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Projecting: Three Scenarios for Rick DiPietro's Return

So no matter what happened, there wasn't a whole lot to learn from Rick DiPietro's Bridgeport return the other night. 

No surprise, though: There simply isn't a book on how an All-Star goalie plays his first competitive and healthy game in 22 months, dating back to the 2008 All-Star Game that began this series of unfortunate events. That first game is just another step.

Still, the media had to be there to see it: What if disaster strikes? What if he stands on his head? They couldn't miss that possibility, and in any case his return is an event in itself.

But now what? I like how the Islanders have handled their goaltending situation since July 1, taking no chances by bringing in both Dwayne Roloson and Martin Biron, while also being (finally) patient with DiPietro's rehab. Biron has been a pro.

Yet going forward there is a 100% chance of awkwardness. Three possible scenarios:

Star-divide

  • His next two AHL appearances go great. He's called up for the holidays. Scott Gordon figures out how to handle a three-goalie monster, and the Isles' 23-man roster remains taxed with two extra forwards, an extra goalie and bare-minimum six defensemen, until a trade is arranged.
  • His next two AHL appearances are so-so. But he can't "rehab" in the AHL forever. They call him up, and his first NHL start is also so-so, creating a dilemma and lots of awkwardness. The club isn't sure if it can sell off Biron just yet, but figuring that out entails more delving deeper into the awkward three-goalie rotation. Games are lost and blame is passed around.
  • His next two AHL appearances are awful. But he can't "rehab" in the AHL forever. The next move involves either some medical prognosis that justifies further conditioning, or they call him up and figure out how to work him in even though it appears it is far too soon. Any bad DiPietro performance raise scary questions -- even if it's a stinker that befalls even the greatest NHL goalies.

I don't envy the Islanders this dilemma. Even the best-case scenario involves fine goaltending but an awkward wait for a trade with (likely) Biron, who takes up a roster spot and whose inactivity and roster presence lowers leverage with trading partners. At some point, it could be such a distraction where Garth Snow is just happy to get any firm takers before the March trade deadline crush.

Of course there could be a perfect hybrid of the above scenarios, with a happy ending for all. From Dec. 16 through the end of January, the Islanders have 22 games in 45 days. There will be few periods in between games, and thus a lot of chances to get goalies work. Even if DiPietro returns healthy but understandably rusty, Gordon -- the former goalie -- could nimbly navigate these waters and get all three of them work while DiPietro (hopefully) sharpens his game with each appearance.

I'm not predicting disaster. But it's a unique situation, balancing three goaltenders who all have legit reason to consider themselves NHL #1s. The Islanders have danced around .500 all year long, which means normal losses may soon have a new scapegoat: "Well, it's hard when the goalies keep going in cold..." etc.

Then again, I'm getting ahead of myself. All of the above depends on something that hasn't been a certainty in nearly two years: That DiPietro gets through the next two weeks healthy and ready to go. So, one step at a time.

Bonus: Bearded Ricky's post-game interview:


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Scenario 4: The Islanders make him an assistant GM j/k.

I really hope that Biron gets hot enough that we may be able to trade him back to Philly. LOL! I know that would never happen but the thought of it makes me laugh. Is it possible that St. Louis might be in need of a goalie because we could use some of their D-men.

Guess what Crosby, Matt Moulson can score hat tricks too and he costs a lot less.

by metalcoconut on Dec 7, 2009 10:51 AM EST reply actions  

We really do need more former goalies in the Isles hockey department. ;)

St. Louis is really set. Mason’s been good, and Conklin’s been an excellent backup. They really do have some blueline depth though. I look at some of the guys they have waiting to get a crack and I wish the Isles had even half that.

Lighthouse Hockey: Side effects may include Weight gain and frequent game loss.

by Dominik on Dec 7, 2009 11:41 AM EST up reply actions  

The Blues or the Caps would love to offload some D, but neither need an extra goalie. A 3 way trade might work though

They laughed at Columbus, they laughed at Fulton, they laughed at the Wright brothers. But they also laughed at Bozo the Clown.

by Bman21212 on Dec 7, 2009 3:19 PM EST up reply actions  

The best scenario

was not to have signed DP to that suicide deal in the first place. Sigh.

They might as well move Biron now if they can. As a proponent of tanking, I don’t mind having a subpar DP starting too many games this season.

by AP77 on Dec 7, 2009 11:50 AM EST reply actions  

They might as well move Biron now if they can.

I can just see the disaster when Old Man Roloson goes down with an injury (which would be right up the alley of your tanking dreams).

A dream I had the other night (seriously): That the Islanders had claimed some goon off waivers, and to make room they exposed Roloson, who was claimed by Chicago. I woke up all pissed off.

Lighthouse Hockey: Side effects may include Weight gain and frequent game loss.

by Dominik on Dec 7, 2009 12:17 PM EST up reply actions  

The bottom line here, as always for any NHL GM....

P-A-T-I-E-N-C-E. Let DP stay in Bridgeport until you know what you are dealing with…then act accordingly. There is no reason to push a decision prior to the trade deadline. By February, if not earlier, Garth should know what DP can do and whether it makes sense to trade Marty. Be patient!

by BCISLEMAN on Dec 7, 2009 1:47 PM EST reply actions  

Is it too late to make DiPietro into a defender? I’m sure he could give Witt a run for his money skill wise and with Martinek-like injury abilities to boot.

by HugoAgogo on Dec 7, 2009 8:30 PM EST reply actions  

Worst Case

I think absolute worst case, The Islanders trade off Biron no matter what. If DiP really struggles on the NHL level they can always call up Lawson or Munroe. Either one have put together a few quality AHL seasons in a row. Plus without DiP Bridgeport still has 3 goalies, so you can afford calling one up.

Of course, I don’t know if we could carry 3 goalies and keep scratching one.

"So basically, the Stats make no sense whatsoever."

by Mark D on Dec 8, 2009 10:28 PM EST reply actions  

Man, the way Biron’s starts keep going, I just hope he has some bidders.

But that sounds like a plan. Get something for him, let Roloson run with the ball (if necessary) and use the AHL depth (again, if necessary).

Lighthouse Hockey: Side effects may include Weight gain and frequent game loss.

by Dominik on Dec 9, 2009 12:13 AM EST up reply actions  

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Josh Bailey 12 LW 10/2/1989 190 6-1
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Evgeni Nabokov 20 G 7/25/1975 200 6-0
Nino Niederreiter 25 RW 9/8/1992 205 6-2
Frans Nielsen 51 C 4/24/1984 184 6-0
Kyle Okposo 21 RW 4/16/1988 205 6-0
Jay Pandolfo 29 LW 12/27/1974 190 6-1
P.A. Parenteau 15 LW 3/24/1983 193 6-0
Rhett Rakhshani 49 RW 3/6/1988 190 5-10
Marty Reasoner 16 C 2/26/1977 205 6-1
Dylan Reese 42 D 8/29/1984 201 6-1
Brian Rolston 11 LW 2/21/1973 215 6-2
Steve Staios 24 D 7/28/1973 200 6-1
Mark Streit 2 D 12/11/1977 197 6-0
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