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Doppelblogger: Lighthouse anxiety, schadenfreude, draft guesses

In the interest of a more perfect union, recent Lighthouse Hockey addition Isleblogger Mike (who will set up shop all day during the Trade Deadline) and yours truly are introducing a new periodic gimmick to Lighthouse Hockey: Blogger v. Blogger! Because sometimes the voices in your head aren't really just in your head.

In this episode, we measure anxiety about the franchise's future, guess wildly at this summer's top pick, and laugh at the Rangers (of course).

Question 1: I'm Not Nervous ... Are You Nervous?

With a Lighthouse Project "next step" cleared Tuesday, where do you put the chances of the Islanders being in the following locations in 2016: A renovated Nassau Coliseum; Queens; Brooklyn; Kansas City?

Dominik: 60% Nassau; 7% Queens (a dream); 3% Brooklyn (a fiasco); 30% K.C.

I'll be honest, I fear this financial climate and how it will affect Charles Wang's plans and access to funding. (I see Nick counsels: Chill out.). But I can't see any buyer thinking K.C. is a better play in this climate, unless there's just no hope for a new arena anywhere else in New York. The population density of this market is too great to pass up.

Michael: I don’t think the financial climate will really have as big of an impact as many think, based solely on the track record of both Rechler and Wang. Mainly because a bunch of this is going to be funded privately, there is startup capital that will come directly from the pockets of both men before much of the financing is put in place. Also, because the project will be spaced out over a period of two phases spanning about five years each, the economic climate will have already improved a year or two into its progress.

The economy is like the weather in Texas, wait five minutes and it will change. I give an 85% to the Islanders remaining in Nassau – I am forever an optimist.

Dominik: I thought even the weather isn't supposed to mess with Texas.

Star-divide

Question 2: State of Schadenfreude

Speaking of this "market," the Rag$ -- the Islanders' first post-deadline opponent -- fired Tom Renney but forgot to fire Glen Sather. With John Tortorella bringing "accountability" to the club, do you think they'll make the playoffs? How far will they go? Who will be the first in Torts' doghouse?

Dominik: The Rangers will make the playoffs, as the 8th seed, and lose in the first round in five games. Zherdev will be the first in the doghouse and Torts will lobby hard to have him traded in the offseason, but Sather will be on vacation and not hear his calls, causing Larry Brooks to stoke a feud between the two that must be patched up over a fishing trip and a good cigar.

Michael: I agree, the Rangers would not really be in this mess without the transactions, trades and contracts handed out by Sather. It was unfair to cast Renney in a negative light when he lost a majority of the personnel that made him successful in his previous seasons as head coach. Here Tortorella comes in mid-season – much like what is going on in Pittsburgh -- and is attempting to install a new system with existing players and salvage a season and a playoff berth. It’s not going to be easy by any stretch, especially with so little time to evaluate pieces this close to the trade deadline, and with very little room under the cap.

My guess is that the Rangers will have a strong finish and manage to finish 7th in the East. The first round will be tough but they will make it to the second and face a more formidable opponent and lose the series in six.

Dominik: Don't say that. That almost sounds like success.

Question 3: The Immediate Future

Explain where the Islanders will finish this season, what pick they'll have, and who they'll take.

Dominik: The Isles have 30th place locked up: Mission accomplished; the tanks are ready for refurbishing. But due to the luck that has smiled so many wondrous gifts upon this franchise, they'll lose the draft lottery and have to pick 29th. (Atlanta wins, picking Tavares to be Ilya's caddie.) This will be a blessing in disguise, however, as it will give Garth Snow the cover with fans he needs to select Victor Hedman -- who Snow would have picked anyway.

Michael: My guess is the Islanders will wind up finishing last and actually retain the first overall selection. If you look back through the previous draft years, more often than not a team lost the first round pick and a team around fourth or fifth jumped to first. This season is too important for that to happen to the Islanders, so after enduring two seasons of bad luck injury-wise, the balls will fall in their favor this time.

But should they happen to lose out on the first pick, finishing with the fewest points will allow the Isles to move no lower than one position down – securing the second overall pick to pick the next best available player. For all we know, Garth Snow could wind up with another first round draft pick here in the next week to make things even more interesting for us come June in Montreal.

Dominik: Let's hope so. But like my Czech ancestors taught me: If you constantly expect the worst, the next empire's invasion won't take you by surprise.

Thus concludes the first Lighthouse Hockey Doppelblogger. Have a different opinion? Want to participate in the next one? Leave a comment or drop us an email. New visitors via Yahoo! Sports can now sign in with your Yahoo! ID.

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First of all, nicely done boys. I love Blogger v. Blogger (i.e. Spy v. Spy which got brought up last night in the Box oddly enough). Here are my answers to the questions posed:

1) Nassau=90% The best economic solution lays before you on Long Island. If they were to move I would at least entertain Hamilton, Ont. because it’s actually a city where the people appreciate hockey.

2) I have 3 words for this problem: Screw. The. Rangers! Sather should have been gone years ago and firing Renney was about as bad as what Sather is about to do, which is to trade Scott Gomez. I say they end up in 9th, 1 point of out the playoffs and wondering why John Torterella has either Wade Redden or Nik Zherdev (or both?) in a massive headlock.

3) I think it goes without saying the Isles MUST finish 30th. I hate to be the Debbie Downer here but they will end up with the 2nd pick and I agree with Dom that Snow would have chosen Hedman anyway to the chagrin of the Islanders Fan Masses. At least at that point Garth would have an excuse.

Plus, Dom I thought that was more Poland who should’ve always been prepared by expecting the worst. I mean they did try to fight tanks with mounted calvary…

by IslesOfficial on Feb 27, 2009 3:36 PM EST reply actions  

Nice. I neglected to mention Hamilton, which I think would bit into my K.C. percentage. As much as Ontario makes sense, that’s how much I think the league would block it in favor of AEG’s empty K.C. building. But whatever, the Isles stay and any move will come from one of the other franchises that already have a nice building but not enough nice fans.

On Sather, I’m just happy he’s still there to do his work. The longer his tenure, the merrier.

The Pols are definitely Slavs in that same empire’s crossroads boat. But my ancestors lie to the south, where the Czechs can tolerate any invasion so long as you don’t take away their beer.

Lighthouse Hockey: SBN's New York Islanders blog with hip issues.

by Dominik on Feb 27, 2009 4:25 PM EST up reply actions  

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Isles Reading

Atlantic Standings

GP W L OTL PT
New York Rangers 54 36 13 5 77
Philadelphia 56 31 18 7 69
Pittsburgh 56 32 19 5 69
New Jersey 55 31 20 4 66
New York Islanders 55 23 24 8 54

(updated 2.14.2012 at 3:50 AM EST)

New York Islanders Roster

# Pos. DOB W H
Josh Bailey 12 LW 10/2/1989 190 6-1
Rick DiPietro 39 G 9/19/1981 190 6-1
Mark Eaton 4 D 5/6/1977 215 6-1
Michael Grabner 40 RW 10/5/1987 185 6-0
Travis Hamonic 3 D 8/16/1990 203 6-2
Milan Jurcina 27 D 6/7/1983 253 6-4
Andrew MacDonald 47 D 9/7/1986 196 6-1
Matt Martin 17 LW 3/8/1989 210 6-3
Al Montoya 35 G 2/13/1985 203 6-2
Mike Mottau 10 D 3/19/1978 190 6-0
Matt Moulson 26 LW 11/1/1983 205 6-1
Evgeni Nabokov 20 G 7/25/1975 200 6-0
Aaron Ness 55 D 5/18/1990 170 5-10
Nino Niederreiter 25 RW 9/8/1992 205 6-2
Frans Nielsen 51 C 4/24/1984 184 6-0
Kyle Okposo 21 RW 4/16/1988 205 6-0
Jay Pandolfo 29 LW 12/27/1974 190 6-1
P.A. Parenteau 15 LW 3/24/1983 193 6-0
Marty Reasoner 16 C 2/26/1977 205 6-1
Dylan Reese 42 D 8/29/1984 201 6-1
Brian Rolston 11 LW 2/21/1973 215 6-2
Steve Staios 24 D 7/28/1973 200 6-1
Mark Streit 2 D 12/11/1977 197 6-0
John Tavares 91 C 9/20/1990 202 6-0
Tim Wallace 36 RW 8/6/1984 207 6-1
Ty Wishart 6 D 5/19/1988 222 6-4
Calvin de Haan 44 D 5/9/1991 187 6-1

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