FanPost

Islanders Scoring Chances: October 12 Update

I'm pretty sure this went under the radar during the offseason, but I, Chris McNally, volunteered to keep track of scoring chances during Islanders games for the 2011-12 season.  The scoring chance project was created by Derek Zona of The Copper and Blue in an effort to enhance the Corsi stat and show just how well a player is utilizing his puck posession.  There are at least 16 teams who are participating in this project and its possible a few more have jumped on board since.

A scoring chance is defined as a clear play directed toward the opposing net from a dangerous scoring area - loosely defined as the top of the circle in and inside the faceoff dots (nicknamed the Home Plate, detailed at the below), though sometimes slightly more generous than that depending on the amount of immediately-preceding puck movement or screens in front of the net

. Scoring_area_large_medium

via cdn1.sbnation.com


Blocked shots are generally not included but missed shots are. A player is awarded a scoring chance anytime he is on the ice and someone from either team has a chance to score. He is awarded a "chance for" if someone on his team has a chance to score and a "chance against" if the opposing team has a chance to score.

 

I was going to try and get an update out after every game but sometimes it'll take me a couple days to compile the data, so instead I'll update it once a week.  I'll try picking an Islanders off day so it doesn't get lost in the excitement of the pregame and in-game threads.  Without further adieu, here's our first Islanders Scoring Chance update of the 2011-12 season

The Islanders opened the season at home against the Florida Panthers and as we all know, they looked flat.  Well the numbers suggest the same exact thing.  Here are the scoring chances, the type of shot, the end result of the shot, and who was on the ice at the time of the chance.

Team Period Time Note NYI Opponent
FLA 1 18:50 Kopecky wrister on net 2 11 15 24 35 91 10 19 44 55 60 82 5v5
NYI 1 12:47 Tavares wrister on net 2 11 15 24 35 91 7 10 19 43 60 82 5v5
FLA 1 10:16 Campbell wrister on net 3 21 35 40 47 51 9 14 32 51 52 60 5v5
NYI 1 9:40 Parenteau backhand wide 2 15 24 26 35 91 7 10 19 43 60 82 5v5
FLA 1 7:03 Weaver wrister on net 4 10 15 26 35 91 7 10 19 43 60 82 5v5
FLA 1 3:25 Campbell wrister on net 2 15 24 26 35 91 9 14 32 51 52 60 5v5
FLA 1 3:23 Weiss rebound goal 2 15 24 26 35 91 9 14 32 51 52 60 5v5
FLA 1 1:50 Booth backhand on net 4 10 11 12 35 57 10 12 43 52 60 82 5v5
FLA 1 0:15 Garrison slapshot goal 4 24 35 51 9 10 32 51 52 60 3v5
FLA 2 18:10 Bergenheim backhand on net 2 15 24 26 35 91 12 20 43 51 57 60 5v5
FLA 2 14:55 Booth wrister on net 2 10 16 17 29 35 10 22 24 44 55 60 5v5
FLA 2 12:17 Weiss wrister on net 2 16 17 24 29 35 9 14 32 51 52 60 5v5
NYI 2 8:16 Pandolfo wrister on net 2 16 17 24 29 35 18 22 24 44 55 60 5v5
FLA 2 7:46 Kopecky wrister on net 4 10 16 17 29 35 7 10 12 43 60 82 5v5
NYI 2 4:43 Streit wrister on net 2 11 26 35 51 91 24 51 55 60 82 5v4
NYI 2 4:13 Tavares wrister on net 2 11 26 35 51 91 24 51 55 60 82 5v4
NYI 2 0:28 Rolston slapshot wide 2 11 15 21 35 40 32 51 55 60 82 5v4
FLA 3 16:30 Versteeg wrister on net 2 21 24 35 40 51 7 9 14 32 43 60 5v5
NYI 3 15:46 MacDonald wrister wide 3 15 26 35 47 91 12 20 44 55 57 60 5v5
NYI 3 15:04 Okposo slapshot on net 3 12 15 21 35 40 24 51 55 57 60 5v4
FLA 3 11:45 Weiss slapshot on net 3 4 12 35 40 7 9 14 32 51 60 4v5
FLA 3 11:36 Bergenheim slapshot on net 3 4 12 16 35 7 9 10 20 51 60 4v5
FLA 3 1:55 Skille wrister on net 3 15 21 35 47 91 7 12 20 43 57 60 5v5

As you can see, the Islanders had only 8 scoring chances to Florida's 15.  Only half of the Islanders' scoring chances came at even strength.  The two things that stand out, besides the lack of chances, are:

1.  Florida had 10 of the first 12 scoring chances in the game, and one of the Isles' chances didn't even hit the net.

2. The Islanders, down 2-0, managed to generate 0 scoring chances in the last 15 minutes of the game.

With numbers like that, it really isn't a surprise that the Islanders lost the game, let alone got shutout.  Here are the individual numbers for the game.  Remember, the bold number after TOI is the number of chances a player was on the ice for during even strength, power play, and shorthanded, while the second number is the number of chances he was on the ice against.  These numbers were supposed to be in color, hopefully I can have it that way for the next update.

# Player EV PP SH
2 M. STREIT 17:40 3 7 4:24 3 0 2:54 0 0
3 T. HAMONIC 17:30 1 2 1:32 1 0 2:45 0 2
4 M. EATON 10:41 0 3 0:04 0 0 4:27 0 2
10 M. MOTTAU 10:56 0 4 0:19 0 0 1:27 0 0
11 B. ROLSTON 9:51 1 2 4:50 3 0 0:16 0 0
12 J. BAILEY 11:03 0 1 0:45 1 0 2:58 0 2
15 P. PARENTEAU 11:24 3 6 1:53 2 0 0:00 0 0
16 M. REASONER 9:34 1 3 0:04 0 0 2:50 0 1
17 M. MARTIN 8:57 1 3 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
21 K. OKPOSO 14:40 0 3 2:37 2 0 0:00 0 0
24 S. STAIOS 12:23 3 6 0:00 0 0 4:20 0 0
26 M. MOULSON 12:54 2 4 3:52 2 0 0:05 0 0
29 J. PANDOLFO 7:48 1 3 0:04 0 0 2:08 0 0
35 A. MONTOYA 43:03 4 12 6:00 4 0 8:49 0 2
40 M. GRABNER 11:43 0 2 2:04 2 0 4:07 0 1
47 A. MACDONALD 20:20 1 2 0:21 0 0 1:52 0 0
51 F. NIELSEN 10:59 0 2 3:16 2 0 3:30 0 0
57 B. COMEAU 11:11 0 1 0:00 0 0 1:32 0 0
91 J. TAVARES 14:26 3 6 3:52 2 0 0:05 0 0

The surprising numbers that stand out are that the players that had the most scoring chances against them were the top defensive pair of Mark Streit and Steve Staios and the top line forward pair of John Tavares and P.A. Parenteau.  On the flip side though, they were also the players who were on the ice for the most scoring chances created, leaving Streit, Tavares, and Parenteau at only -1 apiece for the game.  The only player with a positive number for the game was newcomer Brian Rolston with a +2.  The fourth line were all -2 or worse for the game, showing that maybe their good play wasn't AS good as we first thought.  The worst numbers for the game, surprise surprise, were the defensive pairing of Mark Eaton and Mike Mottau, who were on the ice for 5 and 4 scoring chances against, respectively, and not a single scoring chance created.  All around though, the numbers were not good for our beloved Islanders.

I do have some bad news. My DVR'ed copy of the Isles/Wild game crapped out on me after 16 minutes and I only got to record 1 scoring chance (another P.A. shot wide).  I'm trying to find either the data for the game or another copy (my dad may possibly have one).  I'd like to get these numbers somehow because a season full of statistics minus one game is like a 792 card set of Topps baseball cards minus one card (probably Checklist 133-265).  Either way, I'll be back next week with the update from the Lightning and Rangers games.

<em>Submitted FanPosts do not necessarily reflect the views of this blog or SB Nation. If you're reading this statement, you pass the fine print legalese test. Four stars for you.</em>

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