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LHinks: Picturing the Islanders' first round

Over the offseason, [John Tavares] focused on his strength and conditioning - and it looks like the gym work is paying off on the ice.

"I was worn down and I was tired," he said. "So I knew that summer was going to be big for me to change a lot of things - not only on the ice but off the ice. That's eating well, sleeping well, taking care of my body and doing all the right things."

>>TSN

There's really no good reason to think John Tavares doesn't have the "heart" or determination to become as great of a professional hockey player as he can be -- a lethal sniper and a team player. The shop talk knocks on him, which seem to emerge from one corner or another late in every top prospect's draft year, are likely just that.

All that's left for the Islanders to decide is if they believe Victor Hedman is likely to be that generational defenseman who can anchor a team for a decade -- one who won't make you regret passing on Tavares. That means something more than a Zdeno Chara, in my book -- and that's quite a projection to make of an 18-year-old blueliner.

Of course, Hedman is saying all the right things, displaying determination and showing he's no mental slouch himself. Hedman is reportedly on Long Island right now visiting with the Islanders. As we finally enter the month of the draft, my belief in the power of an anchor defenseman hasn't changed. But I'm still leaning toward Tavares -- the surest bang and impact for the buck.

But what about the Islanders' second pick, which will be at #26 or could even be higher if they make a push to move up? Everyone says, "The Islanders need offense" when advocating Tavares, but the truth is they need defense, too. But at least there are some potential defensive gems already in the system. For the next pick, unless there is a blueliner they like but didn't expect to see still on the table, I bet they go with another scorer.

Western College Hockey Blog took a stab at a mock draft. After Tavares at #1, he has the Islanders selecting Kitchener-bound U.S. center Jeremy Morin (THN has him at #21; Central Scouting at #33). Morin is said by some to be "the best pure shooter in the draft" but needs to improve his skating. THN's write-up went so far as to say he "might have better instincts around the net than any other player in this draft."

TSN had this blip about Morin from the Combine: "Jeremy Morin (#33) had a decent workout. His vertical was quite good, while everything else was solid but not spectacular." So there's that.

In the paint-by-numbers nature of media scouting reports, "skating" is always a popular knock. But what about when skating is one of a prospect's obvious strengths? Enter U.S. winger Chris Kreider (#24 by THN, #14 among N.A. skaters by Central Scouting). In the wonderful anonymous lore of pre-draft hype, THN quotes one scout saying of Kreider: "He's not just the best skater in the draft, but I'm not sure there are many guys in the NHL now who skate better than this guy."

Kreider threw up at the combine after the VO2 Max test, but "it should be noted that this doesn't weigh against Kreider in the eyes of the GMs.  People generally see this as a sign that a player pushed himself to the limit."

Whoever becomes the Islanders' second pick, we're sure to hear an anecdote or line of superlative praise like the above. And a knock on their skating.

Final note: Oh yeah, if for some reason you want a grey t-shirt that says "NHL Scouting Combine" on it, well, it's only $27.99!

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If the Islanders were to draft Tavares, why draft another Center in the first round? that would give them Bailey, Tavares and another first round center. My guess is if they took Tavares they would grab a Dman, theres a bunch of them floating around 22 according to the ratings I looked at. Plus, even if he’s going to be a franchise dman, theres no pressure on him due to Tavares.

by Mark D on Jun 1, 2009 7:45 PM EDT reply actions  

I was thinking that any center (who might be converted to wing later) at that point would be a “project” of sorts, who wouldn’t be on the big club until two-three years down the line.

I covet some defensemen around that spot, but depending on the analyst you read, many say, “Oh, that guy will be before the draft hits #20,” etc.

Lighthouse Hockey: Side effects may include Weight gain and frequent game loss.

by Dominik on Jun 2, 2009 12:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

Islanders wonder: Hedman or Tavares?:
the logical answer is simple: GET THE DEFENSEMAN!
(there’ll be lots of quality forwards available for your second round pick)
that is all

"I'm sorry we hurt their feelings"
-Barret Jackman

by Dooks on Jun 2, 2009 3:53 PM EDT reply actions  

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New York Islanders Roster

# Pos. DOB W H
Josh Bailey 12 LW 10/2/1989 190 6-1
Rick DiPietro 39 G 9/19/1981 190 6-1
Mark Eaton 4 D 5/6/1977 215 6-1
Michael Grabner 40 RW 10/5/1987 185 6-0
Travis Hamonic 3 D 8/16/1990 203 6-2
Milan Jurcina 27 D 6/7/1983 253 6-4
Andrew MacDonald 47 D 9/7/1986 196 6-1
Matt Martin 17 LW 3/8/1989 210 6-3
Al Montoya 35 G 2/13/1985 203 6-2
Mike Mottau 10 D 3/19/1978 190 6-0
Matt Moulson 26 LW 11/1/1983 205 6-1
Evgeni Nabokov 20 G 7/25/1975 200 6-0
Aaron Ness 55 D 5/18/1990 170 5-10
Nino Niederreiter 25 RW 9/8/1992 205 6-2
Frans Nielsen 51 C 4/24/1984 184 6-0
Kyle Okposo 21 RW 4/16/1988 205 6-0
Jay Pandolfo 29 LW 12/27/1974 190 6-1
P.A. Parenteau 15 LW 3/24/1983 193 6-0
Rhett Rakhshani 49 RW 3/6/1988 190 5-10
Marty Reasoner 16 C 2/26/1977 205 6-1
Dylan Reese 42 D 8/29/1984 201 6-1
Brian Rolston 11 LW 2/21/1973 215 6-2
Steve Staios 24 D 7/28/1973 200 6-1
Mark Streit 2 D 12/11/1977 197 6-0
John Tavares 91 C 9/20/1990 202 6-0
Tim Wallace 36 RW 8/6/1984 207 6-1
Calvin de Haan 44 D 5/9/1991 187 6-1

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