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Penguins visit Long Island for Atlantic boogie

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Pittsburgh Penguins (12-5-3) at New York Islanders (9-10-2)

7 p.m. EST | Nassau Coliseum | MSG+

Penguins blogs: Pensburgh | The Pensblog

I normally hesitate to make predictions because I heard psychics were frauds and frankly I stink at telling the future.

So when I thought Joey MacDonald was a risky choice for backup, of course he takes the goaltending reins and runs with them. I thought Josh Bailey would have to go back to junior for asset management alone, and now he's made a strong case for staying. I thought the Adams/Northeast had leaped the Patrick/Atlantic for divisional supremacy, so naturally every Atlantic team goes on a hot streak while Montreal and Buffalo slump. I thought the world would end with that comet, and now I'm still trying to get my apartment back and find that guy who sold me the phony spaceship ticket.

But yeah, the Atlantic Division rises. Pittsburgh comes in having won 7 of 9 -- they're five points behind the Atlantic-leading Smurfs but with four games in hand. The Devils are acting like Brodeur is just taking a rest, no sweat. The Isles have "won" 5 of 6 (intra-conference shootout wins don't fully feel like "wins").The Islanders are doing something right: Vancouver may have looked past them or taken them lightly, but after losing the shootout on Long Island the Canucks won at MSG, Pittsburgh and Minnesota and then beat Detroit at home.

These teams last met -- a shootout win for Pittsburgh -- when neither were playing 60 minutes and the Isles were blowing leads. Things are different now.

Power Plays

FrankD at Penguins blog Pensburgh notes the Pens are making some adjustments to their power play, including dropping Malkin to the point. Both teams are close in PP production -- the Isles are 18th at 17%, the Pens 16th at 18.3% -- but curiously the Pens are much better at home (23.2%), while the Islanders are much better on the road (22.2%).

Star-divide

Penalty Kill

These teams' PKs are close, too, with Pittsburgh ranking 7th at 84.3% and the Isles ranking 10th at 84.0%. But I think the Islanders PK has been a little lucky lately: Montreal and Buffalo both created chances they really should have buried. The Habs hits posts and didn't score more only because Guy Carbonneau's incessant whining about Mark Streit earned him the karma of one more game of miserable Streit-less power plays.

Montreal coach Guy Carbonneau expressed his sorrow for O'Byrne but threw Streit under the bus, saying he could understand why the home fans would boo a former Canadien for leaving "to take the money" elsewhere. As if the fact that the Canadiens never offered Streit more than $1.2 million per season compared to the five-year deal for $20.5 million he received from the Islanders wasn't a good reason to leave.

Hopefully Pittsburgh doesn't break the Islander PK open with their new look.

Injuries

Both teams are charging on through injuries. The Isles of course have Witt and Martinek back on the blueline, but they're still without Kyle Okposo, Mike Comrie, Mike Sillinger and -- dammit -- Frans Nielsen. Need I mention Rick DiPietro? The Pens of course still don't have Sergei Gonchar or Ryan Whitney (who is now practicing again). But they've also been without Marc-Andre Fleury lately. Expect Dany Sabourin to get the start.

Scoring and stuff

Old friend Miro Satan is still rocking. His 9-7-16 is the highest non-Malkrosby total on the team. Trent Hunter, who's putting together a nice season, has scored more against the Penguins (9-8-17 in 31 games) than against any other team in his career. And the Pens? They've noticed how the Isles have looked lately. Says Brooks Orpik:

"You just watch the way they’re playing now, as opposed to the way they were playing last time we played them. They have a lot more confidence going their way."

If you're a Pens fan dropping by, Doug Weight has performed as billed and is now 10 points away from 1,000 on his career. Also watch #12 Josh Bailey, a crafty center who at 19 is making a strong case to stick on Long Island after his 9 games are up.

Glove Droppings

Towering Mitch Fritz should be in the building. Eric Godard, anyone?

0 recs  |  Comment 2 comments |

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1) You weren’t ae in your McDonald/bailey assessments. Where would the team be if Joey were not up to the task of carrying the team like he has? Scary.
2) As for Bailey, not yet blown away by him, but he does show flashes of offense that the team is missing up the middle right now.

by Fauxrumors on Nov 26, 2008 11:18 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, Bailey certainly hasn’t compiled wild stats — not even a goal yet — but he appears to have quickly learned many of the things I’d fear would take a while for a junior player to grasp: how to adjust to bigger players and less time for decisions, how your junior moves won’t fly in the NHL, how to make the smart little plays in fixes that you can’t talent your way out of. His passing looks like what the Isles hoped they had in Mike Comrie.

Part of me would still like to see him go back to junior for one more taste of a dominance and leadership role. Another part of me thinks the Islanders will decide they need him at center too much to lose him, which is scary.

SBN now has a NY Islanders blog at LighthouseHockey.com.

by Dominik on Nov 26, 2008 11:43 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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Atlantic Standings

GP W L OTL PT
New Jersey 69 42 24 3 87
Pittsburgh 70 41 24 5 87
Philadelphia 69 36 28 5 77
New York Rangers 70 31 30 9 71
New York Islanders 70 29 32 9 67

(updated 3.18.2010 at 9:02 AM EDT)

New York Islanders Roster

# Pos. DOB W H
Josh Bailey 12 C 10/2/1989 188 6-1
Sean Bergenheim 20 LW 2/8/1984 205 5-10
Martin Biron 43 G 8/15/1977 180 6-3
Blake Comeau 57 RW 2/18/1986 207 6-1
Bruno Gervais 8 D 10/3/1984 205 6-1
Trevor Gillies 14 LW 1/30/1979 215 6-3
Jack Hillen 38 D 1/24/1986 200 5-11
Trent Hunter 7 RW 7/5/1980 210 6-3
Tim Jackman 28 RW 11/14/1981 210 6-4
Dustin Kohn 56 D 2/2/1987 200 6-2
Andrew MacDonald 47 D 9/7/1986 188 6-1
Matt Martin 46 LW 3/8/1989 192 6-2
Freddy Meyer 44 D 1/4/1981 192 5-10
Matt Moulson 26 LW 11/1/1983 206 6-1
Frans Nielsen 51 C 4/24/1984 172 5-11
Kyle Okposo 21 RW 4/16/1988 200 6-1
Richard Park 10 RW 5/27/1976 190 5-11
Dylan Reese 42 D 8/29/1984 195 6-0
Dwayne Roloson 30 G 10/12/1969 180 6-1
Jon Sim 16 LW 9/29/1977 195 5-10
Mark Streit 2 D 12/11/1977 197 6-0
Jeff Tambellini 15 LW 4/13/1984 186 5-11
John Tavares 91 C 9/20/1990 195 6-0

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