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Why the Islanders are right to resist a free agent splash

[The Ryan Smyth trade is] the kind of situation Snow might be able to take advantage of next summer if he has cap room and a lot of other teams don't. That's another reason he might be reluctant to commit to any long-term deals for free agents now.

>>Greg Logan, On the Islanders Beat

Although making a run at a bigger-name UFA is fun to bandy about -- and I certainly welcome that sort of napkin sketching here, even if I ultimately think chasing an Alex Tanguay is the wrong move -- I take it as a given that the essence of this rebuild means few if any forays like that.

Mark Streit was different: On the rise, undervalued by the market, and likely to be just as effective in Year 5 of his deal (when the Islanders should be strong) as in Year 1 (when they were not. But boy, did he establish a high standard for himself). Streit helps today and tomorrow. I would classify Francois Beauchemin as a similarly smart buy who would fit and upgrade the defense long-term; Tanguay, on the other hand, leaves me thoroughly unmoved. (Food for thought: As I write this, I see Chris Botta has a post advocating both.)

With Tanguay, I'm reminded of when two years ago the St. Louis Blues, a team now a couple steps ahead in their rebuild, plunged for Paul Kariya for $18 million and three years. That was a top-dollar price for a guy who excited fans when the team wa scraping the bottom but -- granted, injuries are the wild card -- ultimately wasn't even a factor in that team's surprise playoff appearance this past season. The Islanders have Tavares to butts in the seats; adding the suddenly journeyman Tanguay -- who has never scored 30 goals and last reached 20 in 2006-07 -- wouldn't spice the product any further for me. [Update: For a different view, see the pro-Tanguay rebuttal in comments.]

But a conservative stance toward adding UFAs isn't born out of resignation. It's not simply throwing up one's hands to say, "Oh, we're not good now, we can't afford to make ourselves better, we just need to stink and take the high picks." Rather, because the Islanders simply cannot be contenders this year or next, it's a better use of minutes and payroll to let young players develop while maintaining cap flexibility for the time when the Islanders: 1) know more about the quality of those developing players, and 2) are thus better informed about what they need, and are in a better position to add the right pieces through free agency or through some other team's cap dump.

The benefit of building from within is not only giving your prospects room to develop -- it's giving them room to fail, too. Because in a few years when John Tavares is established, Josh Bailey is a legit 2nd-line center and Kyle Okposo is a hybrid power sniper, it will be critical for the organization to have an informed view whether, for example, Jesse Joensuu is an NHL forward. If and when the Islanders' core looks strong enough to make a run, it's going to be those decisions on the supporting cast that are pivotal.

Such decisions will be easier if now, when the team is not in contention, the cheaper depth candidates aren't blocked by a name free agent who gooses numbers today but weighs on their cap flexibility later.

Tomorrow: A look ahead at the Islanders depth chart through the next three years...

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Stay the course

I have been saying since before the FA period started that Snow wasn’t going to do anything crazy. Sure, Tanguay and Beauchemin couldn’t hurt – but I felt that Snow was going to continue to allow Gordon to see what our farm system is made of. We need one or two pieces just to round things out, but I don’t see any MAJOR moves.

Kovalev would be nice, although at times he was booed out of Montreal – not really sure id put up with that for too long.

Islesblogger is a contributor to Lighthouse Hockey: SBN's New York Islanders blog who's lost the most man games to injury.

by Michael Schuerlein on Jul 5, 2009 4:07 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah hard to predict how patient I’ll be in a year or two, but right now that’s how I’m advising myself.

Kovalev, Kovalev. So good when he’s on. So mysterious when he’s not. One of those risk-reward guys who could really frustrate us if (and when?) an extended slump comes and he starts to sulk. I still smell the Ranger in him, too.

Lighthouse Hockey: Side effects may include Weight gain and frequent game loss.

by Dominik on Jul 5, 2009 4:14 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hasn’t he failed twice with the Rangers? It seems to be a NY thing with Kovalev, I wouldn’t bring him here.

by WebBard on Jul 5, 2009 8:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's probably best

To audition what you have and see what they are capable of. Even if a few guys fall short of second line expectations you can still trade them for picks and prospects. Hope you wind up with something better. A lot of these guys in Bport are lemons. I’d like to audution guy like Collition and maybe trade em. I don’t think he’s gonna be anything mroe than a depth player.

It’s much more cost effective this way. And without a new arena and the owner losing money it’s probably better not to splurge right now.

Strike when the time is right and you know you are getting just the right pieces.

by Chickendirt on Jul 5, 2009 4:57 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

It’s much more cost effective this way. And without a new arena and the owner losing money it’s probably better not to splurge right now.

That was one thing I didn’t mention but is hugely relevant. If I’m owner and I’ve already sunk what Wang has into the team, I’m saving up my next splurge for when better revenues are at least more likely, if not guaranteed.

Lighthouse Hockey: Side effects may include Weight gain and frequent game loss.

by Dominik on Jul 5, 2009 6:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I will say this, the one nice thing about resistign the UFA splurge is laughing at all the teams later in the season that made these big splash signings. The reason why the Streit signing is so good is not so much the value of the deal but because these big signings in July rarely work out anyways.

by Chickendirt on Jul 5, 2009 8:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Doesn’t hurt that the Redden Disaster is forever linked to it, too. Baaaahahaha!

Lighthouse Hockey: Side effects may include Weight gain and frequent game loss.

by Dominik on Jul 5, 2009 9:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

LOL

I will say this though.

I wouldn’t mind grabbing Tanguay as a reclamation project. Give him one year at 3.5 mill to prove himself. Flip him at the deadline and there is a good chance that if all goes well we get a 1st or 2nd rounder for him.

Given that the salary is prorated we would only wind up paying about 1.5-2 mill off it. The extra season tickey sales would be more than enough to cover it.

by Chickendirt on Jul 6, 2009 1:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, you and HugoAgogo (and today’s depth exercise) are helping me give Tanguay another look. I’m scared off by the rumblings about him in Col/Cgy/Mon — and worried he wouldn’t be any happier with the Isles — but he would make the offense much more dynamic and he would make good trade bait.

Lighthouse Hockey: Side effects may include Weight gain and frequent game loss.

by Dominik on Jul 6, 2009 3:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Tanguay would be okay if you could get him cheap and on a short-term contract – I mean fine he hasn’t scored over 30 goals ever, but he is first and foremost a playmaker not a sniper, as he would average 50 assists per season since the lockout if he had played the entire season each year.

Also, I think Tanguay would be a more likely bargain than Beauchemin as Tanguay had NHL lows in points scored and games played this year (even though I would want Beauchemin more).

In regards to both players, although they aren’t particularly leaders or veterans at this point, there is some benefit from had from putting a more seasoned player with Cup experience (Tanguay with Colorado, Beauchemin with Anaheim), with the younger players – its hard to argue that a good playmaker could help Tavares/others with their confidence and (possibly) skills, which could advance their development…

by HugoAgogo on Jul 5, 2009 7:11 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

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(updated 2.8.2010 at 8:30 AM EST)

New York Islanders Roster

# Pos. DOB W H
Josh Bailey 12 C 10/2/1989 188 6-1
Sean Bergenheim 20 LW 2/8/1984 205 5-10
Blake Comeau 57 RW 2/18/1986 207 6-1
Rick DiPietro 39 G 9/19/1981 210 6-1
Bruno Gervais 8 D 10/3/1984 205 6-1
Trent Hunter 7 RW 7/5/1980 210 6-3
Dustin Kohn 56 D 2/2/1987 200 6-2
Andrew MacDonald 47 D 9/7/1986 188 6-1
Freddy Meyer 44 D 1/4/1981 192 5-10
Matt Moulson 26 LW 11/1/1983 206 6-1
Frans Nielsen 51 C 4/24/1984 172 5-11
Kyle Okposo 21 RW 4/16/1988 200 6-1
Richard Park 10 RW 5/27/1976 190 5-11
Dwayne Roloson 30 G 10/12/1969 180 6-1
Rob Schremp 13 C 7/1/1986 200 5-11
Jon Sim 16 LW 9/29/1977 195 5-10
Mark Streit 2 D 12/11/1977 197 6-0
Andy Sutton 25 D 3/10/1975 245 6-6
Jeff Tambellini 15 LW 4/13/1984 186 5-11
John Tavares 91 C 9/20/1990 195 6-0
Doug Weight 93 C 1/21/1971 196 5-11

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