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Waiting for Nino Niederreiter, on both coasts

Some wish Portland could quit you. [photo selection changed to make 100% sure Getty's caption wasn't leading us astray]

You are not the only ones eagerly awaiting Nino Niederreiter's arrival.

Last week Nino's WHL Portland Winterhawks had a fan and media event as players reconvened for the new season, and the rising star Nino was not among them. This was hardly a surprise, but reaction to Nino's absence -- the Islanders requested that he skip it and prepare for big boys' camp on Long Island -- initiated much kvetching among Hawks followers, understandably so.

First, last week from 30-year journalist and WHL reporter Gregg Drinnan:

The New York Islanders have kept first-round pick Nino Niederreiter in the big city [sic]; in fact, he isn’t expected in Portland at all before the start of another season. I am hearing that he will open the season with the Islanders, who are hoping his presence will help them sell tickets. That, of course, is purely speculation, especially considering that he hasn’t signed, but you can bet that Portland GM/head coach Mike Johnston is operating as though Niederreiter won‘t be back. . .

Keeping him around "to sell tickets" is a bit of a stretch, "speculation" qualifier or not. Keeping him around because they have high hopes for him, he has a near-NHL body, and he has 9 games to burn before it costs them is another matter. (Remember that despite lots of fawning praise for Calvin de Haan last preseason, the Isles still rightly returned him to juniors at the end of camp. Counterpoint: He was also smaller and tackling a tougher position. And then there was Josh Bailey....)

Star-divide

From Dylan Bumbarger, one "community blogger" at local portal OregonLive (Note: Caution that this is speculation, not insider info.):

it's apparent that the Islanders have plans for him. When Ryan Johansen goes to camp with the Blue Jackets, he's going to have to play well to make the team. I get the impression, however, that it's the opposite with Niederreiter--he's going to have to play his way out of an Opening Night spot.

Bumbarger goes on to outline the different NHL CBA-related milestones in Nino's career should he stick around (10 games, 40 games, etc.). If Nino breaks camp with the Isles and plays the first nine, he'd miss 13 WHL games -- no small matter for those fans.

As Islanders fans, we all have high hopes (albeit on many different timelines) for Nino's future. Could he really be a fixture past Game 9 this year?

Another community blogger at OregonLive, Samantha Meese, puts his recent history in perspective:

...since coming to Portland from Switzerland one year ago, Nino has traveled across two continents and four countries several times over to the World Juniors, the World Championship, the NHL Combine, the NHL Draft and then back to New York. And somewhere in there he learned to drive and finished high school.

The same reason you'd count on Nino to play the majority of this year in the WHL -- he's so young, missed being a 2011 draftee by a week, has already advanced so much, so fast -- is the same reason you wouldn't be entirely surprised if the Islanders did try to make an NHLer of him this year: He's a special kid.

How special? Time will tell. Prudence and my own kvetching has me thinking he belongs in the WHL for what will be his age 18 season (he turns 18 Sept. 8) -- and certainly the record of 18- and 19-year-olds in the NHL is not pretty. (Here's a follow-up to that Copper & Blue post.) But you and Garth Snow might see it differently.

What I'd venture we'd all agree on is, if Nino's impressive in camp it doesn't hurt the Isles to run the 6'2", 200-pounder out there for nine games of NHL orientation.

That may stink for Portland Winterhawks fans, but it will be fun for us. And bully for tomorrow's free agents if it sells some tickets, too.

Poll
How long does Nino stay with the Islanders in 2010-11?
He returns to Portland at the end of camp.
231 votes
He plays 9 NHL games, then heads back (without burning a year of his entry level contract).
421 votes
He plays 10 to 39 NHL games, then heads back (without burning a year toward unrestricted free agency).
64 votes
He's an Islander from Game 1 to Game 82.
206 votes

922 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 76 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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He's young

the best thing to do would be for them to return him to Portland after camp

by Staten Islander on Aug 30, 2010 7:49 AM EDT reply actions  

I don't really buy the ticket sales thing

If he makes the team it’s because he’s an 18 year old 6’ 2" 205 lbs power forward who has shown that he will do anything to make his team win the game

by rockhouse15 on Aug 30, 2010 8:29 AM EDT reply actions  

Keep in mind

The people saying that dont have anything to do with the Islanders, they arent even Islanders fans, they are only saying that because in a superficial scanning of Isles history they have seen things like that said before (namely last offseason when people made the same argument with JT.) And on goes the cycle.

Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)

by TheMetalChick on Aug 30, 2010 8:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

Exactly.

Underlined, bolded, with a dabble of whipped cream on top.

Lighthouse Hockey: An always-open repair shop for mikb's sarcasm module.

by Dominik on Aug 30, 2010 10:55 AM EDT up reply actions  

Not the ticket sales ...

its the sweater sales and the customizing that is going to put the Isles in the black this season.

by Hockey1919 on Aug 30, 2010 12:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Plus cupcakes.

Lighthouse Hockey: An always-open repair shop for mikb's sarcasm module.

by Dominik on Aug 30, 2010 2:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

I could see helping sell a couple tickets,

but nothing worth going crazy over. And I can see the 9game test, it’s honestly the best option for the islanders to see what he’s got. Nino puts up 6pts+ in those 9games and we’ll probably see him the rest of the year, he puts up fewer points and he’s going back to portland where he should be maturing since he wouldn’t be ready. It’ll be interesting though to see how he does if they do keep him for the 9games since a lot of draft predicters said he was 3rd best nhl-ready forward this year.

Go isles or Go home.

by OzzyFan on Aug 30, 2010 9:25 AM EDT reply actions  

i dont think points will matter as much ozzy-unless he rips off a PPG or more-, if he shows he’s capable of playing the physical 2-way game at the nhl level, gordon will lobby for him to stay, gordon isn’t a “points = worthiness” coach, if your overall game is helping, you will be in the lineup in important spots, as with most rooks, expect most of his points on the PP, which should be vastly improved with the Streit, The Wiz, Weight, and Martinek/Hamonic/DeHaan??? on the points this year :-)

welcome to MSG, where 2 out of 5 vendors are safe to eat from!

by bob l on Aug 30, 2010 10:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

Don't forget Hillen,

he should get some nice time on the 2nd line powerplay unit I’d expect and isn’t too shabby himself.

I’d be very intrigued if Gordon keeps nino in the nhl when he is anemic offensively, yet has a sound all around game otherwise.

Go isles or Go home.

by OzzyFan on Aug 30, 2010 1:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Macdonald maybe as welL

He was an offensive defencemen in juniors and put up around 30-40 points in his last season in the AHL, so maybe hell put up some points this season

In Garth we trust!

by jcam1 on Aug 30, 2010 10:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

i just hope

if he makes the team, his # stays his # for life, because i’m getting that jersey :-)

welcome to MSG, where 2 out of 5 vendors are safe to eat from!

by bob l on Aug 30, 2010 10:04 AM EDT reply actions  

How do you feel about #25?

I’m sure I’ll grow to love it if he runs with that, but it’s almost an anonymous number to me.

Lighthouse Hockey: An always-open repair shop for mikb's sarcasm module.

by Dominik on Aug 30, 2010 11:00 AM EDT up reply actions  

Somewhere, David Volek is smiling.

Outsourcing all grammar and rhetoric repairs to Dominik.

by mikb on Aug 30, 2010 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

22 is out...

I think this year will be my MARTIN jersey year, and then next year I’ll get Mrs JP a Nino jersey…
Don, Webby, Dave,
Maybe an “Islanders by the number” would be a good off-season post of note. The best Islander per number. Is there somewhere you can get a list of all the islanders and their numbers?

1. Chico

2. Streit v Hart

3. Tomas Jonnson

4. Bob Lorimer

5. Denis Potvin
etc

My cup is 3/4 empty, How 'bout yours?

by JPinVA on Aug 30, 2010 1:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

yeah, do you think Schrempy snagging 44 was a precautionary move in case Nino felt like doubling up his usual #? lol

i should tweet him and ask

welcome to MSG, where 2 out of 5 vendors are safe to eat from!

by bob l on Aug 30, 2010 1:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Rabbit's Foot...

To get a chance with a young team… to make an impression on that young team’s coach… to become a fan favorite in a small sample of games… and to have that cut short by injury would be good enough reason to dump the 13.

…and it looks like he had 44 before

So I don’t think Nino ever entered into the equation.

I would think that 90 (nine-oh) would be the perfect number for El Nino… Can you hear the chants in the Colley after he plants his shoulder in an opposing defenseman’s chest to take the puck… NINE OH NINE OH NINE OH…. The NEEEN-O NEEEN-O NEEN-O thing might be a little too soccer-ish during football season when we are trying to maintain testosterone levels from sunday to sunday.

My cup is 3/4 empty, How 'bout yours?

by JPinVA on Aug 30, 2010 2:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

44 with the Oil, too

At least for one of his callups he was 44 in Edmonton, too. I figured he chose 13 for a fresh start when he arrived, and now maybe he’s feeling comfortable.

I love the idea of a best of each number post; just never gotten around to it. And WebBard lashes out when I give him too many orders.

Lighthouse Hockey: An always-open repair shop for mikb's sarcasm module.

by Dominik on Aug 30, 2010 2:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

He also explained on his twitter about the 44, it’s for a friend of his dads that helped taught him to play who passed away. I’m doing this without double checking, but he definitely explained it on his twitter.

Dominik signed me for 20 years, and all I got was a press conference and a voided contract...
Contributor to Lighthouse Hockey not sure if I'm the Sniper or the Enforcer.

by Mark D on Aug 30, 2010 2:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thankfully

Islesinfo.com has them all at http://www.islesinfo.com/numbers.html

I’ve thought about it. Unfortunately that means #75’s best wearer right now is Brett Lindros.

Dominik signed me for 20 years, and all I got was a press conference and a voided contract...
Contributor to Lighthouse Hockey not sure if I'm the Sniper or the Enforcer.

by Mark D on Aug 30, 2010 6:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

HEY!

You forgot ME – disregarding I can’t even skate, of course:) LOL

by ogam5 on Sep 1, 2010 8:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

10-39 game option?

I’ve expressed my opinion on this plenty of times. There are just too many PROS to having him go back to Portland, but I wouldn’t be completely averse to seeing him in an NHL UNI for 9 games.
What exactly is the 10-39 game option? He has to sign his entry level, and when he plays the 10th game his EL clock starts ticking. What clock starts ticking at 40 games?

PORTLAND PROS
1. One(?) more year of cost free development getting top minutes in a LEADERSHIP role. (IMO this would have benefitted Bailey SO MUCH)
2. One more year of having a forward in his PRIME before he becomes a UFA.
3. Space for organizational assets to get a shot at NHL time in accordance with THEIR development through the system. I’d LOVE to see Nino be a MONSTER in Uniondale, but I think that the Isles would benefit more from giving NHL time to Parentea, Martin and Joensuu… I don’t think that any of them have the upside of Nino, but they may all be more NHL-READY this year… and they have all paid their AHL dues to varying degrees. I really think that would help Nino when he does crack the lineup.
4. I think it is easier for Nino to be a part of the WJC if he’s in Portland. If he’s an Islander in November he’ll only be in Buffalo to play the Sabres. He was a big part of the Swiss team last year… and maybe he throws them on his back again. What a great way to MENTALLY develop a workhorse power forward.

My cup is 3/4 empty, How 'bout yours?

by JPinVA on Aug 30, 2010 10:07 AM EDT reply actions  

I should have clarified 10-39 in the post

Basically, when you hit 10 games the first year of your three-year entry level contract kicks in, even if you’re sent back to juniors after that. When you hit 40 games, even if you’re returned to junior it burns up one of the years in the equation of when you hit unrestricted free agency.

(So it’s a little-used nuance, and it might not even be the same in the next CBA, but it’s theoretically a factor.)

Lighthouse Hockey: An always-open repair shop for mikb's sarcasm module.

by Dominik on Aug 30, 2010 10:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks

I’m headed out now to get THE NHL CBA FOR DUMMIES…
BTW: Is that a pic of Nino? I didn’t recognize him from that pic… but then again some people just look completely different in an Islander Jersey…

My cup is 3/4 empty, How 'bout yours?

by JPinVA on Aug 30, 2010 12:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

u know, now that i see that, hopping up into #9 may be a good way to get the stink off that #

welcome to MSG, where 2 out of 5 vendors are safe to eat from!

by bob l on Aug 30, 2010 1:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

#9 is getting a pension...

well.. maybe not a pension, but it is retired.
1. Muller shouldn’t have been allowed to wear that number…
2. That number should never have been sewn onto the material that also carried the Fish-stix logo.

well.. maybe not a pension, but it is retired.
1. Muller shouldn’t have been allowed to wear that number…
2. That number should never have been sewn onto the material that also carried the Fish-stix logo.This image is basically a HOCKEY VODOO DOLL which was molded, painted and pricked nightly by a carribean NY Ranger fan/Santeria high priest.

My cup is 3/4 empty, How 'bout yours?

by JPinVA on Aug 30, 2010 3:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

For the love of Dave Chyzowski...

Lighthouse Hockey: An always-open repair shop for mikb's sarcasm module.

by Dominik on Aug 30, 2010 3:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

OMG

For the love of God don’t mention Chyzowski, man what a waste of time he turned out to be! I remember Gillies trying to mentor this kid to no avail.

by Russel Ginart on Aug 30, 2010 4:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

I SO loved the number 9

I SO hated what Chyzowski did with it.

Lighthouse Hockey: An always-open repair shop for mikb's sarcasm module.

by Dominik on Aug 30, 2010 5:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

oohf

Ooh fah, Dave Chyzowski. Like not mentioning an on going no-hitter during a baseball game, Chysowski’s name should never be mentioned in a thread discussing a current prospect. Now the cat is out of the bag.

by MatthewM11 on Aug 30, 2010 8:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Conceded

Now what’s my penance?

Lighthouse Hockey: An always-open repair shop for mikb's sarcasm module.

by Dominik on Aug 30, 2010 11:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

Say 12 hail marys two our fathers and never again mention Dave Chyzowski, Scott Scissons, Kevin Chevaldayoff or Brett Lindros within 50 yards of an Islander prospect

Dean Chenoweth gets a pass since he is now with the coaching staff

by MatthewM11 on Aug 31, 2010 11:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

BTW

What was the Islander’s mid-80’s scouting department’s love affair with big canadians with last names starting with a C-H? I guess they figured if it didn’t work one year it must work the next. Too bad Joe Sakic wasn’t named Joe Chakic, maybe we would of taken him instead of Chenoweth in ’87

by MatthewM11 on Aug 31, 2010 11:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

I like the way you changed the pic...

then removed your comments making my comments look absolutely ridiculous. Did you ever work for Oliver Stone?

My cup is 3/4 empty, How 'bout yours?

by JPinVA on Aug 30, 2010 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wait, the comments are still there!

I left a note in the caption so that you will always have a few tinfoil hat wearers believing you really saw what you claim you saw.

Now, for my next war movie…

Lighthouse Hockey: An always-open repair shop for mikb's sarcasm module.

by Dominik on Aug 30, 2010 5:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sorry...

I must have been looking down the wrong thread (conspiracy theory)…

My cup is 3/4 empty, How 'bout yours?

by JPinVA on Aug 31, 2010 7:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

Isn't there the small issue of.....

…..that number having been retired already? To save us from the Kirk Mullers of the world wearing it?

by ogam5 on Sep 1, 2010 8:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

The feed caption claims that was a pic of Nino, but I had my doubts, too. Thought it was Martin at first glance. I liked the shot ’cause it had Bill Torrey watching over things…

Lighthouse Hockey: An always-open repair shop for mikb's sarcasm module.

by Dominik on Aug 30, 2010 2:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

My guess was Martin as well… and there’s no way HE’S going to Portland!

My cup is 3/4 empty, How 'bout yours?

by JPinVA on Aug 30, 2010 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

ouch

Now MY cup is also ¾ empty.

Outsourcing all grammar and rhetoric repairs to Dominik.

by mikb on Aug 30, 2010 4:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

IMO

I would like to see him with the Isles for a 9 game tryout, them he gets sent to Portland for one year of development. No need to rush this kid unnecessarily.

by Russel Ginart on Aug 30, 2010 12:59 PM EDT reply actions  

NINO

If Nino legitimately shows he deserves to be on the islanders roster in training camp and he is not brought up just to sell tickets than I am fine with that. If you compare him to other WHL rookies who scored 30+ goals in their first year he is in good company. (Patrick Marleau for example) Hockey is one sport where I don’t think its the worst thing for young players just drafted to be given a trial by fire in the NHL. (as opposed to say, baseball; where proper patience and development is key and rushing a prospect can literally ‘break’ him) I know that ice-time will be key. He shouldn’t be brought up unless he is going to get decent minutes. It would be a waste to play him for 10 minutes a game when he could be in Portland getting 20. Personally, I think the best and safest choice is probably for him to go back to the Winterhawks, but…I wouldn’t be pissed if he makes the big club this year.

by MatthewM11 on Aug 30, 2010 2:31 PM EDT reply actions  

Nino’s going to have to have a horrible camp to not get a 9 game tryout.

If he has a bad camp and a bad 9 game tryout, he’s probably going back to Portland. I think he should go back to juniors for at least one more year, but I suspect hes going to spend this year on the Island.

I remember a poll on NHL.com after the draft which allowed people to vote which prospect after Tyler and Tyler was most likely to play this season. Last I checked Nino was running away with like 40ish percent of the vote.

But Nino did look spectacular at the Islanders prospect game, and some of the other guys out there weren’t exactly on their first go around.

Dominik signed me for 20 years, and all I got was a press conference and a voided contract...
Contributor to Lighthouse Hockey not sure if I'm the Sniper or the Enforcer.

by Mark D on Aug 30, 2010 2:55 PM EDT reply actions  

because we didnt bring in a notable FA Forward

I say he is on the team all season. I think the Islanders actually do count on him being the next piece that draws fans. If the Isles woul dhave picked up a F they would have more ability to let him return to Portland

Any task BIG or small, Do it well or not at all

by Rickfansince76 on Aug 30, 2010 4:31 PM EDT reply actions  

Snow seems interested in giving Parentau a chance in the NHL. He’s at the very least been comparing him to Moulson.

Dominik signed me for 20 years, and all I got was a press conference and a voided contract...
Contributor to Lighthouse Hockey not sure if I'm the Sniper or the Enforcer.

by Mark D on Aug 30, 2010 5:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

P.A.
He’s at the very least been comparing him to Moulson.

And I think that is unfair to him and puts a lot of pressure on his shoulders. What are the chances the Islander strike gold in two consecutive years? The thing with Parentau, I don’t know how versatile a player he is beyond scoring and if he fails to produce there really aren’t any spots open to him. Nino, from the little I’ve seen of him and what I’ve read; is a more complete player who I think would be valuable beyond the scoresheet. Parentau I’m not sure. And maybe I’m wrong and PA turns out to be a competent checker/defensive guy but but from what I’ve seen he seems more one dimensional than that. His best fit may be as a goal scorer in Bridgeport.

by MatthewM11 on Aug 30, 2010 7:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Gordon did some good work with Schremp, so we’ll see how he does with Parentau.

I wouldn’t expect to see PA down in BP though, he has an European out clause if he doesn’t make the Isles.

Dominik signed me for 20 years, and all I got was a press conference and a voided contract...
Contributor to Lighthouse Hockey not sure if I'm the Sniper or the Enforcer.

by Mark D on Aug 31, 2010 12:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

Nice find,

European out clause, damn. Looks like he’s pretty much guaranteed a spot out of camp then for that to be there.

Go isles or Go home.

by OzzyFan on Aug 31, 2010 1:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not really guaranteed a spot. It’s just because he can make more money in Europe then in the AHL. So this way instead of spending more time spinning his wheels in the AHL he can play in Euriope for more money.

Dominik signed me for 20 years, and all I got was a press conference and a voided contract...
Contributor to Lighthouse Hockey not sure if I'm the Sniper or the Enforcer.

by Mark D on Aug 31, 2010 2:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

He won't help them this year.

This question brought to mind the recent post on Behind the Net about young guys and defense. Its highly unlikely that Nino will be an asset to the Isles this year. Even if he gets 45 or 50 points he’ll likely give it all back in the defensive end. Young guys are notoriously poor defensive players. Yes he has to develop but the Isles have an outside chance to make the playoffs this year and I don’t think Nino will help them do that. Given that, why start his clock? Why even give him 9 games? I don’t see any reason to do that. With Bailey and JT they really didn’t figure to make it and JT was an exceptional case anyway. With Nino it really doesn’t make sense.

by TMS on Aug 30, 2010 7:18 PM EDT reply actions  

I think you bring up a great point, a lot of fans are looking at whether Nino makes the team from his POV and how it will effect his development, and not whether his promotion will be a liability for the team. Last year, with Tavares, the Islanders had little to lose by bringing him up. Nino’s only option right now other than making the team is going back to the WHL. Is he likely to improve much defensively if he goes back to Portland? I think that the biggest improvements in a forwards defensive game is either made through a trial by fire approach in the NHL (we saw Tavares’ defensive game improve throughout the season and Bailey seemed to make some big strides this year) or in the AHL. Obviously Nino is not yet eligible to be assigned to the AHL yet. If he goes back to Portland he is not going to be challenged much; he has figured out what it takes to score and excel at that level. Do you think another year in Portland will have a big impact on his defensive game? My question is, are we just pushing back the inevitable? If he is going to be a liability this year will that change much with another year of junior hockey?

by MatthewM11 on Aug 30, 2010 7:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Very good argument,

that’s crossed my mind a lot too.

The real question is: Do we feed him to the nhl dogs, get him some eventually needed solid nhl experience and let him throw up a 30pt+ season in a top 9 spot, or do we throw him back into the ahl where he just dominates pretty much again? Sure he gets used to NHL rinks and fills out his body and mind a little more in the whl, but other then that he is still going to be obscenely dominate like he was at the end of last year in the whl. But in the nhl, he faces better players quicker which would help his game, he adapts to the nhl speed and nhl sized players quicker, and he more importantly he gets some bonding and major playing time with his future main linemates that he will play with for many years and can find who he has chemistry with(hopefully, at least a couple years probably) .

But then there is some problems with that too. Giving nino the spot, who likely isn’t as nhl ready as martin or parenteau, will somewhat hurt the team overall unless he pulls magic off. Parenteau should be a 15goal/30pt player at worst in that 3rd line role and who knows what martin is possible of. Both have much more ahl experience and are much more used to the nhl rinks and style of play. Also, this makes nino’s entry level/low-pay contract run out a year earlier/runs out with him being a year younger. It’s a really delicate situation from numerous sides and for numerous reasons. The list is nearly endless of why we should and why we shouldn’t start him for the whole season this year.

Go isles or Go home.

by OzzyFan on Aug 30, 2010 9:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

Great points. I don’t argue he will probably be a liability when he comes up. My point is would we rather have that liability this coming season, where we are still a long way off from being competitive; or the following season where hopefully we will have more at stake. I say let him adapt to the pace of the NHL this season while we are still rebuilding. He can get more playing time then he would if we were legitimate cup contenders.

All that being said, I’m not convinced he is ready, but if the issue is him being a defensive liability I say the sooner he gets a taste of pro hockey the better. Ozzy and others have brought up a great point about his entry level deal. and the other issue is his own development and whether he needs more seasoning in junior hockey. But if the issue was solely whether his promotion will hurt the team, I say we take that hit sooner rather than later.

by MatthewM11 on Aug 31, 2010 2:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

And let me just add that I am not advocating for him to play next year on the Islanders. My point is that no matter when he comes up (if he comes straight from the WHL, if he is sent to Bridgeport when eligible that would be different) he is likely to be a defensive liability.

by MatthewM11 on Aug 31, 2010 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

No doubt

Nino needs to improve his all-around game and I’m sure another year in Portland would help him a lot. People seem to forget that he did not actually dominate in the juniors last season, he rather was just very, very impressive considering the fact that it was his rookie season and his first season in North America at all. But there’s room to improve. He finished the regular season 61st in the WHL in terms of scoring and 97th in plus/minus (11th on the Winterhawks). Although that stat can be misleading, as we know, it might show that Nino’s game isn’t exactly as complete, yet, as some might think from looking at his body.

That alone I think would be a good reason why to send him back to the juniors right after camp. And there’s a number of other things that add to that, such as him being a liability for the team, the contract situation and just the fact that he needs to mature and needs to further adjust to North America, on ice and off.
So, my list of why he should stay is actually very short indeed. For me, he’d need an outstanding camp as well as 9 very impressive first games in order to not be sent back down. But yeah, to be clear, that’s just my opinion and not my prediction of what the Islanders will do. Nino probably has a slightly bigger chance to stay than what I pictured here.

by BenHasna on Aug 30, 2010 10:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Will he improve much defensivly in Portland?

With all due respect I think maybe you are selling Nino’s achievements last year a little short. If we look at other WHL rookies who have scored 30 goals he is in pretty lofty company. I agree that saying he ‘dominated’ is maybe a bit much, but he had a very good year. Also, do you think that his defensive game will improve much in the WHL? I would think that it wouldn’t improve much and am curious to see how others feel. Its not like Portland has any affiliation with the Isles, they are not going to be concerned with developing his future potential. He is not going to be as challenged next year and I feel his development will be more stagnant than if he played at a higher level. Tavares had four years in the OHL and still came into the NHL with limited defensive awareness.

by MatthewM11 on Aug 31, 2010 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Absolutely, he had a terrific rookie year in the WHL last season, he obviously is very skilled and probably was a decent choice at #5 in this draft. But he did not dominate the league. And that’s what we’re talking about here, whether he’s seen and experienced everything in that league (and thus should move on to the NHL). I don’t think so. Let’s remember that he actually did not even carry his line – he built a brillant partnership with Ryan Johansen. I’m not saying it was all Johansen who helped him getting to his good numbers, certainly not, it most likely was the two of them fitting together well and helping each other to be that productive.
Carrying team mates should surely not be a problem for Nino, but actually do it for a whole season in a competitive world would be helpful I think. Maybe to repeat that season with less help, to take on more responsibilities and go through other pressure situations would be a good experience for Nino indeed. I don’t know how much that would improve his defensive game particularly, but I’d guess certainly a bit. He could kill more penalties and improve there or surely will get more mature, bigger, stronger, faster and these things are what the kids lack of when they come into the NHL. See JT.

You can’t really compare the two, but yeah, JT played four years in the OHL and still wasn’t fully ready. But he played four years because he started early and not because he played an additional season towards the end of his junior time. It’s obvious that a couple of seasons at age 15-17 can’t help you as much as additional seasons at 18 or 19. JT left when he was 19 after having dominated the league for years – Nino would leave at 18 after one very good, but not dominant season. And (unlike JT…), Nino grew up in a country, which hasn’t produced a single NHL forward. A few other things of course are on Nino’s side, such as his body and perhaps his mind, but really, there’s no way he can be close to as ready as JT was a year ago. But well, that’s not actually my point, there’s much better reasons why to send him back to the juniors than the comparison with JT.

by BenHasna on Aug 31, 2010 5:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm with Matt here,

giving him another year in the minors won’t honestly be best for him for a few big reasons. 1-He will never face the bigger and more skilled nhl players there, whom he must eventually adapt to, and the sooner the better. 2-He is going to need a break-in year anyway in the nhl where he will be able to feel out the game and speed and everything else about it. 9 games probably won’t do that for him, but I believe 9 games should show us that he is built to play this game as an adequate enough 3rd liner right now and just needs to develop a little more to be a true top 6 forward. Sure he’s 18, but he’s got an nhl ready body and his mind and skillset seems adapted large enough for him to do ok at the nhl level now. It’s honestly the best option for his game and development when you look at it for him. Nino finished his whl season greatly with his playoff numbers. If he played the way he did in the playoffs like he did throughout the whole season in the whl, he would be a 45+goal scorer/35+assists forward and one of the best players in the league without question. To put that in to more understandable terms, Nino entering the season would be a no question Top 5 goal scorer there, and most likely if Johansen would be gone, a 50goal+ scorer and easily the best shooter in the league and arguably the best player in the league. What really will a year of dominance in the whl do for him other then show he can dominate youngsters and boost his confidence? Maybe slightly help his skills, slightly help his game, slightly help him getting used to nhl rinks, and slightly help his confidence. BUT, none of that really equates to the development he would get from a real full nhl season.

And on your JT comment, for JT to have an up and down, team leading, and calder trophy possible 24goal/54pts season on the team the islanders had last year and you call him “not fully nhl ready” is a bit of a stretch to me. What did you honestly expect from him and what the heck would you call being an nhl ready season for him then? He’s no superstar his first year, but how many rookies actually throw up 70pt season their first year? Heck, how many rookies throw up 54pt seasons? Everyone needs an nhl adapting season or 2, some even 3+ seasons.

Go isles or Go home.

by OzzyFan on Aug 31, 2010 6:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe slightly help his skills, slightly help his game, slightly help him getting used to nhl rinks, and slightly help his confidence. BUT, none of that really equates to the development he would get from a real full nhl season.

Why then not let him make these little steps now and give him a real full NHL season in 2011-12. He’ll mature and improve now, get that big development next season and will perhaps be an important piece in two, three years’ time. This coming season can’t determine what kind of a career he’ll have, at least not in the way we hope for… It’s the next three, four years that really set the stage for his career.

As for his last season, he surely had good playoffs, no one doubts that, although the numbers might be slighlty inflated by the fact that particularly one series was very high-scoring in general. Anyway, you can’t take these numbers and argue he’d be an 80-points guy. In fact, he struggled slightly towards the end of the regular season. I know, he recovered and had good playoffs, but he still might have been tired a bit and could need another season that long just for the sake of getting used to it. He’s not used to that from Switzerland, as the juniors play only around 45 games per season (including playoffs) over here. And there’s actually lots of other small things he needs to further adapt to in my opinion. However, yeah, he might dominate in the WHL this season and be the best shooter and amongst the best players, but he’d need to work for it and make this little adjustment or get used to that little thing. Again, it’s very likely he’ll do that well, but let’s actually let him do that and not claim he doesn’t need to do it anymore just because he looks like he has the potential to do it.

As for JT, by saying he wasn’t fully ready I of course didn’t mean it was the wrong decision to keep him with the Islanders. That was obviously always the only possibility and this past season surely helped him more than any additional year in the OHL could have. But to me there’s no doubt his all-around game suffered from a few very big deficits. If you adjust his Corsi for competition faced and zonestarts, he ends up having one of the worst on the team and therefore in the whole league. That’s not a problem, not at all, it helped him a lot going through all this, but it’s a fact that he struggled. Actually, it’s a fact that all rookies struggle, everyone needs to adapt, as you say correctly. And again, I don’t find a comparison between JT and Nino very meaningful, but having seen JT we should know just how much it takes to adapt to the NHL. And Nino is far from being as ready as JT was in my opinion and thus could have a not very helpful time in the NHL indeed.

by BenHasna on Aug 31, 2010 7:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

You have a great argument with great points,

like I said, both sides of this argument are very arguable. I’m just looking at everything and leaning towards nino playing a full nhl season now because of the fact we are still rebuilding and he could play 3rd line minutes adequately, especially given the fact opening day we will have 12 players(10 forwards, 2 defensemen, and counting DP as a starter) with 2 or less full nhl seasons on our starting roster. And the only logical person’s spot he’d be taking is parenteau or martin, not both of their spots. And, one of them will definitely get a call up and decent playing time sometime during the season, so no real loss there. Your right that he is in no way ready for the nhl as tavares is, but tavares was a breed of his own. I wasn’t comparing the 2 when I made that statement, I just wanted you to clarify why you thought tavares wasn’t really nhl ready when you said that because it seemed very out of place to me.

Go isles or Go home.

by OzzyFan on Aug 31, 2010 10:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

What really will a year of dominance in the whl do for him other then show he can dominate youngsters and boost his confidence? Maybe slightly help his skills, slightly help his game, slightly help him getting used to nhl rinks, and slightly help his confidence. BUT, none of that really equates to the development he would get from a real full nhl season.


That is pretty much what I was saying too. He will score more, but will his overall game improve enough for him not to be a defensive liability?

by MatthewM11 on Aug 31, 2010 11:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sorry I am using a different computer and the quote function doesn’t seem to be working

by MatthewM11 on Aug 31, 2010 11:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

You make good points...

Yeah, JT was different in that his OHL career took place at 17 and younger. He was also so dominat that he could of scored in that league blindfolded; he wasn’t really being challenged. I think that with a lot of high draftees that spend another year or two in juniors can get complacent. Nino was good last year, but not JT dominant and he is also new the North American style of play. Will he make strides in his overall game next year with Portland? No doubt. Will it be noticably different than what we would have seen this season? That is where I am not sure. My point was that if the whole reason we hold him back is because he will be a defensive liability, it would make sense to take that hit now while we are still rebuilding versus in a year or two when we are hopefully a stronger more competitive team.

by MatthewM11 on Aug 31, 2010 11:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well, I don’t know what the schedule of the rebuild looks like, but I think some people might get a little impatient. It still takes quite some time for the Islanders to be a contender. Their two highest rated D prospects will join the NHL only perhaps later this season (Hamonic) or next season at the earliest (DeHaan). The two talented Russians will need at least one more year to either come over (Petrov) or mature (Kabanov). Maybe DP will be back healthy for years, otherwise Koskinen will get the starting job next season at the earliest. And in order to be a valueable part of a contending team, all these players will then need a couple of seasons to adapt and further mature. That’s not saying that the Isles can’t be a very good team already in one or two years’ time, with JT, Okposo, Streit & Co. leading the way. But the best chances to contend are probably at least three, rather four or even five seasons away, when more prospects will have come through and JT as well as Okposo indeed will be amongst the league’s top players.

So, from that point of view, it really doesn’t matter when to take that hit with Nino. And although it’s tough to tell indeed, I think he’d improve a lot and be less of a liability next season. Also because there will be more protected spots available on the team next season with hopefully JT, Bailey & Co. further maturing into key-roles.

However, I’d anyway guess to maximize the individual’s potential is always the best route to take when you’re rebuilding. So, given where the Isles are right now, all this might not even be considered very much.

Just one more thing I wanted to add, although I’ve mentioned it before… I think Nino’s size has been an enormous advantage in the juniors. He really is one of the strongest guys there and that big body might cover a few deficits in his game. Just like JT’s nose around the net let him dominate down there despite an average all-around game/bad skating. Of course, the body will be an asset of Nino also in the NHL, but obviously not to the same extent and probably not at all in the first year. Only the coaches can tell and it’s speculation from my part, but I think that his game might be not exactly as complete and deep as one could think. And yes, I do think that he could work on these things in Portland.

by BenHasna on Sep 1, 2010 7:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

I agree
I think he’d improve a lot and be less of a liability next season

I’m no expert on player development or junior hockey so I was just stating my thoughts and was curious to hear other opinions. I don’t think juniors prepares a player the way the AHL can but young players improve. Most young players improve from year to year. These prospects are kids, they are still growing. We should reasonably expect, barring injury; that if Nino goes back to Portland he will score a lot more and hopefully move from very good to dominant in that league. He will no longer be the foreign rookie and hopefully take a leadership role on the team. As Ozzy mentioned above the scoring and leadership should go along towards building his confidence. I hope that he also works towards improving his overall game (and to be fair most scouting reports have applauded his two-way play) so that his transition to the NHL will be smoother.

by MatthewM11 on Sep 1, 2010 12:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

Another great point,

If we plays his 1st nhl season this year, it wouldn’t be as good as if his 1st nhl season was next year. But then again, if Nino plays a full nhl season this year, his 2nd full nhl season next year would likely be a lot better then if he was playing his 1st nhl season next year. There are so many positives and negatives from both sides that it’s just a crazy argument.

Go isles or Go home.

by OzzyFan on Sep 1, 2010 2:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yep, no easy answer

Right, there is no easy answer to this one. I am not going to be upset either way. Another year in Portland could do him some good, but he also might prove to be NHL ready. A lot of people were understandably ticked when Bailey made the team the year he was drafted. I was shocked when they did. In the long run though, Bailey has exceeded expectations and raised his potential ceiling. Most other organizations would of handled it differently but who knows, maybe rushing him was what he needed. He struggled his rookie year but came back so much better the next year. It doesn’t seem like his development was stunted in any way, and if anything it might have been accelerated.

by MatthewM11 on Sep 2, 2010 5:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Just want to add that the Bailey example was just that; an example. Every player is different and rushing prospects can have bad consequences too. Like Ozzy said it is a dicey argument that could go either way. The safest choice is probably to send him back to Portland.

by MatthewM11 on Sep 2, 2010 5:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’m honestly no expert for the Bailey situation, had no opinion back then and still don’t quite know if that was a smart decision. But I guess that most people think that his development was stunted indeed, and certainly not accelerated. So, I’m a bit surprised here, reading that “maybe rushing him was what he needed”.

Perhaps it’s all based on different expectations. I liked his potential from the beginning, whereas you were a bit lower on him, it seems, but I really don’t know how he could have exceeded expectations. That’s not to say that he’s been poor or something. He had a solid season, but let’s face it, the organization as well as Bailey himself have still no clue what kind of a career he might have, actually not even what his best position is. And although this coming season should give us a better idea, a lot will still be up for debate by the end of it – with Bailey being RFA already. I’m not rumbling about the fact that his contract kicked in too early, that’s not too big of a deal, but I think it’s all been not really according to plan and a bit unsatisfactory for both sides.

by BenHasna on Sep 2, 2010 7:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

TMS
Given that, why start his clock? Why even give him 9 games?

The defensive liabilities of young pups is what I was thinking of with the C&B link. But I’m curious: Do you not see any value to a little 9-game (or less) NHL baptism? I’d like him to get a little taste of what he’s going to have to deal with, so he can take that back with him to juniors.

Do you think that is not worthwhile (or not a real benefit), or are you more worried that if you keep him, he’ll cost you goals against in those nine games and/or the team will be more tempted to keep him for good?

Lighthouse Hockey: An always-open repair shop for mikb's sarcasm module.

by Dominik on Aug 30, 2010 11:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think by far the biggest danger of the 9 game stint is that he does good enough that the Isles keep him around.

Last year the team was really streaky, and if the team starts out streaking with Nino on board (and he does his fair share) it might be very tempting to keep him up.

Dominik signed me for 20 years, and all I got was a press conference and a voided contract...
Contributor to Lighthouse Hockey not sure if I'm the Sniper or the Enforcer.

by Mark D on Aug 31, 2010 12:50 AM EDT up reply actions  

That'd be my worry, too

You could see him starting out hot — hell, like JT did — and then going through a long lull after they’ve already made the decision.

Somehow I think whatever they do, they’re going to act like there was never any doubt it was the right decision.

Lighthouse Hockey: An always-open repair shop for mikb's sarcasm module.

by Dominik on Aug 31, 2010 10:56 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah I definitely see value in the 9 games for his development but in my opinion he will hurt the team for those 9 games. So if you are serious about going for the playoffs, and we’ll need every point we can get, you don’t play Nino for 9 games.

by TMS on Aug 31, 2010 6:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm curious - can he play in Europe for a season?

If we could loan him to a Swiss National League A team for the year that would be better than juniors. He’d be playing against grown men, bigger and stronger than he is for a year. I think that would help him. I have no idea about the rules regarding that.

by TMS on Aug 31, 2010 7:01 PM EDT reply actions  

I’m not sure, I guess that would be possible, but it’s certainly not an option. Nino needs to further adapt to the smaller rink and to the competitive (hockey) world in North America. He needs to improve his all-around game and certainly has better coaches or at least gets more attention in Portland. And he needs to log tough minutes and play as many games as possible.

by BenHasna on Aug 31, 2010 7:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

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Aaron Ness 55 D 5/18/1990 170 5-10
Nino Niederreiter 25 RW 9/8/1992 205 6-2
Frans Nielsen 51 C 4/24/1984 184 6-0
Kyle Okposo 21 RW 4/16/1988 205 6-0
Jay Pandolfo 29 LW 12/27/1974 190 6-1
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