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Can Rick DiPietro Recover?

Sometimes when you're doing research for a post, you know really early if it's going to turn out bad. This is especially true when talking about goalies and one of the first results your search returns is Dan Cloutier. Quite simply, with an .854 SV% and 4.21 GAA, Rick DiPietro is off to a historically bad start. How bad? Only 12 goalies have finished the season with a sub .875 SV% and more then 13 games played since 99-00. Of that group, only Brian Boucher is still playing in the NHL today.

The other 11 didn't exactly set the world on fire. Only one goalie played two seasons after his sub .875 performance, Damian Rhodes. Of course the expansion Thrashers used five goalies in their first season, four goalies in their second and five in their third. It was quite the rotation. Only four goalies played a season after their sub .875 year:

Kevin Hodson posted a 3.67 GAA and .856 SV% in 24 games during 99-00 for the Lightning. He drops off the face of the planet for two years and signs with Tampa in 02-03. In 7 games he had a 2.54 GAA and .881 SV% before announcing his retirement in January of '03.

Byron Dafoe in 02-03 had a 4.36 GAA and .862 SV% in 17 games with Atlanta. During the following campaign with Atlanta he played 18 games with a 3.14 GAA and .898 SV%.

Dan Cloutier in 06-07 played 24 games for the Kings and had a 3.98 GAA and .860 SV%. The following season in 9 games he had a 3.44 GAA and .887 SV% for LA.

Hannu Toivonen in 06-07 had a 4.23 GAA and .875 SV% in 18 games for the Bruins. For 07-08 he signed with the Blues and in 23 games had a 3.44 GAA and .878 SV%.

The thread that ties everyone together? Rhodes, Dafoe, Cloutier and Toivonen all suffered significant injuries before their fall.

Star-divide

Rhodes missed a chunk of time in his first year in Atlanta due to an ankle injury. His second year saw him rack up a horror show of injuries including his knee and groin. Dafoe had his 99-00 season ended by a knee injury and he never returned to his Vezina form. Cloutier in December of '05 had his collision with Rob Niedermayer, which led to a partially torn ACL and him missing the rest of the season. Toivonen suffered an ankle injury in January of '06 which caused him to miss the remainder of the season.

That is not a good trend for Islander fans. The return to form of DP is something that could help the franchise in the long run. But his struggles this season raise the question of how many games does he start? He will most likely be given every chance to prove himself and hopefully these stats are just due to a small sample size. But it's worth noting you have to go back almost 15 years to find the last time a goalie played 30 games or more and finished with a sub .875 SV%.

There's a reason for that, in today's game you just don't win with that low of a save percentage. If you have a glaring weakness, teams are going to take advantage of it. The Islanders are in the middle of the league when it comes to shots against. Just like last season they are in the top 10 of blocked shots.

If this was just an issue with the team that's been put together and put on the ice, the difference in stats between Dwayne Roloson and Rick DiPietro wouldn't be so night and day. They each have faced an average of 29.2 shots per game. But DP is giving up almost two full goals more in GAA and almost .070 worse in SV%. It's a small sample size, but it is definitely a worrisome start.

DiPietro is going to be given every chance to recover. He's going to be given every chance to show that he can still play at an NHL level. But how many games do the Islanders give him if his play continues at this level? He's only had one game in which his save percentage was above .900. In 8 games last season he at least showed flashes of being his former self. His struggle with side to side movement, his continued escapades out of the crease and his determination to glove every puck are all worrying habits.

If his play continues this bad, in the end we can at least hope to find out that he wasn't really 100%. That he will never manage to return to his old form and the Islanders move on with the future. For now though we just have to hold out hope that we start seeing some more flashes. That some of the DiPietro that carried the Islanders to the 06-07 playoffs comes back. Because when someone has a 15-year contract, there's no easy answer for what to do with them.

PS: Since there's a lot of discussion over the failings of the defense, I went to the NHL gamecenter and got a snap shot of all the shots/goals DP has faced. Just to give people an idea of where shots and goals are coming from.

StarsSmurfs, Penguins, Lightning, Panthers, Flyers and Hurricanes.

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DP

I hate to say it and I really hope I’m wrong but I really think he’s done fir good. Too many injuries too much rust when he’s back. He’s almost as big an albatross around our necks as Yashin. He’s a reminder of the mike f-ing Millbury ridiculous years. Sorry DP i love ya but you’re being forced on us. If not for his asinine contract he’d have been let go long ago and signed to some dumb five year deal as the strangers third string goalie.

by Torch7 on Nov 4, 2010 12:43 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

well that's just awesome

Are those all the goalies that fit that criteria or just the ones that got hurt?

I’m not sure what to do over the course of the next 11 or 12 years, but for this year you gotta ride Roloson until his 41-year-old knees give out or at least until RDP shows something that would lead you to believe he’ll at least stay in the net.

"It don't make you a bad person" - Ron Bennington

by Pauly C on Nov 4, 2010 12:48 PM EDT reply actions  

Exactly

Ride him, if he explodes, so be it…everyone is under the assumption he was gone after this year anyway, so let’s go down in a blaze of glory dammit!

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by Keith Quinn on Nov 4, 2010 4:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

I just noticed what happened

I used Hockeyreference.com and searched for everyone who had sub .875 seasons but had greater then 5 games played since the 67-68 season.

http://www.hockey-reference.com/play-index/tiny.cgi?id=OtwjK

What I didn’t realize is that when I sorted it by year, it only sorted the players from that page, not the whole list. So I only had Goalies in the last decade who had finished with 12 or more games on the season that they had a sub .875.

The whole list is actually 40 players long

http://www.hockey-reference.com/play-index/tiny.cgi?id=dOWhU

Of which, only Boucher, Pascal LeClaire, Craig Anderson and Micheal Leighton currently have NHL Jobs.

Frans Nielsen: The Great Dane is the Flyers Great Bane.
Contributor to Lighthouse Hockey not sure if I'm the Sniper or the Enforcer.

by Mark D on Nov 4, 2010 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

DP looks like he has a long road to recover as an nhl starting goalie, thank god he has a long season to do it. And based on Gordon’s latest words, it looks like DP will be playing backup to Rollie untile DP fixes his game. And DP needs to make some major changes to do that(Staying in the net, stop playing the puck, perfecting the basics, getting his reflex time back to par, getting his flexibility back to par, etc). If DP doesn’t change some/most of these things, he’s done. He still has time, but it looks to be a lot more work for him. As other people pointed out, some of his actions show that it could still be a lingering injury or pain. If that’s true about the injury/pain, then his career is done. My expectations for him are very low right now in terms of him making a successful comeback, but there is still time. IF DP doesn’t get him self up to starting nhl goalie par, then I expect him to be bought out/terminated(based on his injuries/surgeries, terminating his contract could very well be a reality) at the end of this year. He did have potential, but right now it looks like the injuries pissed that down the drain. Who knows though, time will tell.

Go isles or Go home.

by OzzyFan on Nov 4, 2010 12:53 PM EDT reply actions  

Despite evidence to the contrary

I really do have faith in Rick. I just wish there were a scenario in which he could work on his fundamentals in a lower-risk environment, for both his sake and the team’s.

In the passion of the moment during last night’s game I called for him to be pulled after the first period. With the benefit of hindsight I realize that of course the entire team failed last night and that it isn’t Rick’s fault that the team folded after the first goal. (But that first goal really was avoidable. If I were Scott Gordon I would probably scream at RDP every time he (mis)played the puck and threaten to bench him unless he stayed between the pipes. This is why I’m not in any kind of a sports management position).

I’m realistic – I know RDP needs real games against tough competition. I know that Dwayne Roloson is 41 years old, and despite being capable of sometimes stealing games, he’s got limits. But when as many problems rear their ugly heads (as they have on this team, in the past week or two), I think you’ve got to give your team every possible chance it has to succeed. Dwayne does that.

I think it’s time to swap who is 1A and who is 1B on this squad. I want Rick to play, I think he’s worked hard and deserves every chance to prove himself. I am well aware that this is still a small sample size to judge Rick by. I just think for now, for the sake of at least paying lip service to the desire to see the post season, Roloson needs to start more often than DP does. Simple as that.

In the meantime, hopefully the rest of the team will straighten itself out and make the margin for error a little wider for the guys who back them up in net.

by ilopan on Nov 4, 2010 12:59 PM EDT reply actions   2 recs

Very reasoned take
In the passion of the moment during last night’s game I called for him to be pulled after the first period. With the benefit of hindsight I realize that of course the entire team failed last night

It’s funny, the more he let in last night the more I did not want him to be pulled — not to make him suffer of course, but rather if they’re going to work him out during real games, I prefer they do it when the outcome is already beyond doubt.

He faced Carolina twice last year and let in 3 and 4 goals; I was a little surprised by the choice, but maybe Gordon wanted to save Rolli for the night when the team would be (theoretically) more road-weary.

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 4, 2010 1:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

not to make him suffer of course,

I call BS! After all of your morbid humor yesterday you expect us to believe that! Admit it, it was like a train wreck wasn’t it!

Sarcasm experience enhanced by Samsung (TM)

by Keith Quinn on Nov 4, 2010 4:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well, it’s true, it IS hard to look away…

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 4, 2010 4:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’m sure the majority of people at this site already know this, but for whomever is new here or visiting, I should point out what the regulars here already know:

If Rick DiPietro decided to retire tomorrow, his entire contract would no longer count against the cap. He signed the contract well before the age in which the contract would stick to the cap (what is it again? 36?).

So the salary cap is not an issue, unless the Islanders decide to buy out the remainder of DP’s contract. Obviously, nobody would want to do that, given how long it would haunt us.

It comes down to when Rick DiPietro decides that Rick DiPietro can no longer play hockey. The only way he can decide that is to play in lots of games and gauge his own performance. Therefore, the best thing to do, as paradoxical as it might sound, is to continue playing him frequently. Either he gets better (problem solved) or comes to the realization that he can no longer play.

If it’s the latter and not the former (which I hope isn’t the case), then DP will have to make the decision. Now, while many others in the league might be willing to go on cashing checks at the expense of the organization, does Rick really seem like that type of person to you? My guess is he would step aside in the best interests of the club, especially given:

A) The amount of faith placed in him, which led to the 15 year deal, and
B) The fact that the Isles organization would gladly find a spot for him to fill in the front office or scouting department

So in conclusion, I’d say the best course of action – especially if the team continues to struggle with their injuries and the playoffs slip away – is to play him relatively often, while still handing a good portion of the load to Rollie, and see what happens.

Hmmm.... you hit my goalie's head and it's hockey. I hit your goalie's post and it's a penalty. Oooooooooooooooooookaaaaaaaaaaaaaaayyyyyyyyyyyyy,

by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Nov 4, 2010 1:11 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

Actually

The salary cap is an issue. They need his inflated salary to get to the floor.

There is no harm in him serving as a sort of 1A (or 1D, really) goalie. Roli should play more often though. That is best for the team and best for DP, I think.

by AP77 on Nov 4, 2010 1:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sorry, I wasn’t too clear. What I meant was that if DP decides to hang ’em up and call it a career, it would likely be at the end of the year. Yeah, if he decided tomorrow, we might actually have to scramble to add payroll. What an odd problem to have.

Hmmm.... you hit my goalie's head and it's hockey. I hit your goalie's post and it's a penalty. Oooooooooooooooooookaaaaaaaaaaaaaaayyyyyyyyyyyyy,

by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Nov 4, 2010 1:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Worse than that

Every team hard against the cap would see it as an opportunity to force their bad contracts on us for a pittance. “What’s that, you need 4.5 mill to hit the floor? Well, we’ve got this shiny new Brian Rolston who counts as 5m against the cap, you can have him for…oh….a 5th round pick and [player from BP]?”

Lighthouse Hockey: I go there for their taste in beer.

by MTBVibe on Nov 4, 2010 1:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes, but that’s only if the Islanders feel the need to get to the salary floor. Since it’s not clear what happens to a team if they don’t get to the floor, the best guesses around here (and I’m recalling a discussion thread from the free agency days over the summer) is that the team would have to make up the difference somehow, either by giving additional bonuses to everyone on their own team, or (less likely) pay it to the NHLPA, who would then distribute it evenly amongst the members. Other than being a laughingstock, I don’t think the Isles would be penalized further.

Hmmm.... you hit my goalie's head and it's hockey. I hit your goalie's post and it's a penalty. Oooooooooooooooooookaaaaaaaaaaaaaaayyyyyyyyyyyyy,

by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Nov 4, 2010 1:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe the league will write a sternly worded letter to the Islanders for failing to reach the cap. That’ll show them.

by AP77 on Nov 4, 2010 2:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Dom covered this elsewhere

I think the money that makes up the difference between payroll and salary floor is pooled and paid out to the contracted players. BUT – the CBA simply says “no team shall be permitted to drop below the Lower Limit during the regular season,” or words to that effect (Article 50.5 © (i).) It doesn’t say what exactly will happen.

In the other thread I suggested that it might be an optimal outcome to the Isles to have RDP claimed on re-entry… the $2.25 mil over 11 years is as cap-friendly a bailout as they can get. Besides which, he could always retire and that half-hit would go away no matter where he was.

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by mikb on Nov 4, 2010 3:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe

the entire league could pass him through waivers and back and then it would be like $150,000 per team, and he can be the new discipline czar.

Sarcasm experience enhanced by Samsung (TM)

by Keith Quinn on Nov 4, 2010 4:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

You only have to reach the cap floor only in theory, not actual bodies on the roster. Players on IR, on buyouts, and bonuses even if never reached remain counted against the floor and not against the cap. So Yashin, Streit etc still help the Islanders reach the “floor”, the only way Ricky doesn’t is if he retires. Even then I’m sure there is going to be a loophole that if he retires due to injury it therefore it counts in some measure against the cap depending on what the insurance payout is (but on this last part I’m just guessin).

by Hockey1919 on Nov 4, 2010 4:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

If that was the case

They could just sign one of the myriad of goalies floating around that didn’t get picked up. There are plenty of players who did not get signed this summer who could be brought on. The cap floor would be a non-issue if he called it a career. In all likelyhood he would tell the team he was going it before it was made public, the team would make a move without anyone knowing the backstory and he would leave after the situation was already taken care of.

The kids are more than alright.

by Anarcurt on Nov 4, 2010 3:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Plus...

… I’m pretty sure that the cap floor issue is not addressed until the end of the year. If, for a few days, a team is under the floor due to any number of reasons (injuries, for example), I don’t think they get in any trouble.

Hmmm.... you hit my goalie's head and it's hockey. I hit your goalie's post and it's a penalty. Oooooooooooooooooookaaaaaaaaaaaaaaayyyyyyyyyyyyy,

by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Nov 4, 2010 3:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

with Roloson and great prospects

DP is in the way

Redden him or Yashin him – until that happens the future will remain just that

by Cary K on Nov 4, 2010 1:16 PM EDT reply actions  

DP should sit for now

Roli should be getting the starts as much as he can handle while this team has any hope of the playoffs. If the season gets out of hand, give DP regular starts again as with Biron at the end of last season. As to retirement, I had the impression that the insurance only took over if he retired due to injury, but I could be wrong.

by BCISLEMAN on Nov 4, 2010 1:18 PM EDT reply actions  

I don’t believe insurance matters when considering the cap. As for actually paying him, I’m pretty sure nothing is guaranteed if a player decides to retire. He simply walks away from the contract.

Hmmm.... you hit my goalie's head and it's hockey. I hit your goalie's post and it's a penalty. Oooooooooooooooooookaaaaaaaaaaaaaaayyyyyyyyyyyyy,

by ICanSeeForIslesAndIsles on Nov 4, 2010 1:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

it was my impression that

his contract said something about him retiring due to injury. Maybe somebody knows more about this.

by BCISLEMAN on Nov 4, 2010 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

I would think that this is a union issue

more than a specific contract issue. My understanding is that injury (forced retirement…too much pain/selling)=get full contract value via insurance. Retirement (No physical ailment per se, I just am not good anymore)=No money at all. Buyout= payout until 2031. If he retires, for either of the above reasons, I don’t think it counts against the cap because the team isn’t paying the money.

Sarcasm experience enhanced by Samsung (TM)

by Keith Quinn on Nov 4, 2010 4:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

there might be a dance

to decide whether he’s not good anymore because of an injury and thus insurance kicks in. They have to give him his games this year to see what he can and cannot do and what the future is. I just do not want it to destroy the Islanders season.

by BCISLEMAN on Nov 4, 2010 7:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

On the sample size

First of all, curse WebBard for bringing up Dafoe, Cloutier, and Toivonen. That’s just too much to digest in one lunch break.

Secondly, I know we’re still dealing with a small sample so I thought for context I’d run his save % numbers if he had stopped more than 175 of his first 205 shots (.854) as well as if he played five additional games giving up two goals per game:

  • If he had not given up three (by my count) goals this year due to puckhandling error: .868
  • If he had stopped those three, plus two more: .878
  • If he had stopped those 5, plus 5 more (so 10 more saves than he has): .902
  • If he had his current real stats, then played five more games stopping 28 of 30 shots in each: .887

Just throwing that out there.

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 4, 2010 1:18 PM EDT reply actions   2 recs

If we look at his 30 goals-allowed, subtract the ~3 “puckhandling error” goals, and look at the rest, how many can we [hopefully] objectively judge to have been the fault of the defense, and how many can we [hopefully] objectively judge as goals which would have been scored on an “average” NHL goalie…might be worth the pain of looking at all his goals allowed back to back to back to (x27 more times).

This is also where I wish I was better at math and statistics. Is there any sort of performance measuring and indexing stat for hockey yet, similar to VORP for baseball?

I feel like it should be possible (since the prevalence of the butterfly style at least) to calculate what goals a goalie should or shouldn’t allow…we’d end up with a few different versions of GAA as well as an adjusted save percentage based on the goalie being in correct position and the number of shots taken against him while in mechanically/mathematically correct position.

Lighthouse Hockey: I go there for their taste in beer.

by MTBVibe on Nov 4, 2010 1:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

All would be nice

It’s not the same, but Tom Awad’s GVT is an attempt at VORP-type of measure. Explanation here. More elsewhere on that site if you want to dig into it. Behind the Net has them on their stats page, but the link for this season is either broken or not collected yet. Here’s last year’s Isles GVT.

One thing to note is that shootouts are factored in, since shootouts directly affect wins/points in the standings. Personally I see it as a nice glance at what has happened (i.e. who had a good year, who didn’t) in a given season but not necessarily as the intrinsic value of the player.

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 4, 2010 2:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

P.S.

I forgot — last I read, a lot of statheads seemed to think GVT isn’t good at tackling the eternal problem of valuing defensemen.

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 4, 2010 2:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

Problem there seems to me is...

…the true lack of “defensive” statistics – takeaways and blocked shots and hits doesn’t really cover it.

Lighthouse Hockey: I go there for their taste in beer.

by MTBVibe on Nov 4, 2010 4:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ugh!

So even with 5 shutouts in a row, he would be around .900/.905

Good god! We may be witnessing history here! (once in a while, I would like it if we were on the other side of history…sigh)

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by Keith Quinn on Nov 4, 2010 4:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

In fairness, I never even heard of Toivonen before. I was looking up info on him and saw that he had gotten hurt during the season and was a former first rounder. Then I remembered hearing that Cloutier had been hurt before his trade to LA, and double checked everyone else for injuries.

Hodson didn’t get hurt (or at least a major injury) during his playing time, but he did suffer from Wolff-Parkinson-White syndrome (rapid heart beat) during his NHL days.

Frans Nielsen: The Great Dane is the Flyers Great Bane.
Contributor to Lighthouse Hockey not sure if I'm the Sniper or the Enforcer.

by Mark D on Nov 4, 2010 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

its hard to think that he can come back

i men as it is right now the only team to have given up more goals than the islanders is the Devils, and they only let up 1 more goal
i know its not all DPs fault, but a vast number of the 44 goals weve given up have been in his games. 30 to be exact
and regardless of how crappy a teams playing that shouldnt be happening, if hes stilling playing like this around his 15th game or so, i think hell half to retire

Bailey for captain NOW!

by Zhora on Nov 4, 2010 1:31 PM EDT reply actions  

Great job

I think he needs 2 weeks off to just drill. I joked in the post game article that he needs to be tied to the net Mighty Ducks style but it really cannot hurt. He needs to start playing on instinct again which he is not. Before the start of the season he was talking about adjustments to his game to help prevent reinjuring himself and I think he is overthinking every play.

You are on to something here.

The kids are more than alright.

by Anarcurt on Nov 4, 2010 3:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

Seriously.

Very interesting, though Tom Cruise would call it all hooey. It’s hard to peg how much is mental and how much is physical; I know from overcoming much less serious injuries that both intersect in weird ways. How much is doubt, how much is physical limitation?

If he’s “healthy,” then absolutely he needs some Mighty Duck-style barrage to get him to trust his body again (if that’s what’s needed).

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 4, 2010 3:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

Past personal experience

About 7 years ago, I injured my right hip in a downhill bike accident. Fortunately it was a non-surgical injury, but I still had to do 6 months of physical therapy to “fix” the problem. I was basically retraining all of the muscles in my hip and thigh to move just slightly differently to correct the hip and prevent it from damaging my hamstring and illiotibial band in rather painful ways.
The thing is…6 months, or 9 months, or 2 years of physical therapy simply do not erase the prior habits and muscle memories of a lifetime. So I find myself having to periodically spend a week or two with physical therapist friends reinforcing the correct muscle memory to avoid limping around in pain.

Keep in mind that this is a much lower grade of injury than RDP’s surgery-required ones.

In RDP’s case, the lower body is immensely important to the biomechanics of goaltending – we should get mikb in here, he plays goal, correct? So he’s got the learned muscle memories of two decades of hockey fighting against “roughly” 2 years of work – remember, he was in and out of PT and surgery for that period of time, plus the few games he did play. Of course, PT is his job when he’s injured, so he can do 6 full days a week where I’m lucky to get 5 partials without destroying my income.

There is little doubt in my mind that as Anarcurt put it, RDP

is overthinking every play.

And the more you overthink, the more you will.

Lighthouse Hockey: I go there for their taste in beer.

by MTBVibe on Nov 4, 2010 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, mikb is one of those crazy goalies, still active.

From the beginning of the season I’ve wondered if DP’s methodical approach to getting back up off his feet is from some rote work in rehab to do it “the right way” and not stress or risk the problem parts. At some point he needs that instinctive reaction and freedom back or else…or else we’ll be having more threads like this.

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 4, 2010 5:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm not sure you can call my goaltending "active"

In fact, MTBV has more info in this case than I do considering his rehab history. I’ve been relatively injury-free – not pain-free, mind you. My knee, back, and shoulder are like nature’s Universal No sign drawn across me. But knock wood, nothing requiring any sort of surgery or rehab beyond a couple of chiropractic visits. Still, flattery works, so here’s my 2¢.

Basically, you don’t have to be able to be particularly straight-line fast, but you have to be quick to the spot and under control at all times. It’s not just getting there, but getting there ready to react to the shot – to move with the expectation of moving again immediately. That obviously requires a great deal of balance and coordination. Your lower body determines almost all of that.

Now, because I’ve never been coached nor played at any level beyond our rec leagues, I could barely begin to tell you what adjustments could mitigate the loss of lateral movement and general slower recovery that RDP is showing right now. I’m sure there are ways, just looking at it logically – not every goalie is an agile wonder, some are much more technical and look boring because the puck always seems to hit them in the gut, but are really playing terrific hockey. In general it means that the guy just can’t wander around anymore. Even when he’s fast enough to get back, he isn’t fast enough to get back and then move to cover the net on a pass or rebound. Guys who really control their rebounds are also a leg up (heheheheh) on this because they don’t face as many immediate put-backs and have that extra moment to get up and reset.

Best case is that RDP relearns his position and becomes a capable NHL starter. Worst case is that he has dropped below the threshold of physical ability to play at this level. Again – take a big grain of salt on this. My own level is very low, there are guys in my league who are 50+ and still play very effectively (a couple of them have their adult sons as linemates), the adjustments that work for me to keep going (I’m 38) may not be enough for a professional. And I never want to sound more knowledgeable than I really am.

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by mikb on Nov 4, 2010 5:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Textbook knowledge and experiential knowledge are different things!

You have the experiential knowledge of adjusting your game – without coaching as you point out – to account for the changes in physical talent that come with aging.

My orthopedic surgeon (who still hasn’t had to cut me yet, knock on wood!) likes to tell me that a joint injury requiring surgery is the same as aging that joint 5-15 years (depending on a few factors which make my eyes cross). Can we say that DP has knees the same age as yours, mikb? grins

Your point about the actions and balance required – force and counterforce, inertia/friction with the ice – is something to ponder heavily when we watch RDP’s next start. I know I’m going to pay attention to how he moves his feet and how he’s placing his skates, now…

Lighthouse Hockey: I go there for their taste in beer.

by MTBVibe on Nov 4, 2010 6:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Aging the joint

Heh, yes yes. Separated and broke my shoulder in my final high school game and the ortho said, “We don’t want to mess around in there — wait, you’re not thinking of pursuing hockey as a career, right?”
Me: “God no.”
Him: “Yeah, okay. We don’t want to mess around in there. Do your rehab, it will probably pop out a few more times in your life, but this is the better risk. But DO your rehab.”

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 5, 2010 1:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

that really sucks

Especially at such a younger age. I mean, you need that shoulder for other things too. Rough break, bro.

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by mikb on Nov 5, 2010 11:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

It's been fine, really

Still feel it but boy did rehab do wonders — strengthen the muscles around the joint, stabilize the joint. It actually taught me a lot about dealing with other injuries without the luxury of a knife wielded by the best orthos in the world.

Pretty silly when I suit up now though: No Joint Left Untaped is nearly the reality.

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 5, 2010 2:54 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

No joint left untaped, no ligament/tendon/muscle left unstretched!

..I simply cannot say enough about the importance of stretching… =p

Lighthouse Hockey: I go there for their taste in beer.

by MTBVibe on Nov 6, 2010 6:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

I was hoping you'd take the "active" softball toss
some are much more technical and look boring because the puck always seems to hit them in the gut, but are really playing terrific hockey

Ed Belfour’s ears are burning.

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 5, 2010 1:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

the irony here

Since I’ve never really been coached, I had to rely completely on reflexes and agility when I started. I’m like a devolved, rec-league RDP. I can’t get away with it nearly as well now, I’m 25 pounds heavier than I was fifteen years ago, and obviously less limber. Luckily the reflexes are still there and I can get side to side well enough, so honestly, it’s not really the same situation – and especially because Rick’s adjustments are coming abruptly, due to injury, rather than a gradual loss over time that you can adapt to more naturally.

And I can only hope Rick’s knees aren’t the same age as mine! Even my healthy parts are 38. The running joke is that the day I turned 35, UPS came to the door with my middle age in a big box.

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by mikb on Nov 5, 2010 11:50 AM EDT up reply actions  

I was the same way, I actually played in the bare minimum of pads for a few months as I bought up everything I needed. My style was really sloppy and sometimes it depended on if I had a hot day or not. But what I got really good at was predicting where people were going to shoot the puck when I couldn’t see the puck. I’m actually the same way in medieval re-enactments, I have a sixth sense for predicting what people are going to do.

Frans Nielsen: The Great Dane is the Flyers Great Bane.
Contributor to Lighthouse Hockey not sure if I'm the Sniper or the Enforcer.

by Mark D on Nov 5, 2010 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Speaking of bare minimum pads, ages ago we were ready to for our pick-up gang to form a league team but the guys who played goalie regularly were moving out of town. Poor Minnesota kid (who played defense as a kid, then quit for 10 years) shows up one day in borrowed street pads (with the plastic and all that), and we’re like: He’s desperate; he can be our new goalie!

Now he’s one of my best friends, and a very good…defenseman.

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 5, 2010 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

haha, nice. Actually that’s sort of what happened to me. A bunch of kids who loved playing hockey, but none of them wanted to actually play goalie and get shot at. They started giving me equipment as the year went on and I ended up being the default goalie for the neighborhood.

Frans Nielsen: The Great Dane is the Flyers Great Bane.
Contributor to Lighthouse Hockey not sure if I'm the Sniper or the Enforcer.

by Mark D on Nov 5, 2010 4:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

pretty much how I became a goalie

I got picked last in gym class for everything because I was always small for my age… and when you get picked last, you get stuck in right field, or goal. Violá!

The only thing I regret is that we were never able, as a family, to afford to get me into a league. I never learned to ice skate – it’s all roller, or now, in my dotage, street hockey. I always wonder if I could have been a forward or defender if I’d started out there instead of in the nets. Maybe I had hands, once upon a time?

In some bizarro alternate dimension, I’m on a forward line with my adult son, and Justin Bourne is a retired goalie who blogs at Puck Daddy.

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by mikb on Nov 5, 2010 5:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

Picture

 The only sunny point in this whole post (besides the merciful cap information) is the picture and the description below it.

I missed last nights game with a case death. So glad I didn’t stay up for it.

In all fairness, despite this compelling write up, and last nights’ score, there are half a dozen clowns playing- let’s dump on DP sometime in April.

by IamJacksSplitSave on Nov 4, 2010 1:32 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Impossible to tell...

With the defense as bad as it is right now it just magnifies all the current weaknesses that DP has. If we Shore up the D to protect him a little more I think his numbers will increase. Also I think there is probably still quite a mental aspect to DP’s game. After missing pretty much 2 years and getting hurt repeatedly I’m sure his mind isn’t fully up to speed yet. He has to prove not only to the team and all the fans that he is healthy and can play but most importantly he has to prove it to himself. The more he plays I think the more confident he will get and then his play will improve. His physical conditioning might not be 100% either given the short training camp\pre-season so that might also be a factor as well. We need to give him every opportunity to play so he can get over that mental and\or physical hurdle. This will undoubtedly produce some real horror shows like last night but in the long run it will be good for the team and for Rick Di Pietro.

Shawn Bates will never die....so long as we remember THE penalty shot!

by Metalstar on Nov 4, 2010 1:39 PM EDT reply actions  

also, use your eyes

visibly, DP is not a competent keeper

witness the 5th goal last night (if that was the 5th, lost track…) where he couldn’t trap the puck and it was recovered easily for an open netter

this is demoralizing for a team

nothing will be fixed until he goes

by Cary K on Nov 4, 2010 1:54 PM EDT reply actions  

Ricky

The solution is simple if you want to draft in the top 5 again then play him lots.If you want to try and salvage the season then he should probably be given a job with the PR department. I know 4.5 million a season for the next (it hurts to even say it so I can’t bring myself to actually put it in writing the term left on his contract) little while is a lot to pay for an off ice job but it was Wang’s crazy idea to pay him so let him pay him in the capacity that best helps the team.
 Everyone likes to point out how poorly the team is playing in front of him. Well I happen to have a crazy theory that Ricky is the main cause for the mass confusion that exists in front of him. DiPietro has no structure to his game. He wants to do too much instead of just doing his job (which in my mind he is no longer capable of doing) and that is to play goal. Playing injured is admirable for skaters but for goalies it is downright foolish. Dominik Hasek took criticism for not playing hurt but in the end if you are not healthy and you are not able to make the tough saves who do you think is going to take the heat for a subpar performance.

by Isle Of Weight on Nov 4, 2010 1:55 PM EDT reply actions  

Ooh fah thats harsh

by MatthewM11 on Nov 4, 2010 2:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

If only

….Ricky were Wally Pipp, and we had a Gerhig on the horizon!

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by mikb on Nov 4, 2010 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well I happen to have a crazy theory that Ricky is the main cause for the mass confusion that exists in front of him.

I think there is definitely some truth to that

by MatthewM11 on Nov 4, 2010 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

This is a really tricky topic.

The Isles are forced to dance around another poor contractual decision that they made in hopes of reinventing the team. Sure it may have been a great business decision but the ROI would have always been out-weighed by the risk factor. Quite simply, at this point it appears that they lost again.

This is not a snap decision based on DP’s performance over the last 2 games (as the team has more reason to blame than DP for those losses IMO. DP has a warriors mantality (similar to Favre) and therefor wants to be the guy to pull the team along. However, the inconsistency in his recovery leaves the team in flux as to what type of game they should play. He is a self proclaimed puck handling goalie which results in quick half ice passing (or stretching the ice or cherry picking…whichever term you prefer). It seems that if they come back on the back check they will miss the opportunity to receive the breakout pass. If they stay up and wait for the quick pass then they sacrifice the coverage that they have needed over the past two games. Unless DP shows some consistency soon this inconsistency will continue.

As another observation it does kind of feel like the Isles organization may be playing a contractual game of tap out with DP. You don’t leave a goalie in net past 5 goals as demonstrated so well by Patrick Roy when he was with the Canadians. Once you do that you begin to lose his trust and rattle his ego/confidence. So there must be a reason for the back to back games that he was left on the ice during the routes.

Home after 19 years of being away. Now to find a job.

by metalcoconut on Nov 4, 2010 1:58 PM EDT reply actions  

Roy and Tremblay was a battle of egos and Roy asked out, but was left in (self promo, I was at that game) and Tremably wanted to show who was boss. It turns out Peanut (Rejean Houle) was the boss and made a very bad trade. I don’t see DP being in the same situation. Gordon has stated before he doesn’t really believe in pulling the goaltender and has done it on very rare occasions.

by Hockey1919 on Nov 4, 2010 5:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

I knew there were some pride and egos battling there, in Montreal. I guess the biggest difference between the two goalies are that Roy was a punk (a talented punk but a punk none the less) whereas Ricky has the franchise face. I am not trying to insinuate that the goalies themselves are in the same type of situation or that they are even remotely close to the same type of person. All I was doing was highlighting that rather famous shellacking in terms of why you do not leave a goalie in net past 5 goals.

When was the last time you saw a goalie have 7 goals scored on them in back to back games? I can not recall ever seeing that situation. It seems that Gordon is either too comfortable in his position to worry about poor goal tending or that he is pressuring Ricky for something. I tend to think that it is the latter of the two options.

However I did not know that Gordon stated that he does not believe in replacing the goalie. That is interesting. I agree with him but it is just not something that you see.

Home after 19 years of being away. Now to find a job.

by metalcoconut on Nov 4, 2010 10:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Iv'e read all the posts...........

I have a simple question, if DP’s performance continues at roughly the same pattern as the games he has played up to now – how long is the timetable for mgmt. to say enough? Fill in your answer; 1) all season. 2) Till the end of the year, acertain # of games 3), till he says he has had enough, One answer that will not work is to play Rollie 80% of the time, You can bring up a Bridge guy, for a few games without sending DP anywhere. By the way, remember Snow’s obsession with goalie piks last season to the exclusion of bigger tougher forwards and D men? Is their a rule that you must wait 2 years to give them a shot in the NHL. If so its certainly been broken many times by many teams whose G’s went on to stardom.

by altosax on Nov 4, 2010 2:13 PM EDT reply actions  

Its a good thing we drafted those goalies.

Considering we have a 41 year old goaltender and another goaltender coming off of multiple injuries and not playing at a competitive level of play drafting those goalies seems pretty prudent. Especially considering you can sign those “bigger tougher forwards and D men” like they did with Konopka and Gillies. I don’t think you want to waste a top three pick on a bottom six tough guy anway. The rules for signing or bringing up goalies that have been drafted is no different than any other position. As soon as they have been signed they can play in the NHL. The only restrictions are in the AHL. Since both Poulin and Koskiken have been signed they are eligible to be brought up. I think at this point though both need more seasoning in the minors, although they have been playing well. Nilsson is playing in Europe and I am not sure if he has signed yet but he has been generally impressive since being drafted too.

by MatthewM11 on Nov 4, 2010 2:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Depends. My guesses:

If there’s observable progress? All season.
If it’s status quo (a mix of average nights and disastrous nights), then mid-season/New Year they think maybe you need conditioning.
If it’s disaster upon disaster, uncomfortable silence sprinkled with appearances only on back-to-backs in the schedule, along with much talk of Sudsie working on this or that in practice, before the conditioning stint.

It’s annoying right now because all signs from the fan perspective are poor, but we knew no matter what there would be no conclusions after one month. Massive variables here, and their collecting of goalies in the pipeline is, I think, a sign they have a worst-case-scenario plan.

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 4, 2010 2:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Good analysis

We eill find out in time!

by altosax on Nov 4, 2010 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think I've said enough on the subject...

…except:
Don, can you do a Community Projection for DP?

LIGHTHOUSE HOCKEY: Give me your tired, your poor, your huddled masses yearning to breathe free...and we can hook up online and talk about Islander hockey.

by JPinVA on Nov 4, 2010 2:19 PM EDT reply actions  

Dom...

Community Projection… JPinVA should put glasses on before typing…
sorry.

LIGHTHOUSE HOCKEY: Give me your tired, your poor, your huddled masses yearning to breathe free...and we can hook up online and talk about Islander hockey.

by JPinVA on Nov 4, 2010 2:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Heh, I need glasses too

I didn’t even notice the first time.

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 4, 2010 3:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Man

If you do it and he ends up hurt, how bad will you feel? And how crazy would that be? And would he come over to your house in his pink pads and try to kick your ass? Would he be able to get his glove off before Mrs. Lighthouse held him back?

These are the things I think of when I’m home from work…I’m sorry I dumped my crazy into your thread!

Sarcasm experience enhanced by Samsung (TM)

by Keith Quinn on Nov 4, 2010 4:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

At this point

I’ve pretty much lost the ability for next Augusts/September’s daily filler for fear that the entire LHH membership will come hunt me down. Hitmen in Missouri are pretty cheap to line up — just ask Mike Danton.

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 4, 2010 5:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hitmen in Missouri are pretty cheap to line up — just ask Mike Danton.

The reason we know to ask him is because he was incapable of finding a good hitman. Or, in point of fact, a hitman at all… =p

Lighthouse Hockey: I go there for their taste in beer.

by MTBVibe on Nov 4, 2010 6:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Shame on you.

You should never wish a community projection on any players.

Let Us Go, Islanders! (Ever notice how strange that sounds without the contraction?)

by TheMetalChick on Nov 4, 2010 4:35 PM EDT up reply actions   2 recs

LOL

Bahaha, it really is crossing the line. For shame!

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 4, 2010 5:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

Are players for other teams in bounds?

Just checking the boundaries here…

Lighthouse Hockey: I go there for their taste in beer.

by MTBVibe on Nov 4, 2010 6:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Is it even an option to send him to Bridgeport to see if he can work his way into form? Obviously he would clear waivers easily, I’m just uncertain of what else is part of that process, e.g. can he refuse the assignment?

by afrosupreme on Nov 4, 2010 2:44 PM EDT reply actions  

I should post this somewhere prominent since it comes up so much

1. Yes, he can go to Bridgeport. You can demote anyone, but of course vets like him require waivers, and then to recall them requires recall waivers which, if they’re claimed, means you pick up half his salary for the remainder of the deal. (In theory, if DP went down and started standing on his head, in theory another team could desire him at a discounted $22-ish million for the next 10 years. Massively unlikely of course)

2. If you wanted to do it without that waiver “risk,” it means he has to accept a conditioning assignment, the terms of which are limited to 2 weeks and just a handful of games.

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 4, 2010 3:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks. It’s hard to see them not doing this if he doesn’t pick it up soon. Realistically he could go to Bridgeport and post 10 straight shutouts and I couldn’t see another team taking on that contract. And to be honest it would be a godsend if someone did. I’m not sure I’d even care if he went on to win Vezinas somewhere else. Deserved or not, he has become an albatross-like symbol of what I hope was the old, dumb era.

by afrosupreme on Nov 4, 2010 3:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

All the detailed analysis is fine but its really quite simple

Roli is playing lights out better than DP and the team is struggling and needs reliable goaltending. Bench DP for now until things improve or until the season gets out of hand.

by BCISLEMAN on Nov 4, 2010 3:29 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

Decision will made by extraneous issues

There’s an elephant in this room and me thinks its only a matter of time before it makes the decision for everybody: Several surgically repaired joints, critical to a goalie performance, including one that has responded abnormally to past attempts to repair it..

2:1 odds DP doesn’t make it through the season without injury.

by neologizer on Nov 4, 2010 3:29 PM EDT reply actions  

The elephant that’s so old, we almost forget it’s there!

I know several have said this, but I do seriously feel bad for DiPietro. This process cannot be fun. I’m sure he’d trade a huge percentage of that contract to not have his career turn like this and slog through all that rehab only to remain a big question mark.

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 4, 2010 3:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

Said the same in another thread, but I'll recap here

1. It’s not DP’s fault that MM the lunatic drafted him #1 overall, far higher than he should have gone, thus creating unrealistic expectations. It’s also not his fault that Luongo went on to become an elite goaltender and thus the benchmark for DP.

2. It’s not DP’s fault that Wang the lunatic offered him a 15 year contract — what’s he supposed to say, “No thanks”?

3. It’s too bad that DP got seriously injured just when he was becoming a somewhat above average — although far from elite — goalie.

by AP77 on Nov 4, 2010 5:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

I saw that and quite agree

Whatever his flaws, DP draws the ire for many of both MM and Wang’s mistakes.

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 4, 2010 5:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

I like AP77's isolation of those 3 factors

He had no choice in #1, he had little choice in #2, both of those merely served to raise his profile and the expectations…as for #3, you don’t see a guy play for two years, and suffer through some fairly execrable goaltending for part of that period, and you mentally edit him into a better player than he was…which raises expectations. =/

Lighthouse Hockey: I go there for their taste in beer.

by MTBVibe on Nov 4, 2010 6:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, the context is amazing: If there wasn’t a 15-year contract and all the baggage that came with it, people would hear “Rick DiPietro is making a comeback this year! He’s ready for camp!” and there would be a tear-jerking ESPN2* special documenting him and everything.

*Okay, it would have to be 1996 for that. But I mean the rest is totally true.

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 5, 2010 1:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

No, it would be a 30 for 30 special on ESPN now.

Including interviews with his grade school neighbors, an orthopedic surgeon from South Africa, and a video montage of him training with Eskimos for ice hunting. “He’s trained like a madman, he’s ready to take the league by storm.”

/starts scripting the movie

Lighthouse Hockey: I go there for their taste in beer.

by MTBVibe on Nov 5, 2010 8:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

exactly

And if he couldn’t make it, there’d be a lot of “that’s a shame” and “we always liked Rick” and an emotional press conference. The contract just changes the context so much – there are a lot of people who will simply be glad to be rid of him.

I’ve always thought the contract wasn’t really the problem, the injury was. He has top-ten talent locked in that body somewhere, but it may never be fully accessible now because of the damage. That’s a crying shame. I may blame The Dread General Manager Roberts for drafting him too highly, because it lost us Luongo AND Heatley/Gaborik/take your pick… but not for how Rick’s career has turned out. He may well have made that gamble at least palatable had he become a top-ten keeper.

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by mikb on Nov 5, 2010 11:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

That’s the same argument I make with people over the Berard for Potvin trade. It wasn’t a good trade, and just because Berard got hurt doesn’t mean it was a good deal. It was such a freak injury who knows if it happens if he’s playing for the Isles.

Frans Nielsen: The Great Dane is the Flyers Great Bane.
Contributor to Lighthouse Hockey not sure if I'm the Sniper or the Enforcer.

by Mark D on Nov 5, 2010 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

I figured it out

It’s not rust, injuries, psychiatric disorders. It’s the PINK PADS. Think about it, who plays with pink pads? Get him back in the whites, or maybe a blue/orange combo and it’s ’06 Rick again.

by randyboyd on Nov 4, 2010 3:50 PM EDT reply actions  

he needs a long rehab down at Bridgeport to see if he can come back

he is just not ready for the NHL, and may never get back. It sucks but only the best players stay in the NHL, andif he played like this 5 years agi he would have never made the club, and would not have gotten the stupid 15 years

Any task BIG or small, Do it well or not at all

by Rickfansince76 on Nov 4, 2010 3:53 PM EDT reply actions  

Good Stuff

There are some really smart people writing around here some intelligent stuff guys, some heart some analysis I am impressed with my fellow Islander sufferers.

by Phil Ups on Nov 4, 2010 4:03 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

Don er Dom

In an earlier post I gleamed something from the Flyers 6-1 win. I am pretty sure in actuallity I gleaned something from that game. I guess that’s what happens when the m is beside the n. I was in fact wearing my glasses but I should have gleaned er I mean cleaned them.

by Isle Of Weight on Nov 4, 2010 4:52 PM EDT reply actions  

Another factor...

How well is Mikko Koskinen playing? If he’s not ready, Rick is in for the long haul until Poulin is or if not then, when Anders Nilsson is. Snow sort of has this contingency covered beyond this season and it will take that long for this to play out.

I would have preferred to see Roloson play the 1A role as DP played on back ends of back-to back or against some of the weaker teams, but it looks like they chose a sink or swim witha trial by fire (to put out my own metaphor) strategy instead and it sure hasn’t helped DP. Maybe they feel he needs to just play through it and it’ll get worse before it gets better, but unless the team D improves you won’t be able to evaluate much of anything.

by Hockey1919 on Nov 4, 2010 4:59 PM EDT reply actions  

  1. Goalies GP Mins W L SL SO GA GAA SVS SV%
    38 Kevin Poulin 3 180 2 1 0 0 6 2.00 81 0.931
    1 Mikko Koskinen 4 242 1 3 0 0 10 2.48 110 0.917
    52 Nathan Lawson 2 125 1 1 0 0 11 5.28 60 0.845

The kids are more than alright.

by Anarcurt on Nov 4, 2010 6:36 PM EDT reply actions  

Momma let him play

Hey folks. Sorry but I think the Isles need to keep playing DP no matter how bad he stinks up the joint. I wasn’t convinced this was a playoff team before we lost streit and KO let alone after two of our best players went down. DP has a very long, very expensive contract and isn’t going anywhere. If it takes the whole season they need to hope he eventually figures it out and regains his form cause Rolli won’t be here next season and rushing the goalie prospects is a sure fire way to see our goaltending issues being prolonged.

This season is another in the rebuilding process and this year we’ve already seen some strides by some of the youngsters. DP will eventually figure it out but won’t do that on the bench. I say let him play as much as you can because if he doesn’t figure it out then we are really hooped unless he retires.

by Styxcanada on Nov 4, 2010 7:30 PM EDT reply actions  

Open Question

Has anyone seen anything from DP in the games that he’s started that has given you any glimmer of hope? If so what? I’ve been watching closely and I just haven’t seen anything that would made me say, “yeah he seems to really be struggling right now but…”

IMO he’s hurt the Isles in every game he’s played, he hasn’t made any above average (let alone) game changing saves and he’s been moving around the crease like an old lady. The best think I can say about him at this point is at least he got pissed enough in Philly after the mugging of Frans to attempt to fight someone.

by mdelbags on Nov 4, 2010 8:01 PM EDT reply actions  

the reverse actually

Look at his sv% numbers game by game:

Dallas: .818
NYR: .879
Pitt: .897
TBL: .933
FL: .867
Phi: .793
Car: .781

Notice how his numbers were going steadily up through the Tampa game and have been plummetting ever since? I think he has had a reoccurrence of his knee injury that nobody is talking about.

by BCISLEMAN on Nov 4, 2010 11:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Be wary of single-game figures

Regardless of any injury concern, game-to-game save % isn’t very reliable as an indicator. There’s just too much of a swing. You could let up three dynamite PP goals on a 20 shot night and have a .850. Then let in two softies on a 25-shot night and record a .920.

Lighthouse Hockey: You say that like Streit and Okposo and MacDonald were important.

by Dominik on Nov 5, 2010 1:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

individual games by themselves, yes...but

here you have a series of games all going in one direction for a goalie who has a history of reinjuring himself after a very few games…and his sv% had been going up decidedly and then suddenly plummetted. I really suspect that he has been hurt and we aren’t being told.

by BCISLEMAN on Nov 5, 2010 4:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

also

In the Roli v. RDP fanpost, we went over sub-.900 games as a percentage of the whole.

I’d have to do everyone for a few years to really pick out a trend, to see if there’s any correlation between that percentage and the overall success of the goalie for the year… but from what I did see, a goalie having a good season will tend to have sub-.900 sv% in less than 30% of his games…. 20% or less is excellent. Average is about 35%.

In Rick’s four healthy years, he had two decent years by that measurement (~34%), and two disastrous ones (47% and 51%). That’s a lot of inconsistency, aided and abetted by the team’s generally mediocre defense those years.

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by mikb on Nov 5, 2010 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

Two Disastrous seasons?

Are you talking about when Milbury insanely called him up to the NHL with a godawful team in front of him? Cause I tend to not count that as a real season for DP.

Frans Nielsen: The Great Dane is the Flyers Great Bane.
Contributor to Lighthouse Hockey not sure if I'm the Sniper or the Enforcer.

by Mark D on Nov 5, 2010 2:43 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

actually, no

The season before the lockout, his first full year, he was under .900 sv% in just 34% of his games (17 out of 50). Real season or not, he played admirably. It was the year AFTER the lockout that he went up to 47%. Then he was around 34% again in 06-07, before ballooning to 50.8% in 07-08, the year the wheels came off.

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by mikb on Nov 5, 2010 5:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

Are the Isles ignoring this, in denial or just staying quiet?

Does anyone know if the Isles coaches telling DP not to leave the crease? I think at this point that would be an appropriate thing to do. Also why do you think they haven’t pulled him in either of the last two games? Even if you believe that none of the last 13 goals were his fault,isn’t it a bad idea to leave a goalie in when the team is being destroyed?

by mdelbags on Nov 4, 2010 8:05 PM EDT reply actions  

The good news is that noone would ever claim him on waivers

If he’s done we can just waive him every fall before the season and he won’t have any cap hit. Sucks we’d still have to pay him, but what can you do

by Stephen Schmidt on Nov 4, 2010 10:22 PM EDT reply actions  

Bobrovsky

Those who say " Oh we can’t possibly bring up one of our Bridge goalies they are either: too young, inexperienced, will get killed in the Bigs, and lots of other excuses" , I present Philly’s experiment, Goalie Bobrovsky age 22. And here I,m being sarcastic , with a record last year in Russia 35 games Won 9 lost 22 and NO north american experience at any level . He is one of the top goalies in the NHL on a cup contender. Case Closed!!! I believe DP is being played to see if he improves of course! But the bottom line in Wang’s salary crazy contract. Reminds me of the story of the couple who had a blow-out $150000 wedding and had to mortgage the parent’s house to pay that bill. Now a short time later they hate each other but don’t want to get divorced because of the huge investment that will take 15 years to pay off

by altosax on Nov 5, 2010 10:59 AM EDT reply actions  

Bobrovky is also playing behind a great d that consists of :

Pronger(one of the best d-men in the league, great offensively, Top-tier #1 d-man), Timmonen(very good defenseman, top-tier, and great offensively-#1 d-man on most team’s), Coburn(6’5’’ monster, that is a great shutdown d-men that can is a top 2 guy on another team(playing as a #3 here), Carle(very reliable young d-man paired with any of the big 3 he is fine), Mezaros(big 6’2’’ 225lb d-man, was a top 3 d-man most of his career and probably still is on most nhl teams but is a bottom 2 here), and O’donnell(old 6’2’’ 237lber, physical/shutdown type, was a #4 last year in LA but is a #6 here). ARGUABLY THE BEST D-CORE IN THE NHL.

Not to mention, Bobrovsky has played good/great(save %age tells the story) the last 2years in the PROFESSIONAL KHL and not some juniors or 8gms combined due to injury in the ahl/echl(mikko). You really can’t compare their experience, 2 much different environments. And Mikko/Poulin have a COMBINED 9ms ahl experience, so they haven’t even proven themself enough at the minor league level to earn a callup yet(they need a much larger portion size of ahl games under their belt to failry rate them).

While we have a sub-par defense all around. It would be like feeding a kid to the sharks(not the team). They don’t have the PROFESSIONAL experience and decent save success bob has, and they don’t have a near all-star(well, we’ll stay with the best d in the nhl comment) defense in front of him like bob does if they were up. Not the right time or scenario at all to bring them up.

Go isles or Go home.

by OzzyFan on Nov 5, 2010 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

one more thing!

Bobrovsky may well be a flash in the pan, too. Boucher was the shizzle his first year for a Cup contender in Philly. He had that run of shutouts in Phoenix. Maybe Bobrovsky is actually just a .905 keeper starting out hot. Frankly, we don’t know – and beating the Isles while they’re struggling so badly is hardly a true indication.

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by mikb on Nov 5, 2010 12:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Snow, Boucher, Leighton, there’s quite the list of Philly goalies over the last decade who were flash in the pan.

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by Mark D on Nov 5, 2010 2:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hextall ...

no wait that was when he played for us.

by Hockey1919 on Nov 5, 2010 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Think So?

He wasn’t that much better then McClennan

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by Mark D on Nov 5, 2010 4:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

True but

Bob is having wins over teams that are a lot better than the Isles period. The point is he may be a flash in the pan but Philly is riding a winning horse. But our main disagreement is with things going so badly why not try one of the kids? Theyre careers won’t be ruined by a big loss nor will their egos, nor will our losing record. , and maybe one of these guys who are suppose to be our future might show promise. I say we are talking about a very small risk vs a possible vey big reward. Afterall we have gambled and won and lost on this type of situation with forwards in recent years and I’m talking about a few games and not a decision invoving a season – think Bailey.

by altosax on Nov 5, 2010 5:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

While we have a sub-par defense all around. It would be like feeding a kid to the sharks(not the team). They don’t have the PROFESSIONAL experience and decent save success bob has, and they don’t have a near all-star(well, we’ll stay with the best d in the nhl comment) defense in front of him like bob does if they were up. Not the right time or scenario at all to bring them up.

In theory and somewhat proven, if you bring up a very young and very unexperienced goalie into a losing environment with a terrible or mediocre at best team and bad d in front of him, you could screw up his career and development as an nhl goalie. I wouldn’t want to chance that at the risk of losing a couple more games on dp’s soft goals.

Go isles or Go home.

by OzzyFan on Nov 6, 2010 1:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

We can can continue arguing about this.......

But the two of us and a lot of our fellow writers won’t ever agree. However for the sake of fun, I’m going to predict we are going to see one of these AHL goalies by January, [I hope not due to injury] I hope our severe troubles don’t continue, but if they do, something will have to give. A dismisal of Gordon would certainly be a much more radical move than a short trial of a Bridge goalieIMO.

by altosax on Nov 6, 2010 2:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

PS

Our very young Ahl G’s are Kosy 22, Poulin 20, and Lawson 27. By comparison Lunquist was 23 when he was called up and Luongo was 21. Now true I have picked 2 great talents, but if I had time I could find many more. Are the guys in Bridge in that class, maybe not, but we won’t find out until they swim in deep water.

by altosax on Nov 6, 2010 4:56 PM EDT reply actions  

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Islanders Schedule

1979-80


May 24, 1980: Tonelli to Nystrom. At long last, the steady build of the New York Islanders from expansion doormat to surprise semifinalist to annual contender reaches the promised land: Buoyed by a late season trade for Butch Goring that gave the team the depth up the middle GM Bill Torrey had been seeking, the Islanders knock off the Philadelphia Flyers in six games.

The victory justified the faith in coach Al Arbour who guided them from their second season to their first Stanley Cup seven seasons later. The Islanders would not be the first expansion team to win the Stanley Cup, but they would be the only one capable of a dynasty.

1980-81


May 21, 1981: This time it was much easier. After falling to "only" 91 points in the 1979-80 season, the Islanders returned to their division title tradition, piling up 110 points -- a whole 13 points over second-place Philadelphia.

Between the quarterfinals (where they beat the upstart Oilers in six games) and the finals, the Islanders reeled off eight consecutive wins -- with a four-game sweep of archrival Rangers in between. As they defeated the Minnesota North Stars in five games for their second Cup, their goal difference in the final was a combined +10.

1981-82


May 16, 1982: Another year, another landslide title. The Islanders won the Patrick Division by a whopping 26 points over the second-place Rangers, and were seven points clear of their nearest competition for the President's Trophy, the still-not-quite-ripe Edmonton Oilers.

A first-round scare against the Pittsburgh Penguins turned in the Isles' favor thanks to John Tonelli's heroics, and a true dynasty was on its way: Past the Rangers in six games, then an eight-game sweep of the Quebec Nordiques and Vancouver Canucks to run away with the Stanley Cup.

1982-83


May 17, 1983: Not so fast, whipper-snappers. The Edmonton Oilers' steadily rising challenge for league supremacy took them all the way to the finals for the first time, where the New York Islanders summarily dispatched them in a four-game sweep. For the Islanders, the Dynasty was secured. For the Oilers, it was a powerful lesson in where talent ends and the demands of playoff hockey begin.

Four years, four Cups, 16 consecutive playoff series wins (a record that would grow to 19 until the rematch with the Oilers the following year). Mike Bossy scored 60 goals yet again, and Wayne Gretzky became acquainted with Billy Smith's crease.


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