up to date. These are kids, and they grow.
Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)
by TheMetalChick on Jun 13, 2011 12:22 AM EDT up reply actions
I am so confused. That page had him at 6'6.5'' a few hours ago. I am so confused.
For me it’s difference of him being in the “top 5/6” or being on the outside.
It all depends on where they got it from, whether it is reputable. Its all gonna be back and forth for a while, Id bet.
Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)
by TheMetalChick on Jun 13, 2011 12:28 AM EDT up reply actions
Yea
they must have made a mistake when they put up 6’7". As I noted above, he wasn’t in the top 10 for wingspan, which didn’t make a whole lot of sense.
Oh well, that’s a lot of wasted pixels.
......What he said.
Garth Snow has proven to me that he is more than capable of making great personnel moves, both in the draft and at the pro-level, and unlike the last psycho who ran this team, Garth is wise enough to delegate to the scouting and coaching staff to help make the right decisions…. Whomever we take, be it at 5 or if we move out of that spot, I will have the utmost faith Garth and Co. made a much better choice than I (or any other armchair GM) could…. I just can’t wait to find out who it is!
by H0PPY on Jun 13, 2011 4:52 AM EDT reply actions 1 recs
Exactly
I’ve made that statement numerous times, but being an Isles fan there’s always the “hate” crowd who bashes every move they make. Aside from the standings (injuries) Garth has proven to be very smart. He was virtually handed an expansion team to work with and i think he’s done a great job at bringing quality and quantity to the organization in a short amount of time. The free agents he attempted to sign and couldnt only helped us more by not signing with us. We dont need those ridiculous contracts for good (not great) players. Next season and beyond we could really use a couple guys deciding to go with us though. Hopefully arena stability will help that area for Garth
by LaFontaine16 on Jun 13, 2011 1:30 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Agreed...
In line with what Lafontaine16 said above, this is where WE are right now. If you look at the post “autonomy” drafts which probably start in 2008, you have to say that Snow has filled most of the organizational holes.
It’s going to be a tough decision if Courturier/Huberdeau and Hamilton are available.
There are probably 4 prospective top four defensman in the system right now under 25 (Hamonic, MacDonald, Donovan, deHaan). Only one of them is right handed, and only two of them have proven themselves on an NHL stage. To means that means we have 2/6 of the puzzle in place… still a lot of long term questions on the back line.
That void doesnt’ exist on the offensive side. Grabner, Moulson, Tavares look to be solid top 6 forwards. Okposo, Nielsen and Bailey are still young and will compete as middle six forwards… and you have guys like Ullstrom, the Kirills, Nelson and Lee still in the oven(so to speak). Plus there is a wealth of middle/bottom six talent in the organization…and that pool is more readily available in the UFA market once you establish yourself as a “WINNER”
I’ll be watching the draft rooting for us to get Dougie Hamilton, but I’ll be okay with whatever Snow does with the pick. He’s earned that much faith from the fanbase.
Lighthouse Hockey: where "you better check yourself before you rec yourself" -bobl
If your life isn't pathetic enough already, follow me on twitter @JPinVA
by JPinVA on Jun 13, 2011 5:46 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
"The concern when falling in love with the size is ..."
There’s a bunch of reasons to avoid making picks based just on size. We’ve seen several of those reasons in Islander uniforms over the last few years, and not only at defense. Not only does size not translate to toughness, but a lot of big guys don’t use their size at all, even aside from toughness. There are 6’4" guys who play like their 5’10". It’s baffling, and a waste.
And I know Hamilton projects as a good defenseman, but "Dougie"’??? Will he still be Dougie when he’s 27, 28, 30? I think it’s ridiculous that a certain hall-of-fame third baseman named Jones is in his 40’s and they still call the him “Chipper.” Sorry, but Larry is better than Chipper.
Can’t Hamilton just be ‘DOUG’ ?
Is Weight forgotten already?
Go back and listen to interviews- his teammates call him Dougie a lot.
Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)
by TheMetalChick on Jun 13, 2011 8:58 AM EDT up reply actions
That's the thing. It wouldn't be just because of his size. With Hamilton's skills at 6'4'' he was a top 10 pick.
If he is 6’7’’ with that skill set, he deserves to be in the top 5.
What's in a name?
I don’t care if they call him Doug, Dougie, Douglas or Debra….. If the guy can step in and fill the glaring need we have for a physical stay-at-home dman, I’m all for it….. I think you kinda made the point with your Chipper reference…. I’m pretty sure the Braves are glad they didn’t take the guy’s name into consideration when they drafted him.
Decisions Decisions
The skyrocketing stock of Uber Huber (Huberdeau) has changed the whole outlook of the top 5 picks this year.
At #5 the options can realistically be: Landeskog, Couturier, Larsson, Hamilton and of course Huberdeau. (Ryan Strome is the dark horse)
I rank them as follows:
1-Larsson
2-Landeskog
3-Couturier
4-Huberdeau
5-Hamilton
6-Strome
The draft can go so many different ways before Snow picks at #5
Scenarios:
RNH, Landeskog, Huberdeau, Larsson, ______(Couturier,Hamilton,Strome)
RNH, Huberdeau, Landeskog, Larsson, ______(Couturier,Hamilton,Strome)
RNH, Larsson, Huberdeau, Couturier, _______ (LANDESKOG, Hamilton, Strome)
Larsson, RNH, Huberdeau, Couturier,_______ (LANDESKOG, Hamilton, Strome)
RNH, Landeskog, Huberdeau, Couturier, ______(LARSSON, Hamilton, Strome)
That is pretty much the likely situation.
It’s going to be a choice of Hamilton or Strome or Landeskog/Couturier/Huberdeau/Larsson(unlikely). IF Hamilton is 6’7’’, he sounds like an almost no brainer for a team with a ton of little defensive prospects and Wishart. If Hamilton is 6’4’’, then I think Garth has to go forward but wouldn’t be mad or surprised if he took Hamilton then. Disappointed for passing on a top forward, yes, but I could live with Hamilton.
i think mika z is less of a gamble than strome, but again, if strome does pan out and hit his ceiling, i don’t think there is a better player in the draft to pair with JT…Nino JT and Strome would have the “potential” to be the top line in the league someday…
by CanadianIsleslifer on Jun 13, 2011 2:15 PM EDT up reply actions
Ryan Strome
Why is it that I keep thinking… RAFFI TORRES when Ryan Strome’s name pops up.
I guess these days I’m feeling a bit “Realistic” My cousin was over last night…
All the guys we want to draft at #5… We seem to favor more over everyone else’s choices. In reality…
Couturier’s can become a “Mike Rupp” or “Jeff Carter”
Huberdeau can become a “J.P. Dumont” or another “John Tavares”
Hamilton can be a “Shea Weber” or “Kristian Kudroc”
We might draft the best player in this years class at #5. We can all have our favorites, but it could be a case that maybe the #7 or #8 pick can pan out and be more successful than all the previously taken choices. Look at Jeff Skinner.
We’ll see June 24th.
by Sal Interlandi on Jun 13, 2011 2:37 PM EDT reply actions 3 recs
Over-ripen
My hope is that whoever they end up drafting is not on the team for 3-4 years, no matter how much they dominate juniors and then the AHL. This team is not in the same place they were when they drafted Bailey – Outside of the giant ? in the crease, the rest of this team, as stands, has the capability to make the playoffs. It’s time to let the prospects develop where they ought to develop – outside of the NHL. I’m not a fan of having Nino on the team next year, either, though that it seeming more and more likely.
There are a few guys on this team (guys like Comeau) that should still be given a couple of more years to prove themselves before they get pushed out the door by younger players. I’d rather not run the risk of losing a guy b/c you want your new toy in the lineup, when the guy you already have could still end up being better than a teenager who has but potential.
Just to beat the dead horse on Hamilton
http://www.thescoutingreport.org/ohl-feature-niagara-ice-dogs-overview/
There’s a nice link for everyone to look at. From all the praise of this kid i did a little research. From what i saw, this kid molds his game after Jay Bouwmeester (he said it himself). Jay Bouwmeester is far from a crease clearing d-man. To me, Hamilton sounds like a taller version of all our other D prospects. I haven’t read anything to suggest he is a physical force or even plays that type of game. Maybe people are being mislead by his size, but he does not sound like the “crease clearing dman” this team needs (whether its on the team or in the system).
I got the sense...
that he would be similar to Hamonic… with less fisticuffs… and that’s okay, as long as he doesn’t shy from CONTACT.
When Hamonic grows into his NHL prime he’ll be one tough SOB in front of the net. He didn’t have (I assume) his potential NHL strength level this year and he was still A FACTOR in front of the net. To say where Hamilton projects strength wise 3-4 years down the road is just throwing darts at this point. You can tell by how he plays, and everybody has used the word “HIT” when describing him. Joensuu is 6’4", but I don’t think I heard “HARD” and “HIT’ ever used to describe his game until he was redefined to find a path for him to the NHL…. because it was certainly going to be a longer path if he played the 5’10” 175 game he was playing before.
I think the Isles need a (SINGULAR) crease clearer… but it is more imoportant to have 6 mobile defenders. If you have 3 mobile defenders (Hamonic, Wishart, Hamilton) with SIZE… then maybe Hamonic grows into that CREASE CLEARER role… That is just a matter of TOUGHNESS… I’d like to see them sign Bieksa as a bridge to Hamilton… and he would add some TOUGH mobility. Guys like Z, Pronger and even The Poof aren’t out there to be harvested like apples in october. There are a few per draft, and when you don’t have one you try to get one when you can. We may have one (Hamonic) but it sure would be nice to have TWO… and if Wishart and hamilton turn out to be top four type defenders it would put us in the position Philly was in this year… Not a bad place to be with a GOALTENDER.
Lighthouse Hockey: where "you better check yourself before you rec yourself" -bobl
If your life isn't pathetic enough already, follow me on twitter @JPinVA
On the topic of Hamonic being physical.
He averaged around 2hits/gm in his rookie year. That is the definition of a physical defenseman.
HAMMER!
I love hammer and he was already our toughest dman last year. A lot of people are thinking Hamilton’s game will mirror Hamonic’s, (with Hamilton being more skilled) but i dont see that as being the case. For a 6’4" or whatever he is defensemen playing against 16-18 yr olds you’d be lucky if you could pull up a video of 2 hits he has thrown. Any video on him is of a goal he scored. I thought we wanted a big mean dman back there? Arent Oleksiak and Siemens more suitable to fill the role we are looking for?
Nathan Beaulieu
What are your thoughts (or anyone’s) on this tough, 6’3, offensive Dman with a mean streak and TEH CUP pedigree lol?
I’m with you on Hamilton, I like my Dmen tough AND talented. We only have that in Hamonic, and I don’t see it in Hamilton. I DO see it in Beaulieu.
"Seriously that's the last time you guys f#@%ing won?" -RSH (about beating the Penguins in '93)
The 6'7" euphoria is finally over.
Yesterday when I first saw this thread … I was compelled to comment … but I wanted to do some more homework on the 3 or 4 realisting prospects that might be there at #5.
What I found was that the boards for a bunch of teams lit up with the “We gotta draft Hamilton … We gotta trade up and grab Hamilton … Garth Snow is too stupid to draft Hamilton … so he may fall to us” …. Seriously.
All that said mind you … This was all about 2.5" … At the start of the season being listed at 6’4", and the NHL CSS “accidentally” listing him at 6’ 6.5" for more than 48 hours. Now earlier they had him at 6’ 4.5" … so when I was clicking on links of very recent articles and seeing he was listed as 6’ 4" I held back my enthusiasm … because I know … if he was INFACT 6’ 6.5" …. that would of been the talk of the combine.
Now that we got that out of the way … I will say I’m still leaning towards drafting Dougie Hamilton … not just because he provides so good size on the blue line … but because he’s an all around good defenseman in all 3 zones … and has been improving on a trajectory much steeper than his top tier defensive prospects … and this includes Larsson. It is very very difficult to compare a side by side between Hamilton and Larsson because they play under 100% completely different circumstances … Larsson is the safe pick as the top defenseman in this draft … but has Kyle Woodlief stated about Hamilton … at the end of the day … Hamilton could become the steal of the draft and be the best defenseman out of the draft… Not a 100% certainty … but Hamilton’s trajectory and work ethic have him as a top pairing defenseman. Heck, I saw some rankings that had Larsson at 8 (I think it was TSN’s Button) … which shows how ridiculous some of these media bird dogs are with rating players.
Even that being said … to compare Hamilton to Bouwmeester is unfair to both … having a powerful and smooth skating stride in common is a nice compliment to Hamilton … but the 17 year old (going to be 18 this month) is only repeating what the media has been saying … Hamilton has yet to come into his own … and he’ll be a top pairing defenseman that is also an offensive threat for years to come. He may never be a nasty SOB to play against … but with the element of size he will not be easy. Remember Chara? He was sort of a gentle slender giant. Give this kid Hamilton some time to emerge.
Keep in mind … about 80% of what we are reading about most of these kids are from scouting reports that turned into media clippings before the WJC. We have no way of knowing the other intagibles that are vital to an NHL career that these players have been
OK … now my opinion on Huberdeau …. He’s a great player … and has great offensive numbers in a notoriously offensive league … but he really stormed on the stage late … He was ranked #13 in February … this isn’t just a goal scoring contest after all. The fact that he stormed up so late was also a fact that he was a great player on a great team … and got an extra look … but what does his whole body of work look like? Well … last season he had 15 goals and 20 assists in 61 games … Does that sound like a consistent goal scorer? Are you willing to put your chips on a player that has done it only once?…. and for that matter … started moving up in the rankings soooo late. Granted … the kid may be a stud …. an MVP of the Memorial Cup is nothing to be taken lightly … but the fact that all this happened out of no where … makes me less likely to bump him into the top 5 … but that is just me.
Strome … the kid has wheels and can dish the puck … 33G and a whopping 73 assists …. NICE … I like …. but 27 points last season …. he’s not historically a stud … He may emerge …. he may not … The same can be said for Hamilton … The difference? We have a few centers in the pipeline of Strome’s stature … and don’t forget … it was once said that Bailey was this magician with the puck too … the gift of finding a scorer’s stick … What we don’t have is an all around 3 zone defenseman with size. That is why Iean towards Hamilton … and YES … I expect who ever the Isles draft at #5 to play in the CHL again next year … Unless by some miracle they get Lando or Larsson … which ya never know … but not holding my breath… and even then … I think they should be over ripened.
As far as everyone else goes …. These kids are all the cream of their crop … but how do they compare with the draft classes of the last 3 drafts? This draft is weaker … and their competion is weaker in game player …. just a tad … but weaker.
I’ll have more commentary later in the week with a break down of each realistic player.
by 19 Isle in NJ 22 on Jun 13, 2011 7:00 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
While I agree with some of what you said...
Huberdeau was a 16yr old rookie last year when he posted 15g, 20a. The fact that he put up those numbers as a 16yr old in his rookie season and then increased those numbers this year as a 17yr old in his sophomore season says a lot about him. It makes you wonder what he will do next year.
Also I don’t buy the whole he was on a stacked team biz. Taylor Hall was also on a stacked team and he turned out just fine.
Strome was traded mid-season last year from Barrie where he was barely played To Niagara in the Pietrangelo deal. He then exploded this year given more playing time.
Yea
I’d have a hard time with it if they left Couturier or Huberdeau on the board to take Hamilton. Playmaker or scorer, either way it’s not really something you can have too much of.
by afrosupreme on Jun 13, 2011 10:35 PM EDT up reply actions
And don't take away anything from Huberdeau or Couturier goalscoring wise either.
Both were top 10 in goals/gm in their league. Not to mention, both are touted as defensively reliable players(Couturier even as a possible future defensive elite). Huberdeau being better offensive, a highlight reel machine, and Couturier being better defensively and more complete(and taller/stronger). There isn’t much of anything to dislike about those 2 guys. Very intriguing and highly talented prospects.
Point taken
But I’m making a comparison here…. Most top 5 forwards historically taken in the NHL from the CHL were only 16 years old a year or so before the draft… starting out as 15 year olds in the CHL actually. By the time they are eligible for the NHL draft most if not ALL top CHL prospects have just finished their 2nd year in the league … that goes without saying … since they are drafted as 17 / 18 year olds. If you look at other cream of the crop picks in the top 10 … they made a lot more noise as 16 year olds compared to this crop. Example … Brett Connolly was injured for most of his draft year … but the year he played as a 16 year old he scored 30 goals and 30 assists … Josh Bailey who was ranked I think 14th scored 22 goals and 40 assists the year before his draft year … then racked up 67 assists his draft year … So you kinda made my point… I don’t want to replace the Adam Oates compared Josh with well … another Adam Oates compared Josh… or Strome … or Huberdeau … Way too small of a sample size for long duration production for a #5 IMO.
My point was that they didn’t carry over a history of lighting it up … and that since there was a rash of1st round drafted CHL players the past few seasons actually playing for their NHL teams it left a vacuum for this draft class to fill … Remember … nobody was talking about this draft class with high regard (Hamilton included) until after the WJC… It was all about Couturier, Larsson with RNH rounding out the BIG 3… So what happened? Well … we got about 5 more players in the next tier … the so called BIG 5 gate crashers … Landeskog and Huberdeau knocking on the #3 and maybe even #2 slot … bumping Coutier to the group in the Next 5. My point was that Hamilton has had a very very steep trajectory after this season … and so may players like Huberdeau and Strome very strong players … but to call them blue chippers …. nahhh … play makers at the head of their draft class … yes … but if they were in last year’s draft I don’t see them ahead of Brett Connolly. Strome has made some sick plays … but if this alleged weak draft class compared to the last 3 has also had weaker competition to play against … perhaps their stats are slightly inflated … Even with the cream of this class being the top 8 players … and then a drop off between 9 – 20 … and then another drop off between 20 – 50 … and so on … in comparisson to 08, 09 and 10 … I am less impressed … and that applied to Hamilton too.
by 19 Isle in NJ 22 on Jun 13, 2011 11:35 PM EDT up reply actions
Huberdeau led his team and had an unbelievable playoffs. It's really hard to say Huberdeau doesn't deserve to be in the "top 5" with what he showed in the playoffs and during the season. He has elite offensive talent.
Strome is interesting. He came completely out of nowhere, but he grew a lot over 1 summer and has a tremendous work ethic, so it’s hard to discount him. I think he’s great, but just not part of the top 5. BPA, I go RNH, Larsson, Landeskog, Huberdeau, Couturier, and then everyone else.
And one more thing,
based on this logic, you should want Couturier>Hamilton if both drop to us. Is this true?
Blind spots
Keep in mind … about 80% of what we are reading about most of these kids are from scouting reports that turned into media clippings before the WJC. We have no way of knowing the other intagibles that are vital to an NHL career that these players have been
Yeah, it’s like trying to steer a rover on Mars without having a single engineer who designed the thing in the building.
Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A doughnut with no hole is Frans Nielsen.
historically speaking
There are very few kids who storm the league in their rookie seasons as 16 yr olds. If you look at most kids stats, they have that first year where their stats are extremely pale in comparison to their sophomore year. This is prob due in part to them being rookies and a lot probably has to do with ice time. These are still kids and its most likely a huge jump playing in a league like the ohl (which is organized and structured as if it were an NHL team) from whatever organized hockey they were playing before. Looking at Couturier, this past season was actually his 3rd. His rookie season’s #‘s were not great. Maybe this is why so many people are jumping him in the rankings. What impressed me with researching Huberdeau is that, obviously he won the championship and was the MVP, but he was one of the top scorers in the reg season, his PIM were a little high for a player with his skill set (which to me suggests he plays with some grit and passion) and his #’s throughout the whole playoffs were amazing. Almost a goal per game. Couturier’s playoff #‘s were not nearly as impressive as Huberdeau’s. Still would take either over Hamilton.

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