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Islanders faceoffs: Postively not great

The Forechecker is rocking the NHL faceoff data to produce a great chart -- with colors! -- showing how NHL teams perform on faceoffs in each situation: PP, even strength, PK.

The Islanders aren't great overall (48.1%, 26th), and they're well below the median in all three categories. Ahem: Mr. Weight (46.3%), Mr. Bailey (39.6%), please report to the coach's office. This is bound to change some now that Mike Sillinger is back -- particularly the Isles' shorthanded faceoff success, which is a pretty poor 41.8%.

(Note that shorthanded faceoff success is lower than the other situations leaguewide: When shorthanded, there are fewer teammates to help "win" the puck, and teammates may be more conservative about pushing forward for 50/50 pucks. But even with that caveat, the Isles' PK faceoff percentage is still really low.)

Faceoff data is funny. It's a mythical world where winning obviously helps, but by how much? And how much does it vary by situation? As this great Rocky Mountain News feature with player insight suggests, faceoff success is often dependent on all five (or four) skaters on the ice. And winning faceoffs does not equal being a better team. Or even a great PK unit. But in each case, you intuitively know it helps.

Star-divide

Smart faceoffs, which is subjective, may be more important: For example, if you're facing the same guy all night, you may sacrifice a few low-priority faceoffs here and there to save your best tricks for the most situationally critical moments.

There's no "win share"-like figure on how important a faceoff win is, partly because ofthe subjective variables mentioned above. A faceoff "win" may be no good if the regular winger you win the puck to coughs it up. (And is a "win" affected by the scorekeeper, too? And consequently the center's faceoff reputation?)

We just know that generally with faceoffs 'tis better to receive than to give. Which makes data like this really fun to wade into.

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Isles Reading

Atlantic Standings

GP W L OTL PT
New York Rangers 54 36 13 5 77
Philadelphia 56 31 18 7 69
Pittsburgh 56 32 19 5 69
New Jersey 55 31 20 4 66
New York Islanders 55 23 24 8 54

(updated 2.14.2012 at 3:50 AM EST)

New York Islanders Roster

# Pos. DOB W H
Josh Bailey 12 LW 10/2/1989 190 6-1
Rick DiPietro 39 G 9/19/1981 190 6-1
Mark Eaton 4 D 5/6/1977 215 6-1
Michael Grabner 40 RW 10/5/1987 185 6-0
Travis Hamonic 3 D 8/16/1990 203 6-2
Milan Jurcina 27 D 6/7/1983 253 6-4
Andrew MacDonald 47 D 9/7/1986 196 6-1
Matt Martin 17 LW 3/8/1989 210 6-3
Al Montoya 35 G 2/13/1985 203 6-2
Mike Mottau 10 D 3/19/1978 190 6-0
Matt Moulson 26 LW 11/1/1983 205 6-1
Evgeni Nabokov 20 G 7/25/1975 200 6-0
Aaron Ness 55 D 5/18/1990 170 5-10
Nino Niederreiter 25 RW 9/8/1992 205 6-2
Frans Nielsen 51 C 4/24/1984 184 6-0
Kyle Okposo 21 RW 4/16/1988 205 6-0
Jay Pandolfo 29 LW 12/27/1974 190 6-1
P.A. Parenteau 15 LW 3/24/1983 193 6-0
Marty Reasoner 16 C 2/26/1977 205 6-1
Dylan Reese 42 D 8/29/1984 201 6-1
Brian Rolston 11 LW 2/21/1973 215 6-2
Steve Staios 24 D 7/28/1973 200 6-1
Mark Streit 2 D 12/11/1977 197 6-0
John Tavares 91 C 9/20/1990 202 6-0
Tim Wallace 36 RW 8/6/1984 207 6-1
Ty Wishart 6 D 5/19/1988 222 6-4
Calvin de Haan 44 D 5/9/1991 187 6-1

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