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Islanders Matinee: Penguins visit half-full, half-empty Island

I love this Islanders team for the same reason it gives me unexpected heartburn: Though expectations were low coming off last year's 30th-place finish, they have now given us reason to live and die with each win and loss. That's hockey the way it should be. Being in playoff territory 25 games in doesn't mean we can expect a playoff push, but it does give us a whole lot more reason to watch and analyze.

In that spirit, I'll continue to critique each loss -- and sing each win -- without losing sight of the big picture. That big picture is captured by two recent quotes, one from a guy who it's hoped will lead them to the promised land, and one from a guy who may be obsolete when the team becomes strong enough to talk about a promised land.

Pit-blade_medium                Blade-square_medium
Pittsburgh Crosby-Malkins (17-8-0) at New York Tavareses (9-9-7)
2 p.m. EST  |  Nassau [
gloriously unsponsored] V.M.C.  |  MSG+, radio
Reigning Champs:
Pensburgh

 

Scott Gordon, describing the process and current pitfalls to Chris Botta:

"We’re gearing up for better days with a team that’s going to play a certain way."

What is that "certain way?" It's pretty simple, albeit demanding. It's what Nate Thompson told Newsday:

"Everyone was trying to do the right thing and make the right plays, but we have to remember what gives us success. We have to be able to get pucks in and establish our forecheck."

When this team one day gives us a real reason to live and die with each game, it will have added enough good players capable of executing that forecheck for 60 minutes, night in and night out. Until then, we'll get painful lessons like Wednesday's 2-1 loss to the Flyers, where the forecheck disappeared in the third, almost as if the team was demoralized that great work in the first 40 minutes was sabotaged by Brian Boucher.

Star-divide

The Penguins visit this afternoon wearing their baby-blue retro thirds. I don't mind this, because one thing I actually do like about the Islanders' RBK (vowels not included) system is the emphasis on orange in the "away" whites.

As with every team that is both rebuilding with low current expectations yet showing promise that exceeds those expectations, there are both glass-half-full and glass-half-empty angles. Before I touch on those, though, if you haven't seen it, you might want to check out Scott Gordon unloading about his team's failings, in what Ken of Okposo Net described was Gordon "as livid as we've ever seen him." Enjoy:


Good times. All hot-under-the-collar aside, I think Gordon's underlying point is right: Monday night was not a case of the same ol' flaws from this team, certainly not a third-period panic from a team that has trouble handling a lead.

Island Half-Empty

This young Islanders team, without its captain (and legit powerplay asset), has lost three of its last four. The lone win was an ugly one ... By losing Monday, they again cost themselves a chance to pass or keep pace with the Flyers and Rangers in the Atlantic, not to mention Buffalo, Atlanta, Montreal and Tampa Bay in the East ... With that loss, the Isles fell to 7-4-3 in games when scoring first, an alarming trend that blends with the late-lead problem that is reflected in three separate blown 3-0 leads ... Announced attendance Monday was 12,687, which sadly is a "good" crowd for this year, but perhaps not alarming for a November "premium" game in a bad economy with a team whose future remains in the dark.

Island Half-Full

This young Islanders team, with a blueline corps to die with, has exceeded anyone's expectations thus far, keeping itself in a crowd of nine Eastern Conference teams separated by four points ... Giving us a enticing hint that Scott Gordon is on to something with this "playing a certain way" forecheck, the underskilled (or depth shallow, if you must) Islanders have grabbed the first goal in 14 of 25 games ... While third-period losses are an issue that dates back to last season, well, I don't have much here except I get the sense things have improved and will continue to improve as the Islanders get better players who can execute their forecheck for 60 minutes. Baby steps. ... Attendance is expected to be better for today's matinee, and the economy and Lighthouse uncertainty are two factors that, when resolved, hopefully pave the way for more fans coming through the turnstiles. Hopefully.

Nothing to Do with Glasses, Full or Otherwise -- But Something about Two Stars

The Islanders have John Tavares, and his consistent production is a welcome, long overdue addition. The Penguins have Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin, a painful reminder that doubling up on elite talents completely changes the game.

Witness some Fun With Numbers: Both the Pens (5-5-0) and Islanders (4-4-2) have the same number of points from their last 10 games, but that obscures the real story: Since losing four in a row without Malkin, the Penguins have won five of six since he returned to the lineup. Malkin has 8 points in those 6 games. Crosby, who had just one point in that four-game losing streak, also has 8 points in those 6 games.

Tavares is not quite like either of those talents, and if the islanders keep playing this way and avoiding catastrophic injuries, they won't be getting another superstar in the 2010 draft. Hell, no team is likely to replicate the Crosby/Malkin 1-2 punch. Nonetheless, the underlying moral remains: This first-quarter has been great, but the big picture is building "toward better days, [playing a] certain way" -- and that will require the presence of some players who aren't here yet.

Prediction: Some guys look like they ate too much turkey, and some guys look like they used yesterday to recommit to their career.

*   *   *

Item: NHL Network, in need of holiday programming Saturday, will re-air the Roloson 58-save game and Ron Tugnutt's 70-save performance from 1991.

I will so record this -- but not for Roloson's saves, which are fresh in my mind. Rather, any chance to see those epically beautiful Nordiques jerseys in action is not to be missed. Tugnutt's game (vs. the Bruins) airs at 12 EST; Roloson's at 2 p.m. Long live the 'diques! (Wait ... that doesn't work in English as a rallying cry, does it? Still: Long live the 'diques!)

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Witt

So Witters been taking a beating the last few games. I felt bad for the guy and decided to dig around his stats to see if there was anything redeeming.

First, with an almost even split of home/away games, Witt’s managed a 0 +/- at home and his whole 12 is in away games. Interestingly Witt did nearly the exact same thing last season. His total +/ was 34, yet -27 was away and he only had a -7 at home.

Secondly, if you believe the Isles PK has been good (currently ranked 12th Overall) then Witt’s been an important part of that. Among Dmen only Sutton has more total Ice Time while shorthanded. It goes Sutton 61:31, Witt 51:47, Streit 50:01, Bruno 46:51, Hillen 39:37 and Meyer 26:44. He’s also second on the team among Dmen average SH TOI, Sutton has 2:27, Witt 2:21, Bruno 2:13, Streit 2:00, Hillen 1:53, Meyer 1:34.

The downside to all of this? The Islanders have only given up 18 PPGA, Witt has been on the ice for 10 of them, Park for 12 of them. For comparison, last season the Islanders had 73 PPGA, and Witt was on the ice for 32 of them and Park for 31.

Witts just one of those guys who quietly does his job, its just when it screws up it sticks out like a sore thumb. Maybe they should only play him at home. Also don’t take this as me flat out defending Witt. I was bored at 6 in the morning and was wondering what his stats looked like.

"So basically, the Stats make no sense whatsoever."

by WebBard on Nov 27, 2009 6:44 AM EST reply actions  

I’ve noticed this, and part of me thinks he’s best suited for PK because the transition game isn’t so important there. The other part of me thinks you need your best players on the PK, and is that him?

While he’s getting the most PK minutes, he’s also being scored against the most — not just in total, but on a per-minute basis.

The “Rating” column here gives him an ugly 4-on-5 number relative to the rest of the team, and his goals against/60 minutes of 4-on-5 is also highest on the team:

4-on-5 GA/60 min.
Witt: 11.87
Hillen: 9.83
Martinek: 6.47
Sutton: 6.35
Gervais: 5.34
Streit: 4.98
Meyer: 4.67

Of course, the other side to this coin is he’s getting the toughest PK minutes (except for 3-on-5), against the opposition’s best unit, instead of picking up 20 seconds here against the second unit. So would someone else handle those better? Tough to say, particularly when 25 games in you still haven’t accumulated a full 60 minutes on the PK.

Lighthouse Hockey: Side effects may include Weight gain and frequent game loss.

by Dominik on Nov 27, 2009 12:24 PM EST up reply actions  

hopefully i get out of work in time to enjoy some of this live :-)

why isn't #16 hanging in the rafters?

by bob l on Nov 27, 2009 9:52 AM EST reply actions  

Work is overrated.

Lighthouse Hockey: Side effects may include Weight gain and frequent game loss.

by Dominik on Nov 27, 2009 12:13 PM EST up reply actions  

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Atlantic Standings

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Philadelphia 82 41 35 6 88
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(updated 4.12.2010 at 9:21 AM EDT)

New York Islanders Roster

# Pos. DOB W H
Josh Bailey 12 C 10/2/1989 188 6-1
Blake Comeau 57 RW 2/18/1986 207 6-1
Rick DiPietro 39 G 9/19/1981 210 6-1
Mark Eaton 0 D 5/6/1977 204 6-2
Mark Flood 4 D 9/29/1984 190 6-1
Bruno Gervais 8 D 10/3/1984 205 6-1
Trevor Gillies 14 LW 1/30/1979 215 6-3
Michael Haley 59 C 3/30/1986 202 5-11
Jack Hillen 38 D 1/24/1986 200 5-11
Trent Hunter 7 RW 7/5/1980 210 6-3
Milan Jurcina 0 D 6/7/1983 236 6-4
Anton Klementyev 48 D 3/25/1990 198 6-1
Dustin Kohn 56 D 2/2/1987 200 6-2
Zenon Konopka 0 C 1/2/1981 213 6-1
Andrew MacDonald 47 D 9/7/1986 188 6-1
Matt Martin 46 LW 3/8/1989 192 6-2
Radek Martinek 24 D 8/31/1976 203 6-1
Matt Moulson 26 LW 11/1/1983 206 6-1
Frans Nielsen 51 C 4/24/1984 172 5-11
Kyle Okposo 21 RW 4/16/1988 200 6-1
P.A. Parenteau 0 LW 3/24/1983 198 6-0
Richard Park 10 RW 5/27/1976 190 5-11
Joel Rechlicz 40 RW 6/14/1987 220 6-4
Dylan Reese 42 D 8/29/1984 195 6-0
Dwayne Roloson 30 G 10/12/1969 180 6-1
Rob Schremp 13 C 7/1/1986 200 5-11
Jon Sim 16 LW 9/29/1977 195 5-10
Mark Streit 2 D 12/11/1977 197 6-0
John Tavares 91 C 9/20/1990 195 6-0
Doug Weight 93 C 1/21/1971 196 5-11
James Wisniewski 0 D 2/21/1984 207 6-0

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