Grudgingly watching prospects in the WJC, peeking at Tank Standings for more
Tonight at 8 p.m. EST is the big World Junior Hockey Championship final in Saskatoon (and by "big" I mean all of Canada stands still and a handful of American hockey fans tune in, too), while Switzerland has a chance at an underdog medal in the bronze game at 4 p.m. EST. Both games are on the NHL Network in the U.S.; lots of NHL.com coverage here.
A few WJC confessions and a look at the highly competitive tanking/draft lottery standings after the jump...
I actually don't usually care about this tournament, partly because it all feels so ridiculously stacked like the original NBA Olympic Dream Team. (It's like watching the old Soviet Union hockey teams, or the English World Cup team: You only watch to root against the favorite (well, except England hasn't been a favorite since Churchill), because you want to see them cry when they lose. Except with the USSR, a loss made them cry because they'd be shot when the got home, and with Team Canada a loss makes them cry because a whole country that worshiped these teenagers two days prior suddenly calls them failures, which really hurts for the next five months until they become NHL millionaires.)
The other reason I don't like this tournament is that it takes place during the holidays, which are already crazy. (If you get married and you both still have remotely functional relationships with your families, you're signing up for a lifetime of negotiation over how this time of year is spent; if you happen to live within driving distance of both of those families, the daily negotiation becomes a UN summit -- "I'm hungover" usually only gets you out of one in-law event per season before intervention is sought. In this context, it's difficult to explain to Uncle Al-in-law why I need to see an Islanders game on Dec. 26, much less why I need to watch a bunch of teenagers play in a stacked tournament. Just know: Spring romance lasts a nice little while; in-laws last a lifetime. Be careful out there.)
That's a long way of saying I'll probably pay attention tonight. But not to see Canadian kids cry (though that'd be nice) or see American kids say, "Hey, we tried, but that's a good team we lost to." I'm watching because, even though Canada's top defenseman (and a guy I really hoped to see in Bridgeport this spring) is out after a Swiss guy I've never heard of checked him from behind, two other Islanders blueline prospects should play a role tonight. So good luck to Calvin De Haan and Matt Donovan tonight. Please don't get hurt. I say that from the most selfish part of my heart.
Speaking of Islanders prospects, Kiril Petrov was reportedly Russia's captain last night, assuming a role that had been stripped from Nikita "I'm not Josh Bailey" Filatov. Holy Russian hockey, Batman.
But I want more prospects: Below, a look at the Tank Standings at the half-way point in the season. Because you know you want to look.
Tanks Aren't Deployed Yet, but Purchase Orders Have Been Placed
I know a full-on Tank for Taylor Hall job would please a few commenters here (and untold number of lurkers; yes, that's a shot at you lurkers). But if you want to get nuanced about it, I don't think there are many of us who would complain about seeing a Taylor Hall or a Cam Fowler [or insert your favorite teenager here] in an Islanders uniform next year. The difference is what level of humiliation we're prepared to deal with to get there.
For example, last year's plague of injuries made last place more palatable. The team's goaltending on-ice performance was bad, yes, but if my team is going to rely on Thomas Pock for half a season, then yes, I accept the #1 overall pick with grateful, wide-open arms. Frankly, I deserve it.
This year, everybody wants an entertaining show -- even the tankers, I can tell, don't you try to lie to me -- but many of us wouldn't mind if during the final month of the season, perhaps during a personal vacation when we aren't exposed to the details, we wouldn't mind if non-catastrophic events would conspire to maybe have the Islanders lose several tie-breakers and end up several spots below where they were most of the season, and maybe that spot guaranteed a top-five pick in the draft.
If Gilbert Godfrey* were describing it, he might say: "Now suppose I were to just momentarily take Mark Streit and have the league suspend him five games for something ridiculous and unfair that would only get Dion Phaneuf a small fine? And perhaps, what if we said that John Tavares got a non-threatening form of mono or something that maybe took him away for a week or two? And maybe our goalies don't get injured, but pass around a March flu bug -- nothing to ugly, but just enough to make a difference in a tight race? What do you say? What's a little accidental tanking among friends? It never hurt anyone."
* I actually hate that guy. Not sure why I used him, other than I can hear it working in his voice.
So the joy for tankers this year is that the race is wide open. The Islanders today stand both under NHL quasi-.500 and just one spot (and three points) behind a playoff spot. They are one of 10 teams within six points of 29th place. (Carolina, an additional seven points behind, is taking this thing to a whole nother level.) Anything can happen, and injuries and such will likely affect separation. The Islanders may benefit (or suffer, from a tanking perspective) from having only one team leader go to the Olympics and probably not stick around for the whole tournament.
Anyway, here's how things look today. While the important thing is points, percentage of points won and 5-on-5 goals for/goals against ratio is a nice quick look at how teams are doing after an uneven number of games:
| Team | GP | Pts. | Record | Pts. % | 5/5 GF/GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 41 | 29 | (11-23-7) | 0.354 | 0.73 |
| EDM | 42 | 36 | (16-22-4) | 0.429 | 0.93 |
| TOR | 42 | 37 | (14-19-9) | 0.440 | 0.98 |
| CBJ | 43 | 39 | (15-19-9) | 0.453 | 0.71 |
| ANA | 42 | 39 | (16-19-7) | 0.464 | 0.89 |
| STL | 41 | 40 | (17-18-6) | 0.488 | 0.88 |
| FLA | 42 | 41 | (17-18-7) | 0.488 | 0.90 |
| NYI | 43 | 42 | (17-18-8) | 0.488 | 0.74 |
| PHI | 41 | 41 | (19-19-3) | 0.500 | 1.05 |
Philly not only looks best in this group, but their 5-on-5 goal differential -- as it has all season -- looks like they're more likely to pull away. Edmonton, amusingly, is going back to the drawing board this week practice. (Pity that won't fix their goaltending.) St. Louis is talented and just fired their coach, which might turn things around. Columbus is talented but has yet to fire their coach, who might not be able to turn them around. The rest are usual suspects; if Atlanta doesn't sort out the Kovalchuk situation, they may join this group.
But this should be the contender group for the next little while here. I'm not advocating an outright tank watch, because that's not how I'd best enjoy the second half of the season. But I'd be lying if I said I wasn't going to take a peek every now and then.
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Easy does it
Careful how you paint Canadian fans. Most of us, whether the kids win or lose are as proud of them as if they were our own. It’s the media that more or less disparages them when they lose. Don’t heap us in with them.
We love our boys.
If I could come back, and do it all over again. I'd ask God to make me a Pittsburgh Steeler - Jack Lambert
I hear ya'
I’m just exaggerating for comedic effect. I trust there will be more than a handful of American fans tuning in, too.
My real target is the unrelenting hype that is attached to all this. Even though these days they are groomed and trained like professionals, I’m generally uncomfortable any time kids are put under that much of a media microscope.
Lighthouse Hockey: Eyes on Tavares, mug full of Moulson.
Carolina has the Abrams M-1
I know……where have I been?
Carolina is this season’s Isles. Injuries all over. Ward is looking good lately, so that’s a plus. Anaheim can’t be this bad. At least that’s what people keep saying. I think the only way we get Hall or Fowler is to attempt a heroic Colorado -like effort in March. Start by doing a Hanson move on Phaneuf if he has the guts to play. That should get the entire team suspended long enough to drift to the bottom. Problem with that is, I agree with you in that they have been a lot more entertaining to watch. CAn they send DiPietro to Utah instead of calling him up?
I know……where have I been?
You can say that again. You still making the Phoenix game? (That is the one you were looking to, right?)
Lighthouse Hockey: Eyes on Tavares, mug full of Moulson.
I’ve been against a Tanking of the season all year. I’d much rather see the team continue improving and making positive steps, it’ll be better for us in the long run.
Plus you don’t need to finish last to get the #1 pick, it just helps. I think we can at most finish 5th worst in the league and hold the glimmer of hope for the 1st pick in the Lotto.
"So basically, the Stats make no sense whatsoever."
Yeah, 30-26th are the ones with a shot at #1 overall. Assuming we drift from the playoff bubble, I’ll just be at peace if we’re in the cutoff area where we definitely get a solid NHL player.
How ironic would it be if DiPietro got healthy, caught fire, and carried them up to a playoff position? That would turn all of Islanders Country on its head.
Lighthouse Hockey: Eyes on Tavares, mug full of Moulson.
It would be sort of funny to watch people one-by-one (myself included) turn from “we’ll see if he can make 10 starts” to “GOOD GOALTENDING = PLAYOFFS!!1”
Lighthouse Hockey: Eyes on Tavares, mug full of Moulson.
here’s what it was with odds last year…
Odds of Winning the First Overall Pick
48.1% – New York Islanders
18.8% – Tampa Bay Lightning
14.2% – Colorado Avalanche
10.7% – Atlanta Thrashers
8.1% – Los Angeles Kings
why isn't #16 hanging in the rafters?
Tampa Bay better not be in that mix again this year, simply because Stamkos-Hedman is quite enough already.
Lighthouse Hockey: Eyes on Tavares, mug full of Moulson.
tank
where do i sign? we absolutely have to lose games 5 4 in regulation except when dp comes back, i wanna lose 1 0 or 2 1 . btw, bailey sim shremp 3rd line park weight tambellini 4th line acc. to CB at practice. make more sense to me bailey weight tambellini as 3rd and park shremp sim as 4th,granted sim is a lousy defensive forward
by Lakewood Islander on Jan 5, 2010 2:15 PM EST reply actions
Never surrender
I do not believe a team should ever give up. (Well, except for detroit.) I have rooted for both of my teams to win, even when I wasn’t sure they could even spell it. I would rather see my teams win with what they train and trade for, than to go through yet another season like the Isles did last year, and the Hawks did before. I for one am looking forward to the nervous breakdown that would come from a Hawks/Isles cup series.
SHOOOOOOOT!!!! Anon
I for one am looking forward to the nervous breakdown that would come from a Hawks/Isles cup series.
Haha, I can just imagine. I used to play/coach the Isles and Blues to the finals each year in EA’s NHL game, then coach the home team for the 1st and 3rd periods of each game. If that matchup ever happened in reality, I’d have to lock myself in a basement and, honestly, it’s 50/50 whether my heart would still be ticking by the time they lifted the Cup.
But you know, the Hawks are well ahead in the cycle. For the Isles to catch up, they need more draft help!
Lighthouse Hockey: Eyes on Tavares, mug full of Moulson.
You know
Among active teams the Blues are 2nd and the Islanders 4th in active stanley cup finals droughts. Your a glutton for punishment.
"So basically, the Stats make no sense whatsoever."
Pretty much what it feels like, yeah. For the sport I watch and care about most, I know mostly decades of heartbreak and owners yanking the rug out from under me.
Lighthouse Hockey: Eyes on Tavares, mug full of Moulson.
one thought
if we did pull off a trade that got us a first rounder for Roly, I don’t think that this team would have to deliberately tank at all. We could easily wind up with the #2 overall without any tanking. Getting the #1 overall again might involve some effort.

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