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Islanders/NHL Power Ranking Survey: 27th

WANTED: Power move.

By standings points (26 points), the New York Islanders rank 28th overall (with games in hand on most of their neighbors -- or neighbours, for our northern friends). By points percentage (.433), they rank 27th as their 1-6 OT/SO record fails them.

User Note: The preview thread for tonight's game vs. the Jets is over here, below the Android app promo.

Most media place them just a little higher than that (average of 26th, in the table below), while the GM said earlier this month that now is the time to vault well above that and make a playoff push. They are nine points out of eighth, with one to four games in hand on the teams they need to leap.

For a quick look at how fans of tonight's opponent digested last weeks Jets power rankings, check out Arctic Ice Hockey. This is our weekly power rankings and media ranking survey. It's also a chance to consider how they rank by several measures -- here's Torgo's look at their season in 10-game segments -- and speculate how high or low they're capable of landing by the end of the season.

Star-divide

On that note, and speaking of Arctic Ice Hockey, I linked this "Fenwick Power Ranking" post in the game preview, but it's an interesting look because it ranks teams by even strength possession (which is a long-term determinant of wins) and not by wins (which are of course, the ultimate measure but in short-term are subject to bounces and refs and hexes resulting from our First Islanders Goal picks).

By that goalie- and special teams-independent measure they rank 20th.

Media Power Rankings

And now on to the media power rankings survey:

Outlet Rank Last Week Their Commentary
CBSSports 24 24
The revolving door in the Islanders goal crease continued last week as Kevin Poulin became the fifth different goalie to start a game for the team this season. He stopped 26 of 29 shots in a 3-2 loss to the Dallas Stars. Five goalies in one year may seem like a lot (because it is) but they still need to use one more to match last season's total of six.
THN
(Proteau)
27 27
Rick DiPietro injured again, Isles near bottom of standings again - it's Groundhog Year on Long Island for the umpteenth straight year
ESPN
(LeBrun)
26 25 Upset win over Minnesota on Saturday night ends four-game slide.
CBC n/a n/a [gone dark and cold]
TSN
(Cullen)
26 26 Five games without a regulation win and probably no coincidence that the Isles are 1-for-20 (5.0%) with the man advantage in that time, since they had gone the previous five without a regulation loss while going 6-for-18 (33.3%) on the power play.
Fox 27 27 John Tavares has been putting up a little bit of offense, but the Isles’ young crop of forwards hasn’t taken a significant step forward as expected. Their defense has allowed at least three goals in six of eight.
Average
26
25.8 Not much change as the Isles settle in familiar Nino-Strome territory.

Real Power Rankings

Our weekly "real" power rankings are courtesy of Mike, or ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles (who is the one you'll find tirelessly compiling FIG picks in the game thread), conceived and delivers these week after week. They are calculated in true "power ranking" fashion -- i.e. how well teams fare based on their opponents' records.

As for this week's ranking, the table below reflects games through Sunday, Dec. 18. There are some ugly teams at the top, a team the Islanders just beat still hanging on at the top, and there's the Islanders, hanging one spot below where a lot of media have them:

W L OTL Pts Win Pct PWR
1 Minnesota 20 8 5 45 0.682 1957
2 St. Louis 19 9 4 42 0.656 1943
3 Boston 21 9 1 43 0.694 1940
4 Chicago 21 8 4 46 0.697 1931
5 Philadelphia 20 8 3 43 0.694 1929
6 San Jose 17 10 3 37 0.617 1881
7 NY Rangers 18 8 4 40 0.667 1879
8 Detroit 20 10 1 41 0.661 1867
9 Florida 18 9 6 42 0.636 1821
10 Vancouver 19 11 2 40 0.625 1725
11 Pittsburgh 18 11 4 40 0.606 1724
12 Dallas 18 12 1 37 0.597 1639
13 Nashville 17 11 4 38 0.594 1637
14 New Jersey 18 13 1 37 0.578 1608
15 Phoenix 16 13 3 35 0.547 1590
16 Winnipeg 15 13 4 34 0.531 1548
17 Toronto 16 13 3 35 0.547 1540
18 Buffalo 16 13 3 35 0.547 1533
19 Los Angeles 14 14 4 32 0.500 1528
20 Washington 16 14 1 33 0.532 1518
21 Edmonton 14 15 3 31 0.484 1480
22 Montreal 13 13 7 33 0.500 1477
23 Ottawa 15 14 4 34 0.515 1459
24 Calgary 14 15 4 32 0.485 1415
25 Colorado 15 17 1 31 0.470 1406
26 Tampa Bay 14 16 2 30 0.469 1396
27 NY Islanders 10 14 6 26 0.433 1340
28 Carolina 10 18 6 26 0.382 1203
29 Anaheim 9 18 5 23 0.359 1176
30 Columbus 9 20 4 22 0.333 956

For reference, here is last week's power rankings (Isles were 26th) post.

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With a couple of games in hand, no less

Take that, haters. Edmonton is just as still-mediocre as us.

Success was survival and, kid, it still is

by IslesFanInNJ on Dec 20, 2011 5:41 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't agree.

While the points in the standings are similar, Edmonton has a -1 goal differential while were at -28. Edmonton is currently led by young stars in the making in Nugent-Hopkins, Hall, and Eberle who are all producing at about 1 point per game. They also have a winning record at home which is another small plus to point out. Edmonton might not be a playoff team this year, but you can clearly see that they are going in the right direction. With the Islanders, it is nowhere near as clear. I’m not trying to bash the team here because I do feel that they are heading in the right direction, but it’s going to take time before Nino, Strome, Kabanov, de Haan, and the rest of the prospects can help to carry the team.

by nyislanders93 on Dec 20, 2011 6:22 PM EST up reply actions  

They have some great pieces

and consecutive #1s and an Eberle helps, with more on the way.

I suspect the point was more that based on the contrasting starts (when Khabibulin was standing on his head) people were complaining why can’t we have what Edmonton has, when there were several indicators that they would not be anywhere near that lofty for long. The two teams have different flaws, but they’re awfully close in Fenwick right now, for what it’s worth.

Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A Dane with no holes is Frans Nielsen.

by Dominik on Dec 20, 2011 7:01 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

That was my point, how perception plays into the re-build.

The Oilers sucked more for two seasons and picked up 2 top prospects, but that doesn’t mean they are on a faster track. I think looking at the Islanders prospect pool we are in no worse shape, the trick is, the prospects need to pan out.

They also have a winning record at home which is another small plus to point out

In the same token, you could say that the Islanders have a better road record than the Oil which indicates more character. If all goes well, the Islanders home won’t be the building they are in for much longer anyway. What I do concede about the better home record is that it sends the season ticket holders home happier, which is important.

by Hockey1919 on Dec 21, 2011 10:38 AM EST up reply actions  

How come their rebuild went so quick?!

Lighthouse Hockey: A flute with no holes is not a flute. A Dane with no holes is Frans Nielsen.

by Dominik on Dec 20, 2011 5:54 PM EST up reply actions  

the umpteenth straight year

They made the playoffs in 2007… so “umpteen” obviously equals “five.”

We may be in the box, but you get the penalty.
Lighthouse Hockey - a beacon of greatness on the rocky coast of sports blog mediocrity
Non-hockey scribblings at nightflyblog

by mikb on Dec 20, 2011 7:31 PM EST reply actions  


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Islanders Schedule

1979-80


May 24, 1980: Tonelli to Nystrom. At long last, the steady build of the New York Islanders from expansion doormat to surprise semifinalist to annual contender reaches the promised land: Buoyed by a late season trade for Butch Goring that gave the team the depth up the middle GM Bill Torrey had been seeking, the Islanders knock off the Philadelphia Flyers in six games.

The victory justified the faith in coach Al Arbour who guided them from their second season to their first Stanley Cup seven seasons later. The Islanders would not be the first expansion team to win the Stanley Cup, but they would be the only one capable of a dynasty.

1980-81


May 21, 1981: This time it was much easier. After falling to "only" 91 points in the 1979-80 season, the Islanders returned to their division title tradition, piling up 110 points -- a whole 13 points over second-place Philadelphia.

Between the quarterfinals (where they beat the upstart Oilers in six games) and the finals, the Islanders reeled off eight consecutive wins -- with a four-game sweep of archrival Rangers in between. As they defeated the Minnesota North Stars in five games for their second Cup, their goal difference in the final was a combined +10.

1981-82


May 16, 1982: Another year, another landslide title. The Islanders won the Patrick Division by a whopping 26 points over the second-place Rangers, and were seven points clear of their nearest competition for the President's Trophy, the still-not-quite-ripe Edmonton Oilers.

A first-round scare against the Pittsburgh Penguins turned in the Isles' favor thanks to John Tonelli's heroics, and a true dynasty was on its way: Past the Rangers in six games, then an eight-game sweep of the Quebec Nordiques and Vancouver Canucks to run away with the Stanley Cup.

1982-83


May 17, 1983: Not so fast, whipper-snappers. The Edmonton Oilers' steadily rising challenge for league supremacy took them all the way to the finals for the first time, where the New York Islanders summarily dispatched them in a four-game sweep. For the Islanders, the Dynasty was secured. For the Oilers, it was a powerful lesson in where talent ends and the demands of playoff hockey begin.

Four years, four Cups, 16 consecutive playoff series wins (a record that would grow to 19 until the rematch with the Oilers the following year). Mike Bossy scored 60 goals yet again, and Wayne Gretzky became acquainted with Billy Smith's crease.


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