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Kessel, Boston/Toronto Trade; Burke the new Milbury?


Keeping in mind that this is an Islanders Blog this is an interesting trade that can be looked at from an Islanders perspective. I know this is not "Breaking News" to anyone at this point but is something to be looked at given what the Leafs are trying to do vs what we are trying to do.



Star-divide

Here's how the trade shakes out.

Toronto gets; Phil Kessel

Boston Gets; Toronto's first round pick and second round pick 2010. Toronto's first round pick 2011.

 

Looking at this trade from an Islander's perspective this is horrible. Kessel being a potential superstar (Key word here being potential still at this point) has 11 gs, 19 gs and 36 gs in his first three seasons. Impressive numbers for a guy only three years in but hardly enough to justify giving up those two first rounders and the second. Especially when you consider Toronto at best can hope for a eighth seed this season if they are to get into the post season. Even with Kessel I have a hard time believing that they have enough to get the job done.  

 

Toronto is also coming off an era where they grossly overpaid for players way past their prime or never lived up to their billing once they got their money. With no first rounders these next two years they have no immediate impact players coming through the draft and are going to rely on unrestricted free agency to fill their holes. Granted, Toronto is an attractive market for UFAs but big July 1st signings rarely translate to the regular season impact everyone makes it out to be. In hockey, the best teams are the ones that have a core of players that have been playing together for a long period of time. By the time those new additions are even remotley used to their new surroundings and linemates, it's alreads late November or Early December.

 

Another thing about this deal which is stupid on Burke's side of the deal. Boston is a cap tight team and also a contending team. These picks over the next two years gives them assetts to move not to mention two potential players that will be on entry level deals. Should I also say, BOSTON IS A DIVISION RIVAL!!!!!! I would be pissed to see Snow give away two first rounders and a second to Philly, Pittsburgh, Devils or the Rags. I don't care what player they can pick off those rosters either. I don't care if that player is Parise, Crosby, Malkin, Dubisnky, Lundqvist, Carter or Richards.

 

OTOH, I would also agree that the salary cap is a joke. It's pretty much non existent and contains too many loop holes. You can throw a massive offer sheet for 12 years, front load it, and the average yearly hit only come out to three million a year. Not to mention that these long contracts are being issued with the expectation that the next lock out is going to be even uglier and nastier than the last.

 

That still doesn't remove the fact that the draft, salary cap or not, is the life blood of your franchise. There's just no escaping or getting around.

 

As a Toronto fan I might like this deal for it's instant gratification. I really can't can't say or know what these fans are feeling or thinking right now. All's I know is that the expectation in that city was that the Leafs were gonna build young and work their way through the draft. Calling in Brian Burke to do the job was supposed to be Mr Fix it Exraordinary. Instead, I gotta say that Burke got fleeced in this deal worse than the Daniel Plainview fleeced that preacher in "There Will be Blood".

 

If Snow ever pulled a deal like this I can imagine the fanbase gathering up the pitchforks and torches for a nice roast in the New York Islanders front office. Mainly, cause we've reaped the rewards of such lousy draft pick giveaways and have learned a hard lesson from it. Unfortunatly for Toronto, they are gonna learn that lesson with the most unsuspecting GMs in the games, Brian Burke.

 

I'm all the more happy for it. Boston will be a team we will probably be doing business with at the trade deadline. Toronto will more than likely stink this year as even with Kessle they don't have enough scoring, quality young D outside of Schenn and the goaltending situation there is a joke. Toronto, having not assets to give up for picks and prospects leaves us with one less team to compete with for those.

 

All the more better for Garth as Burke really can't offer anything to drive up the price on our end. Also, if Boston winds up contending once again this season that leaves us with another late first round pick we can pick up. We have assets in Witt, Weight and Sutton that can be moved in a simialar Comrie/Campolli deal. Boston will more likely sit on Toronto' pick, which will be in the top ten, heading into the draft.

 

Dipietro finally recovers this season we also have an extra goalie to deal.

 

This is why dropping those offer sheets for RFAs are not worth it. Folks sometimes forget that there are 30 other teams out there competing for picks and prospects. You make a deal like this it makes it much harder to;

1) Deal from a position of strength.

2) Work anything at the trade deadline

3) Gather the best young players in the game to compete as you've already sacraficed a potential three, as Toronto did in the case, for one that's still a bit of a question mark. Kessel had 36 Gs last year on the best team in the eastern conference during the regular season. He's not going to a simialer situation in Toronto.

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Burke's tune

It is a nice short-term boost and likely long-term asset for the Leafs. But yeah, at that price, it’s strange. Burke seems to have shifted from retooling to buying whatever is available (his moves this summer). Kessel never struck me as a Burke player … but then I remembered Kessel’s not European, so the character questions are moot.

In their favor are their unlimited resources (to buy their way out of problems and buy hot commodities from Europe) and the thought that maybe in Year 2 of this deal the cap goes up again. That is what makes it more palatable for the top-revenue Leafs, and (would-be) impossible to stomach for the bottom-revenue Isles.

Lighthouse Hockey: Side effects may include Weight gain and frequent game loss.

by Dominik on Sep 20, 2009 7:11 PM EDT reply actions  

Maybe

But I like that one team fighting with us for primo picks is now taken out of the equation.

If Boston wants to dishus their 26th to 30th overall pick for another Comrie/Campolli like trade, I’m game for it. In this draft we can get our top two Dman and hopefully a forward with some size (Possibly even move up). Burke won’t have any assets to up the ante with.

That likely leaves us competing with 4 teams now instead of five.

by Chickendirt on Sep 20, 2009 9:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

At least Burke put his assets (other than Kessel) on defense and in net where a quick look at Toronto’s GF and GA shows that it belongs. Strengthening his defense as he has should make the Leafs at least competitive no matter how Kessel turns out. Cannot say the same for Waddell. In any event, now there are two contenders with extra first rounders.

by BCISLEMAN on Sep 20, 2009 11:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Definitely. Really like the situation of Boston (and Philadelphia) having surplus 1st-rounders. Luke Schenn may be the only homegrown untouchable Leaf for quite a while.

Lighthouse Hockey: Side effects may include Weight gain and frequent game loss.

by Dominik on Sep 20, 2009 11:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Umm…actually Anaheim has Philly’s first rounder. Philly may not finish with a very high seed with Emery in net and Toronto may not make the playoffs at all, so they should be two valuable picks. It would be something if some of our talent played well enough to rate such a pick.

by BCISLEMAN on Sep 21, 2009 1:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

Not so sure. I certainly don’t see them as finishing any higher than last year’s #5…and suspect they will be lower. I am only confident that they will be in the playoffs because there just isn’t as much competition in the East. Definitely see them as being one and done again this year.

by BCISLEMAN on Sep 21, 2009 1:39 AM EDT reply actions  

Burke and Kessel

Amusing take at Puck Daddy by their Two Line Pass contributor.

I don’t agree with all of it, but it does get at several of the points we’ve discussed. It’s a defensible risk for Burke, but a huge risk nonetheless — and a sweet escape for the Bruins. So much of the unknown is what kind of professional Kessel will be from age 21-26.

Lighthouse Hockey: Side effects may include Weight gain and frequent game loss.

by Dominik on Sep 21, 2009 12:02 PM EDT reply actions  

When I see Kessel’s totals – I just think that is Savard and his sadly underrated talent’s doing.

Also, I would pull the trigger on the trade listed for some of those players listed (even if they are division rivals) – especially if you knew you could contend, so that the draft picks would be out of the sure-fire NHL player league of picks. I think contending is what Burke is really counting on, that and he doesn’t like drafting much.

by HugoAgogo on Sep 21, 2009 7:14 PM EDT reply actions  

I think that the Leafs will contend because of what he did to improve the defense, but in the long term, this is not how you nuild champions.

by BCISLEMAN on Sep 21, 2009 8:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think contending is what Burke is really counting on, that and he doesn’t like drafting much.

LOL!

The Savard Effect will be fascinating. How will Kessel handle the media circus if he “only” gets 29 goals?

Lighthouse Hockey: Side effects may include Weight gain and frequent game loss.

by Dominik on Sep 21, 2009 9:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

…with Truculence for sure.

by HugoAgogo on Sep 21, 2009 11:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

This still beats almost any Milbury deal.

Usually Milbury kept first round picks, but traded the prospects for almost nothing. Kessel is 21, and even if he doesn’t light the world on fire in 2 years with the Leafs, he should still be tradeable for a first rounder.

Outside of the top 2-3 prospects in hockey, the first round tends to be 50-50 just on players getting full time jobs in the NHL. So unless the picks both end up being top ten, Or Boston does an insanely good job with the draft, I think Burke didn’t do too bad.

by Mark D on Sep 25, 2009 6:10 AM EDT reply actions  

Depends on Kessel. He had one good year after two bad ones, apparently had issues with his teammates, and is coming off an injury. Who is the real Phil Kessel? Last year’s version or the previous two years? We’ll see.

by BCISLEMAN on Sep 25, 2009 12:17 PM EDT reply actions  

I think this was a pretty solid deal for the Leafs.

Burke’s obviously trying to win now, as shown by his signings of Komisarek, Beauchemin, Gustavsson, etc., and Kessel only helps that. Kessel also gives them a big time scorer that they desperately needed, and he’s young enough so that they aren’t mortgaging their future. There is some risk involved (if Kessel doesn’t improve, or worse, he regresses), but draft picks aren’t a sure thing either.

by johnmac7512 on Sep 26, 2009 9:07 PM EDT reply actions  

I think that if Kessel is slow coming back from his injury at all, everyone in Toronto is going to be saying We did it again, got stuck with another loser and a huge contract and lost a chance to bring in new talent for the next two years…and it will become a self-fulfilling prophecy. Plus the piece that Dom linked on Kessel shows a player with all the signs of being Heatley Jr character-wise. It could go either way, but I suspect it will be a bust for Toronto…and that they will miss the playoffs again.

by BCISLEMAN on Sep 26, 2009 10:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

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