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Islanders faceoffs: Postively not great

The Forechecker is rocking the NHL faceoff data to produce a great chart -- with colors! -- showing how NHL teams perform on faceoffs in each situation: PP, even strength, PK.

The Islanders aren't great overall (48.1%, 26th), and they're well below the median in all three categories. Ahem: Mr. Weight (46.3%), Mr. Bailey (39.6%), please report to the coach's office. This is bound to change some now that Mike Sillinger is back -- particularly the Isles' shorthanded faceoff success, which is a pretty poor 41.8%.

(Note that shorthanded faceoff success is lower than the other situations leaguewide: When shorthanded, there are fewer teammates to help "win" the puck, and teammates may be more conservative about pushing forward for 50/50 pucks. But even with that caveat, the Isles' PK faceoff percentage is still really low.)

Faceoff data is funny. It's a mythical world where winning obviously helps, but by how much? And how much does it vary by situation? As this great Rocky Mountain News feature with player insight suggests, faceoff success is often dependent on all five (or four) skaters on the ice. And winning faceoffs does not equal being a better team. Or even a great PK unit. But in each case, you intuitively know it helps.

Star-divide

Smart faceoffs, which is subjective, may be more important: For example, if you're facing the same guy all night, you may sacrifice a few low-priority faceoffs here and there to save your best tricks for the most situationally critical moments.

There's no "win share"-like figure on how important a faceoff win is, partly because ofthe subjective variables mentioned above. A faceoff "win" may be no good if the regular winger you win the puck to coughs it up. (And is a "win" affected by the scorekeeper, too? And consequently the center's faceoff reputation?)

We just know that generally with faceoffs 'tis better to receive than to give. Which makes data like this really fun to wade into.

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Atlantic Standings

GP W L OTL PT
New Jersey 69 42 24 3 87
Pittsburgh 70 41 24 5 87
Philadelphia 69 36 28 5 77
New York Rangers 70 31 30 9 71
New York Islanders 70 29 32 9 67

(updated 3.18.2010 at 9:02 AM EDT)

New York Islanders Roster

# Pos. DOB W H
Josh Bailey 12 C 10/2/1989 188 6-1
Sean Bergenheim 20 LW 2/8/1984 205 5-10
Martin Biron 43 G 8/15/1977 180 6-3
Blake Comeau 57 RW 2/18/1986 207 6-1
Bruno Gervais 8 D 10/3/1984 205 6-1
Trevor Gillies 14 LW 1/30/1979 215 6-3
Jack Hillen 38 D 1/24/1986 200 5-11
Trent Hunter 7 RW 7/5/1980 210 6-3
Tim Jackman 28 RW 11/14/1981 210 6-4
Dustin Kohn 56 D 2/2/1987 200 6-2
Andrew MacDonald 47 D 9/7/1986 188 6-1
Matt Martin 46 LW 3/8/1989 192 6-2
Freddy Meyer 44 D 1/4/1981 192 5-10
Matt Moulson 26 LW 11/1/1983 206 6-1
Frans Nielsen 51 C 4/24/1984 172 5-11
Kyle Okposo 21 RW 4/16/1988 200 6-1
Richard Park 10 RW 5/27/1976 190 5-11
Dylan Reese 42 D 8/29/1984 195 6-0
Dwayne Roloson 30 G 10/12/1969 180 6-1
Jon Sim 16 LW 9/29/1977 195 5-10
Mark Streit 2 D 12/11/1977 197 6-0
Jeff Tambellini 15 LW 4/13/1984 186 5-11
John Tavares 91 C 9/20/1990 195 6-0

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