Of a Playoff Birth

From Sports Clubs Stats

Playoff odds down 0.4 to 1.2% after Last Nights Loss
11-0-0 and 10-0-1 still put us in the 90% chance of making the playoffs

Worst we can do and still make it?
6-3-2 (0.2%) 7-4-0 (0.4%) 5-2-4 (0.1%)

And just for the hell of it, these teams winning in regulation help us
Flyers, Sabres, Canadiens, Capitals and Penguins

Kohn must have been hurt or something. I’m not a big fan of his, although he’s been solid. But this first period was the first time I’ve really been impressed. I’d be hugely surprised if Gordon benched him for no health-related reason after 20 very good minutes in the first night of a back-to-back weekend.

Meyer definitely played very well. Comeau, hmm, he was ok, the best player of his line, but I didn’t like Tambellini-Tavares-Comeau all night. Corsi doesn’t lie here, they indeed were stuck in their own zone quite often.

And Bailey has been very quiet. I anyway didn’t fully agree with those who thought he had played very well from the first match at center again. To me, he seemed to play with less confidence back then already. However, he’s been more and more quiet lately indeed. And he’s been brutal at face-offs. Obviously, he could get more confident again quickly or just improve generally at center, but for now, I’d be happy with Tavares, Schremp and Nielsen at center going forward.

Is Streaky. Nothing to do with DP

Almost never get to. I noticed the players don’t butt heads with Carlin, so…

Here is a Corsi explanation from that same site, Behind the Net.

In brief: During your 5-on-5 play, how many shots were directed at the other net (whether blocked, saved or missed) minus how many shots were directed at your own. It’s like a plus/minus that tries to mitigate for the fact you might have Yann Danis behind you while the other team has Terry Sawchuk.

I see it as a nice, alternative look, but hardly an end-all be-all. There are tons of other factors that could be in play on any given night (Was your team sitting on the lead? Were you put out only against the other team’s best players, or only in defensive zone situations when a shot against was more likely? Was the other team taking desperate shots from outside? Did some dumb linemate take multiple offensive zone penalties and botch your offensive rushes? Etc.). But it gives another quick perspective, which is nice.

Flattery will get you nowhere — except with me, of course. (Seriously, thanks for the kind words.)

I think everyone’s had their frustration points with Gervais, but I think TMC had it right in another thread when she said (I’m paraphrasing) he gets into trouble when #2 minutes and tasks are asked of a #5-6 defenseman.

It’s something most low-pairing D-men go through when they’re used a lot and against better lines. And it’s almost made more maddening by the fact he’s had some occasional very bright spots this year. (Really, he has.) The non-stars, they’re not only learning the league, they’re also learning what role fits them. Take the career of Meyer — who’s been outstanding here for a few weeks — he’s gone through these ups and downs. Meyer’s been everywhere from being billed as a steal of an offensive defenseman as an undrafted college free agent to a guy who was waived by two bad teams twice within a month.